Cristian Quinonez vs Kris Moutinho

MMA - February 28, 2026 6:15 PM

Cristian Quinonez have a 83.4% of winning.
Kris Moutinho have a 16.6% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Cristian QuinonezKris Moutinho
83.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel-60085.7%F

Cristian Quinonez
-600
Break Even85.7%
Probability83.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Cristian Quinonez must be more likely than 85.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 83.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-65086.7%F

Cristian Quinonez
BetMGM-650
Break Even86.7%
Probability83.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Cristian Quinonez must be more likely than 86.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 83.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-66586.9%F

Cristian Quinonez
Betonline.ag-665
Break Even86.9%
Probability83.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Cristian Quinonez must be more likely than 86.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 83.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-66586.9%F

Cristian Quinonez
BetUS-665
Break Even86.9%
Probability83.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Cristian Quinonez must be more likely than 86.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 83.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-67087.0%F

Cristian Quinonez
BetRivers-670
Break Even87.0%
Probability83.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Cristian Quinonez must be more likely than 87.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 83.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-67587.1%F

Cristian Quinonez
DraftKings-675
Break Even87.1%
Probability83.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Cristian Quinonez must be more likely than 87.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 83.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-70087.5%F

Cristian Quinonez
Ceasers-700
Break Even87.5%
Probability83.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Cristian Quinonez must be more likely than 87.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 83.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
16.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers50016.7%B

Kris Moutinho
Ceasers500
Break Even16.7%
Probability16.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Kris Moutinho must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings49016.9%B

Kris Moutinho
DraftKings490
Break Even16.9%
Probability16.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Kris Moutinho must be more likely than 16.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Betonline.ag49016.9%B

Kris Moutinho
Betonline.ag490
Break Even16.9%
Probability16.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Kris Moutinho must be more likely than 16.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetRivers47517.4%C

Kris Moutinho
BetRivers475
Break Even17.4%
Probability16.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Kris Moutinho must be more likely than 17.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM47517.4%C

Kris Moutinho
BetMGM475
Break Even17.4%
Probability16.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Kris Moutinho must be more likely than 17.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS46017.9%C

Kris Moutinho
BetUS460
Break Even17.9%
Probability16.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Kris Moutinho must be more likely than 17.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel45018.2%C

Kris Moutinho
450
Break Even18.2%
Probability16.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Kris Moutinho must be more likely than 18.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

66.7% chance that Cristian Quinonez win by 7.5 or more points.
33.3% chance that Kris Moutinho win or are within 7.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Cristian Quinonez (-7.5)Kris Moutinho (7.5)
66.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-25071.4%F

Cristian Quinonez (-7.5)
DraftKings-250
Break Even71.4%
Probability66.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Cristian Quinonez (-7.5) spread must be more likely than 71.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
33.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings18035.7%F

Kris Moutinho (7.5)
DraftKings180
Break Even35.7%
Probability33.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Kris Moutinho (7.5) spread must be more likely than 35.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

54.1% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
45.9% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)Under (1.5)
54.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-12555.6%C

Over (1.5)
BetUS-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability54.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-12856.1%F

Over (1.5)
Betonline.ag-128
Break Even56.1%
Probability54.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 56.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-14058.3%F

Over (1.5)
DraftKings-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability54.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
45.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings11047.6%C

Under (1.5)
DraftKings110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag10848.1%F

Under (1.5)
Betonline.ag108
Break Even48.1%
Probability45.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 48.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS10548.8%F

Under (1.5)
BetUS105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.