Alex Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes

MMA - January 31, 2026 10:15 PM

Alex Volkanovski have a 57.1% of winning.
Diego Lopes have a 42.9% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Alex VolkanovskiDiego Lopes
57.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-14258.7%C

Alex Volkanovski
Bovada-142
Break Even58.7%
Probability57.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Alex Volkanovski must be more likely than 58.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel-14459.0%C

Alex Volkanovski
-144
Break Even59.0%
Probability57.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Alex Volkanovski must be more likely than 59.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-14559.2%F

Alex Volkanovski
Ceasers-145
Break Even59.2%
Probability57.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alex Volkanovski must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-14859.7%F

Alex Volkanovski
DraftKings-148
Break Even59.7%
Probability57.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alex Volkanovski must be more likely than 59.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-15060.0%F

Alex Volkanovski
BetMGM-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability57.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alex Volkanovski must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-15060.0%F

Alex Volkanovski
Betonline.ag-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability57.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alex Volkanovski must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
42.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag13043.5%C

Diego Lopes
Betonline.ag130
Break Even43.5%
Probability42.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Diego Lopes must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM12544.4%C

Diego Lopes
BetMGM125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Diego Lopes must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings12444.6%C

Diego Lopes
DraftKings124
Break Even44.6%
Probability42.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Diego Lopes must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel12245.0%F

Diego Lopes
122
Break Even45.0%
Probability42.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Diego Lopes must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers12245.0%F

Diego Lopes
Ceasers122
Break Even45.0%
Probability42.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Diego Lopes must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada12245.0%F

Diego Lopes
Bovada122
Break Even45.0%
Probability42.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Diego Lopes must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

40.3% chance that Alex Volkanovski win by 5.5 or more points.
59.7% chance that Diego Lopes win or are within 5.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Alex Volkanovski (-5.5)Diego Lopes (5.5)
40.3%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada13542.6%F

Alex Volkanovski (-5.5)
Bovada135
Break Even42.6%
Probability40.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alex Volkanovski (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings13043.5%F

Alex Volkanovski (-5.5)
DraftKings130
Break Even43.5%
Probability40.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alex Volkanovski (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
59.7%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-17563.6%F

Diego Lopes (5.5)
DraftKings-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability59.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Diego Lopes (5.5) spread must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-17563.6%F

Diego Lopes (5.5)
Bovada-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability59.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Diego Lopes (5.5) spread must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

48.6% chance that the total final score will be over 4.5 points.
51.4% chance that the total final score will be under 4.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (4.5)Under (4.5)
48.6%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-10551.2%F

Over (4.5)
DraftKings-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (4.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-10551.2%F

Over (4.5)
Betonline.ag-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (4.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

Over (4.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability48.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (4.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
51.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag-11553.5%F

Under (4.5)
Betonline.ag-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (4.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-12054.5%F

Under (4.5)
Bovada-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability51.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (4.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-12555.6%F

Under (4.5)
DraftKings-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability51.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (4.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.