Melissa Croden vs Luana Santos

MMA - December 13, 2025 7:15 PM

Luana Santos have a 55.2% of winning.
Melissa Croden have a 44.8% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Luana SantosMelissa Croden
55.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-13256.9%C

Luana Santos
BetRivers-132
Break Even56.9%
Probability55.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Luana Santos must be more likely than 56.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel-13457.3%F

Luana Santos
-134
Break Even57.3%
Probability55.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Luana Santos must be more likely than 57.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-13557.4%F

Luana Santos
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Luana Santos must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-13557.4%F

Luana Santos
Betonline.ag-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Luana Santos must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-13557.4%F

Luana Santos
BetUS-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Luana Santos must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-13858.0%F

Luana Santos
Bovada-138
Break Even58.0%
Probability55.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Luana Santos must be more likely than 58.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-14058.3%F

Luana Santos
Ceasers-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Luana Santos must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-14058.3%F

Luana Santos
BetMGM-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Luana Santos must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
44.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers11845.9%C

Melissa Croden
Ceasers118
Break Even45.9%
Probability44.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Melissa Croden must be more likely than 45.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada11746.1%C

Melissa Croden
Bovada117
Break Even46.1%
Probability44.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Melissa Croden must be more likely than 46.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM11546.5%C

Melissa Croden
BetMGM115
Break Even46.5%
Probability44.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Melissa Croden must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag11546.5%C

Melissa Croden
Betonline.ag115
Break Even46.5%
Probability44.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Melissa Croden must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel11446.7%C

Melissa Croden
114
Break Even46.7%
Probability44.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Melissa Croden must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings11446.7%C

Melissa Croden
DraftKings114
Break Even46.7%
Probability44.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Melissa Croden must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS11446.7%C

Melissa Croden
BetUS114
Break Even46.7%
Probability44.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Melissa Croden must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers10648.5%F

Melissa Croden
BetRivers106
Break Even48.5%
Probability44.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Melissa Croden must be more likely than 48.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

35.4% chance that Luana Santos win by 3.5 or more points.
64.6% chance that Melissa Croden win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Luana Santos (-3.5)Melissa Croden (3.5)
35.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings16537.7%F

Luana Santos (-3.5)
DraftKings165
Break Even37.7%
Probability35.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Luana Santos (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 37.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada16537.7%F

Luana Santos (-3.5)
Bovada165
Break Even37.7%
Probability35.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Luana Santos (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 37.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
64.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-22068.8%F

Melissa Croden (3.5)
Bovada-220
Break Even68.8%
Probability64.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Melissa Croden (3.5) spread must be more likely than 68.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-22569.2%F

Melissa Croden (3.5)
DraftKings-225
Break Even69.2%
Probability64.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Melissa Croden (3.5) spread must be more likely than 69.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

68.1% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
31.9% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
68.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-24070.6%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-240
Break Even70.6%
Probability68.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 70.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 68.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-24070.6%F

Over (2.5)
BetUS-240
Break Even70.6%
Probability68.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 70.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 68.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-26072.2%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-260
Break Even72.2%
Probability68.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 72.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 68.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-27573.3%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada-275
Break Even73.3%
Probability68.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 73.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 68.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
31.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada20033.3%C

Under (2.5)
Bovada200
Break Even33.3%
Probability31.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag20033.3%C

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag200
Break Even33.3%
Probability31.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS19833.6%C

Under (2.5)
BetUS198
Break Even33.6%
Probability31.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 33.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings19533.9%F

Under (2.5)
DraftKings195
Break Even33.9%
Probability31.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 33.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 31.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.