Edgar Chairez vs Felipe Bunes

MMA - February 28, 2026 8:15 PM

Edgar Chairez have a 72.9% of winning.
Felipe Bunes have a 27.1% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Edgar ChairezFelipe Bunes
72.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel-30075.0%F

Edgar Chairez
-300
Break Even75.0%
Probability72.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Edgar Chairez must be more likely than 75.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-31075.6%F

Edgar Chairez
DraftKings-310
Break Even75.6%
Probability72.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Edgar Chairez must be more likely than 75.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-31075.6%F

Edgar Chairez
Betonline.ag-310
Break Even75.6%
Probability72.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Edgar Chairez must be more likely than 75.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-31075.6%F

Edgar Chairez
BetUS-310
Break Even75.6%
Probability72.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Edgar Chairez must be more likely than 75.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-32076.2%F

Edgar Chairez
Ceasers-320
Break Even76.2%
Probability72.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Edgar Chairez must be more likely than 76.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-32576.5%F

Edgar Chairez
BetMGM-325
Break Even76.5%
Probability72.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Edgar Chairez must be more likely than 76.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-34577.5%F

Edgar Chairez
BetRivers-345
Break Even77.5%
Probability72.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Edgar Chairez must be more likely than 77.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 72.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
27.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers26527.4%B

Felipe Bunes
BetRivers265
Break Even27.4%
Probability27.1%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Felipe Bunes must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetMGM26027.8%C

Felipe Bunes
BetMGM260
Break Even27.8%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Felipe Bunes must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag26027.8%C

Felipe Bunes
Betonline.ag260
Break Even27.8%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Felipe Bunes must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS25428.2%C

Felipe Bunes
BetUS254
Break Even28.2%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Felipe Bunes must be more likely than 28.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings25028.6%C

Felipe Bunes
DraftKings250
Break Even28.6%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Felipe Bunes must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers25028.6%C

Felipe Bunes
Ceasers250
Break Even28.6%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Felipe Bunes must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel24529.0%C

Felipe Bunes
245
Break Even29.0%
Probability27.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Felipe Bunes must be more likely than 29.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 27.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

53.5% chance that Edgar Chairez win by 7.5 or more points.
46.5% chance that Felipe Bunes win or are within 7.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Edgar Chairez (-7.5)Felipe Bunes (7.5)
53.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-13557.4%F

Edgar Chairez (-7.5)
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability53.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Edgar Chairez (-7.5) spread must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
46.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings10050.0%F

Felipe Bunes (7.5)
DraftKings100
Break Even50.0%
Probability46.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Felipe Bunes (7.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

62.6% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
37.4% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)Under (1.5)
62.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-18865.3%F

Over (1.5)
DraftKings-188
Break Even65.3%
Probability62.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 65.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-19065.5%F

Over (1.5)
Betonline.ag-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability62.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-19065.5%F

Over (1.5)
BetUS-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability62.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
37.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag16537.7%B

Under (1.5)
Betonline.ag165
Break Even37.7%
Probability37.4%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 37.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.4%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetUS15838.8%C

Under (1.5)
BetUS158
Break Even38.8%
Probability37.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 38.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings14540.8%F

Under (1.5)
DraftKings145
Break Even40.8%
Probability37.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 40.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.