Brandon Moreno vs Lone'er Kavanagh

MMA - February 28, 2026 9:45 PM

Brandon Moreno have a 64.5% of winning.
Lone'er Kavanagh have a 35.5% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Brandon MorenoLone'er Kavanagh
64.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-19866.4%C

Brandon Moreno
DraftKings-198
Break Even66.4%
Probability64.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Brandon Moreno must be more likely than 66.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-20066.7%F

Brandon Moreno
BetUS-200
Break Even66.7%
Probability64.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Brandon Moreno must be more likely than 66.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-20066.7%F

Brandon Moreno
Betonline.ag-200
Break Even66.7%
Probability64.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Brandon Moreno must be more likely than 66.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-21067.7%F

Brandon Moreno
-210
Break Even67.7%
Probability64.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Brandon Moreno must be more likely than 67.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-21067.7%F

Brandon Moreno
Ceasers-210
Break Even67.7%
Probability64.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Brandon Moreno must be more likely than 67.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-21067.7%F

Brandon Moreno
BetMGM-210
Break Even67.7%
Probability64.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Brandon Moreno must be more likely than 67.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-21568.3%F

Brandon Moreno
BetRivers-215
Break Even68.3%
Probability64.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Brandon Moreno must be more likely than 68.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
35.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel17636.2%C

Lone'er Kavanagh
176
Break Even36.2%
Probability35.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Lone'er Kavanagh must be more likely than 36.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers17536.4%C

Lone'er Kavanagh
Ceasers175
Break Even36.4%
Probability35.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Lone'er Kavanagh must be more likely than 36.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers17037.0%C

Lone'er Kavanagh
BetRivers170
Break Even37.0%
Probability35.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Lone'er Kavanagh must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM17037.0%C

Lone'er Kavanagh
BetMGM170
Break Even37.0%
Probability35.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Lone'er Kavanagh must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag17037.0%C

Lone'er Kavanagh
Betonline.ag170
Break Even37.0%
Probability35.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Lone'er Kavanagh must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS16637.6%F

Lone'er Kavanagh
BetUS166
Break Even37.6%
Probability35.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Lone'er Kavanagh must be more likely than 37.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings16437.9%F

Lone'er Kavanagh
DraftKings164
Break Even37.9%
Probability35.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Lone'er Kavanagh must be more likely than 37.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

49.0% chance that Brandon Moreno win by 5.5 or more points.
51.0% chance that Lone'er Kavanagh win or are within 5.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Brandon Moreno (-5.5)Lone'er Kavanagh (5.5)
49.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-11052.4%F

Brandon Moreno (-5.5)
DraftKings-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Brandon Moreno (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
51.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-12054.5%F

Lone'er Kavanagh (5.5)
DraftKings-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability51.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Lone'er Kavanagh (5.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

54.1% chance that the total final score will be over 4.5 points.
45.9% chance that the total final score will be under 4.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (4.5)Under (4.5)
54.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-12555.6%C

Over (4.5)
DraftKings-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability54.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (4.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-13557.4%F

Over (4.5)
BetUS-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (4.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-13557.4%F

Over (4.5)
Betonline.ag-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (4.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
45.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag11546.5%C

Under (4.5)
Betonline.ag115
Break Even46.5%
Probability45.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (4.5) must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS11446.7%C

Under (4.5)
BetUS114
Break Even46.7%
Probability45.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (4.5) must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-10551.2%F

Under (4.5)
DraftKings-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability45.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (4.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.