Rafael Fiziev vs Mauricio Ruffy

MMA - January 31, 2026 9:15 PM

Mauricio Ruffy have a 52.5% of winning.
Rafael Fiziev have a 47.5% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Mauricio RuffyRafael Fiziev
52.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-11553.5%C

Mauricio Ruffy
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability52.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Mauricio Ruffy must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-12054.5%F

Mauricio Ruffy
BetMGM-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mauricio Ruffy must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-12054.5%F

Mauricio Ruffy
Bovada-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mauricio Ruffy must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-12255.0%F

Mauricio Ruffy
DraftKings-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability52.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mauricio Ruffy must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-12455.4%F

Mauricio Ruffy
BetRivers-124
Break Even55.4%
Probability52.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mauricio Ruffy must be more likely than 55.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12555.6%F

Mauricio Ruffy
Betonline.ag-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mauricio Ruffy must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-12655.8%F

Mauricio Ruffy
-126
Break Even55.8%
Probability52.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mauricio Ruffy must be more likely than 55.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
47.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel10848.1%C

Rafael Fiziev
108
Break Even48.1%
Probability47.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Rafael Fiziev must be more likely than 48.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag10548.8%C

Rafael Fiziev
Betonline.ag105
Break Even48.8%
Probability47.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Rafael Fiziev must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings10249.5%F

Rafael Fiziev
DraftKings102
Break Even49.5%
Probability47.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Rafael Fiziev must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers10050.0%F

Rafael Fiziev
BetRivers100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Rafael Fiziev must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM10050.0%F

Rafael Fiziev
BetMGM100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Rafael Fiziev must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada10050.0%F

Rafael Fiziev
Bovada100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Rafael Fiziev must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-10551.2%F

Rafael Fiziev
Ceasers-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability47.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Rafael Fiziev must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

40.2% chance that Mauricio Ruffy win by 3.5 or more points.
59.8% chance that Rafael Fiziev win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Mauricio Ruffy (-3.5)Rafael Fiziev (3.5)
40.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada13542.6%F

Mauricio Ruffy (-3.5)
Bovada135
Break Even42.6%
Probability40.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mauricio Ruffy (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings13043.5%F

Mauricio Ruffy (-3.5)
DraftKings130
Break Even43.5%
Probability40.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mauricio Ruffy (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
59.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-17563.6%F

Rafael Fiziev (3.5)
Bovada-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability59.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Rafael Fiziev (3.5) spread must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-18064.3%F

Rafael Fiziev (3.5)
DraftKings-180
Break Even64.3%
Probability59.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Rafael Fiziev (3.5) spread must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

60.9% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
39.1% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
60.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-17063.0%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-170
Break Even63.0%
Probability60.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 63.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-18064.3%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-180
Break Even64.3%
Probability60.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-18564.9%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability60.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
39.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag14940.2%C

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag149
Break Even40.2%
Probability39.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 40.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings14041.7%F

Under (2.5)
DraftKings140
Break Even41.7%
Probability39.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada14041.7%F

Under (2.5)
Bovada140
Break Even41.7%
Probability39.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.