Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson

MMA - February 28, 2026 6:30 PM

Ailin Perez have a 62.1% of winning.
Macy Chiasson have a 37.9% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Ailin PerezMacy Chiasson
62.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-17864.0%C

Ailin Perez
-178
Break Even64.0%
Probability62.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Ailin Perez must be more likely than 64.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-18064.3%F

Ailin Perez
Betonline.ag-180
Break Even64.3%
Probability62.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ailin Perez must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-18564.9%F

Ailin Perez
DraftKings-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability62.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ailin Perez must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-18564.9%F

Ailin Perez
Ceasers-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability62.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ailin Perez must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-18564.9%F

Ailin Perez
BetUS-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability62.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ailin Perez must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-18665.0%F

Ailin Perez
BetRivers-186
Break Even65.0%
Probability62.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ailin Perez must be more likely than 65.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-19065.5%F

Ailin Perez
BetMGM-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability62.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ailin Perez must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
37.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers15539.2%C

Macy Chiasson
Ceasers155
Break Even39.2%
Probability37.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Macy Chiasson must be more likely than 39.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM15539.2%C

Macy Chiasson
BetMGM155
Break Even39.2%
Probability37.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Macy Chiasson must be more likely than 39.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag15539.2%C

Macy Chiasson
Betonline.ag155
Break Even39.2%
Probability37.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Macy Chiasson must be more likely than 39.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings15439.4%C

Macy Chiasson
DraftKings154
Break Even39.4%
Probability37.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Macy Chiasson must be more likely than 39.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS15439.4%C

Macy Chiasson
BetUS154
Break Even39.4%
Probability37.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Macy Chiasson must be more likely than 39.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel15040.0%F

Macy Chiasson
150
Break Even40.0%
Probability37.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Macy Chiasson must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers15040.0%F

Macy Chiasson
BetRivers150
Break Even40.0%
Probability37.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Macy Chiasson must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

35.9% chance that Ailin Perez win by 3.5 or more points.
64.1% chance that Macy Chiasson win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Ailin Perez (-3.5)Macy Chiasson (3.5)
35.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings16038.5%F

Ailin Perez (-3.5)
DraftKings160
Break Even38.5%
Probability35.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Ailin Perez (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 38.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
64.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-22068.8%F

Macy Chiasson (3.5)
DraftKings-220
Break Even68.8%
Probability64.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Macy Chiasson (3.5) spread must be more likely than 68.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

69.8% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
30.2% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
69.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag-26072.2%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-260
Break Even72.2%
Probability69.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 72.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-26072.2%F

Over (2.5)
BetUS-260
Break Even72.2%
Probability69.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 72.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-29874.9%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-298
Break Even74.9%
Probability69.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 74.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
30.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings22031.2%C

Under (2.5)
DraftKings220
Break Even31.2%
Probability30.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag21531.7%C

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag215
Break Even31.7%
Probability30.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 31.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS21431.8%C

Under (2.5)
BetUS214
Break Even31.8%
Probability30.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 31.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.