Junior Tafa vs Billy Elekana

MMA - January 31, 2026 7:45 PM

Billy Elekana have a 69.4% of winning.
Junior Tafa have a 30.6% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Billy ElekanaJunior Tafa
69.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-25071.4%F

Billy Elekana
BetRivers-250
Break Even71.4%
Probability69.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Billy Elekana must be more likely than 71.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-25071.4%F

Billy Elekana
BetMGM-250
Break Even71.4%
Probability69.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Billy Elekana must be more likely than 71.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-25571.8%F

Billy Elekana
-255
Break Even71.8%
Probability69.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Billy Elekana must be more likely than 71.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-26072.2%F

Billy Elekana
Bovada-260
Break Even72.2%
Probability69.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Billy Elekana must be more likely than 72.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-27073.0%F

Billy Elekana
Ceasers-270
Break Even73.0%
Probability69.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Billy Elekana must be more likely than 73.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-27073.0%F

Billy Elekana
Betonline.ag-270
Break Even73.0%
Probability69.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Billy Elekana must be more likely than 73.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-27873.5%F

Billy Elekana
DraftKings-278
Break Even73.5%
Probability69.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Billy Elekana must be more likely than 73.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 69.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
30.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag23030.3%A

Junior Tafa
Betonline.ag230
Break Even30.3%
Probability30.6%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
DraftKings22530.8%B

Junior Tafa
DraftKings225
Break Even30.8%
Probability30.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa must be more likely than 30.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Ceasers22031.2%C

Junior Tafa
Ceasers220
Break Even31.2%
Probability30.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada21531.7%C

Junior Tafa
Bovada215
Break Even31.7%
Probability30.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa must be more likely than 31.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel21032.3%C

Junior Tafa
210
Break Even32.3%
Probability30.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa must be more likely than 32.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM20033.3%F

Junior Tafa
BetMGM200
Break Even33.3%
Probability30.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers19533.9%F

Junior Tafa
BetRivers195
Break Even33.9%
Probability30.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa must be more likely than 33.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

59.3% chance that Billy Elekana win by 3.5 or more points.
40.7% chance that Junior Tafa win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Billy Elekana (-3.5)Junior Tafa (3.5)
59.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-17063.0%F

Billy Elekana (-3.5)
DraftKings-170
Break Even63.0%
Probability59.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Billy Elekana (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 63.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-17563.6%F

Billy Elekana (-3.5)
Bovada-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability59.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Billy Elekana (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
40.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada13542.6%C

Junior Tafa (3.5)
Bovada135
Break Even42.6%
Probability40.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa (3.5) spread must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings12544.4%F

Junior Tafa (3.5)
DraftKings125
Break Even44.4%
Probability40.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Junior Tafa (3.5) spread must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

57.8% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
42.2% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)Under (1.5)
57.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-14559.2%C

Over (1.5)
Betonline.ag-145
Break Even59.2%
Probability57.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-15560.8%F

Over (1.5)
Bovada-155
Break Even60.8%
Probability57.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-16662.4%F

Over (1.5)
DraftKings-166
Break Even62.4%
Probability57.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 62.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
42.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings13043.5%C

Under (1.5)
DraftKings130
Break Even43.5%
Probability42.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag12544.4%F

Under (1.5)
Betonline.ag125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada12045.5%F

Under (1.5)
Bovada120
Break Even45.5%
Probability42.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.