Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott

MMA - January 31, 2026 6:15 PM

Jonathan Micallef have a 54.3% of winning.
Oban Elliott have a 45.7% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Jonathan MicallefOban Elliott
54.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-12555.6%C

Jonathan Micallef
DraftKings-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability54.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Jonathan Micallef must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-12555.6%C

Jonathan Micallef
Ceasers-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability54.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Jonathan Micallef must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-13056.5%F

Jonathan Micallef
Bovada-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jonathan Micallef must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-13056.5%F

Jonathan Micallef
Betonline.ag-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jonathan Micallef must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-13557.4%F

Jonathan Micallef
BetMGM-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jonathan Micallef must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-13657.6%F

Jonathan Micallef
-136
Break Even57.6%
Probability54.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jonathan Micallef must be more likely than 57.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-13657.6%F

Jonathan Micallef
BetRivers-136
Break Even57.6%
Probability54.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jonathan Micallef must be more likely than 57.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
45.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel11646.3%C

Oban Elliott
116
Break Even46.3%
Probability45.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Oban Elliott must be more likely than 46.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers11047.6%C

Oban Elliott
BetRivers110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Oban Elliott must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM11047.6%C

Oban Elliott
BetMGM110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Oban Elliott must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada11047.6%C

Oban Elliott
Bovada110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Oban Elliott must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag11047.6%C

Oban Elliott
Betonline.ag110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Oban Elliott must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings10548.8%F

Oban Elliott
DraftKings105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Oban Elliott must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers10548.8%F

Oban Elliott
Ceasers105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Oban Elliott must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

38.3% chance that Jonathan Micallef win by 3.5 or more points.
61.7% chance that Oban Elliott win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Jonathan Micallef (-3.5)Oban Elliott (3.5)
38.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada16038.5%B

Jonathan Micallef (-3.5)
Bovada160
Break Even38.5%
Probability38.3%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Jonathan Micallef (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 38.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings13043.5%F

Jonathan Micallef (-3.5)
DraftKings130
Break Even43.5%
Probability38.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jonathan Micallef (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
61.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-18064.3%F

Oban Elliott (3.5)
DraftKings-180
Break Even64.3%
Probability61.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Oban Elliott (3.5) spread must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 61.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-21067.7%F

Oban Elliott (3.5)
Bovada-210
Break Even67.7%
Probability61.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Oban Elliott (3.5) spread must be more likely than 67.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 61.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

65.3% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
34.7% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
65.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-21568.3%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-215
Break Even68.3%
Probability65.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 68.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 65.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-22068.8%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-220
Break Even68.8%
Probability65.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 68.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 65.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-22569.2%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada-225
Break Even69.2%
Probability65.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 69.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 65.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
34.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag18635.0%B

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag186
Break Even35.0%
Probability34.7%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 35.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.7%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Bovada17037.0%F

Under (2.5)
Bovada170
Break Even37.0%
Probability34.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings16537.7%F

Under (2.5)
DraftKings165
Break Even37.7%
Probability34.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 37.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.