Erik Silva vs Francis Marshall

MMA - February 28, 2026 4:45 PM

Erik Silva have a 15.1% of winning.
Francis Marshall have a 84.9% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Erik SilvaFrancis Marshall
15.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag57514.8%A

Erik Silva
Betonline.ag575
Break Even14.8%
Probability15.1%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, Erik Silva must be more likely than 14.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.1%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
Ceasers55015.4%B

Erik Silva
Ceasers550
Break Even15.4%
Probability15.1%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Erik Silva must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetMGM55015.4%B

Erik Silva
BetMGM550
Break Even15.4%
Probability15.1%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Erik Silva must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings52516.0%C

Erik Silva
DraftKings525
Break Even16.0%
Probability15.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Erik Silva must be more likely than 16.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers52516.0%C

Erik Silva
BetRivers525
Break Even16.0%
Probability15.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Erik Silva must be more likely than 16.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS52516.0%C

Erik Silva
BetUS525
Break Even16.0%
Probability15.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Erik Silva must be more likely than 16.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel50016.7%C

Erik Silva
500
Break Even16.7%
Probability15.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Erik Silva must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
84.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel-70087.5%F

Francis Marshall
-700
Break Even87.5%
Probability84.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Francis Marshall must be more likely than 87.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-75088.2%F

Francis Marshall
DraftKings-750
Break Even88.2%
Probability84.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Francis Marshall must be more likely than 88.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-77088.5%F

Francis Marshall
BetRivers-770
Break Even88.5%
Probability84.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Francis Marshall must be more likely than 88.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-80088.9%F

Francis Marshall
Ceasers-800
Break Even88.9%
Probability84.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Francis Marshall must be more likely than 88.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-80088.9%F

Francis Marshall
BetMGM-800
Break Even88.9%
Probability84.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Francis Marshall must be more likely than 88.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-80088.9%F

Francis Marshall
Betonline.ag-800
Break Even88.9%
Probability84.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Francis Marshall must be more likely than 88.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-80088.9%F

Francis Marshall
BetUS-800
Break Even88.9%
Probability84.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Francis Marshall must be more likely than 88.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 84.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

31.1% chance that Erik Silva win or are within 7.5 points of winning.
68.9% chance that Francis Marshall win by 7.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Erik Silva (7.5)Francis Marshall (-7.5)
31.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings20033.3%F

Erik Silva (7.5)
DraftKings200
Break Even33.3%
Probability31.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Erik Silva (7.5) spread must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
68.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-28073.7%F

Francis Marshall (-7.5)
DraftKings-280
Break Even73.7%
Probability68.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Francis Marshall (-7.5) spread must be more likely than 73.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 68.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

57.8% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
42.2% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)Under (1.5)
57.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-15060.0%F

Over (1.5)
Betonline.ag-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability57.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-15060.0%F

Over (1.5)
BetUS-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability57.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-16061.5%F

Over (1.5)
DraftKings-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability57.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
42.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag13043.5%C

Under (1.5)
Betonline.ag130
Break Even43.5%
Probability42.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS12644.2%F

Under (1.5)
BetUS126
Break Even44.2%
Probability42.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 44.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings12444.6%F

Under (1.5)
DraftKings124
Break Even44.6%
Probability42.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.