Regina Tarin vs Ernesta Kareckaite

MMA - February 28, 2026 6:00 PM

Ernesta Kareckaite have a 59.5% of winning.
Regina Tarin have a 40.5% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Ernesta KareckaiteRegina Tarin
59.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag-15060.0%B

Ernesta Kareckaite
Betonline.ag-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability59.5%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Ernesta Kareckaite must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.5%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings-15560.8%C

Ernesta Kareckaite
DraftKings-155
Break Even60.8%
Probability59.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Ernesta Kareckaite must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-16061.5%F

Ernesta Kareckaite
BetUS-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability59.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ernesta Kareckaite must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-16762.5%F

Ernesta Kareckaite
BetRivers-167
Break Even62.5%
Probability59.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ernesta Kareckaite must be more likely than 62.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-17063.0%F

Ernesta Kareckaite
Ceasers-170
Break Even63.0%
Probability59.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ernesta Kareckaite must be more likely than 63.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-17263.2%F

Ernesta Kareckaite
-172
Break Even63.2%
Probability59.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ernesta Kareckaite must be more likely than 63.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-17563.6%F

Ernesta Kareckaite
BetMGM-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability59.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ernesta Kareckaite must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
40.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetMGM14540.8%B

Regina Tarin
BetMGM145
Break Even40.8%
Probability40.5%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Regina Tarin must be more likely than 40.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.5%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanduel14441.0%C

Regina Tarin
144
Break Even41.0%
Probability40.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Regina Tarin must be more likely than 41.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers14341.2%C

Regina Tarin
Ceasers143
Break Even41.2%
Probability40.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Regina Tarin must be more likely than 41.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS13442.7%F

Regina Tarin
BetUS134
Break Even42.7%
Probability40.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Regina Tarin must be more likely than 42.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers13342.9%F

Regina Tarin
BetRivers133
Break Even42.9%
Probability40.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Regina Tarin must be more likely than 42.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings13043.5%F

Regina Tarin
DraftKings130
Break Even43.5%
Probability40.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Regina Tarin must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag13043.5%F

Regina Tarin
Betonline.ag130
Break Even43.5%
Probability40.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Regina Tarin must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

39.6% chance that Ernesta Kareckaite win by 3.5 or more points.
60.4% chance that Regina Tarin win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Ernesta Kareckaite (-3.5)Regina Tarin (3.5)
39.6%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings13542.6%F

Ernesta Kareckaite (-3.5)
DraftKings135
Break Even42.6%
Probability39.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ernesta Kareckaite (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
60.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-18564.9%F

Regina Tarin (3.5)
DraftKings-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability60.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Regina Tarin (3.5) spread must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

71.1% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
28.9% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
71.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetUS-28073.7%F

Over (2.5)
BetUS-280
Break Even73.7%
Probability71.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 73.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 71.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-28073.7%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-280
Break Even73.7%
Probability71.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 73.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 71.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-31575.9%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-315
Break Even75.9%
Probability71.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 75.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 71.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
28.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings23030.3%C

Under (2.5)
DraftKings230
Break Even30.3%
Probability28.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS23030.3%C

Under (2.5)
BetUS230
Break Even30.3%
Probability28.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag23030.3%C

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag230
Break Even30.3%
Probability28.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.