Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett

MMA - January 24, 2026 11:30 PM

Justin Gaethje have a 35.2% of winning.
Paddy Pimblett have a 64.8% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Justin GaethjePaddy Pimblett
35.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel17636.2%C

Justin Gaethje
176
Break Even36.2%
Probability35.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Justin Gaethje must be more likely than 36.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers17536.4%C

Justin Gaethje
BetRivers175
Break Even36.4%
Probability35.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Justin Gaethje must be more likely than 36.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings17037.0%C

Justin Gaethje
DraftKings170
Break Even37.0%
Probability35.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Justin Gaethje must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM17037.0%C

Justin Gaethje
BetMGM170
Break Even37.0%
Probability35.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Justin Gaethje must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag17037.0%C

Justin Gaethje
Betonline.ag170
Break Even37.0%
Probability35.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Justin Gaethje must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers16038.5%F

Justin Gaethje
Ceasers160
Break Even38.5%
Probability35.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Justin Gaethje must be more likely than 38.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
64.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag-20066.7%C

Paddy Pimblett
Betonline.ag-200
Break Even66.7%
Probability64.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Paddy Pimblett must be more likely than 66.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-20567.2%F

Paddy Pimblett
DraftKings-205
Break Even67.2%
Probability64.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Paddy Pimblett must be more likely than 67.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-21067.7%F

Paddy Pimblett
Ceasers-210
Break Even67.7%
Probability64.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Paddy Pimblett must be more likely than 67.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-21067.7%F

Paddy Pimblett
BetMGM-210
Break Even67.7%
Probability64.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Paddy Pimblett must be more likely than 67.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-22569.2%F

Paddy Pimblett
BetRivers-225
Break Even69.2%
Probability64.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Paddy Pimblett must be more likely than 69.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-23069.7%F

Paddy Pimblett
-230
Break Even69.7%
Probability64.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Paddy Pimblett must be more likely than 69.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.