Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape

MMA - December 13, 2025 11:45 PM

Brandon Royval have a 28.7% of winning.
Manel Kape have a 71.3% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Brandon RoyvalManel Kape
28.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers25028.6%A-

Brandon Royval
BetRivers250
Break Even28.6%
Probability28.7%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, Brandon Royval must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.7%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Betonline.ag24029.4%C

Brandon Royval
Betonline.ag240
Break Even29.4%
Probability28.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Brandon Royval must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS23829.6%C

Brandon Royval
BetUS238
Break Even29.6%
Probability28.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Brandon Royval must be more likely than 29.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel23529.9%C

Brandon Royval
235
Break Even29.9%
Probability28.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Brandon Royval must be more likely than 29.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada23529.9%C

Brandon Royval
Bovada235
Break Even29.9%
Probability28.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Brandon Royval must be more likely than 29.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings23030.3%C

Brandon Royval
DraftKings230
Break Even30.3%
Probability28.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Brandon Royval must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers23030.3%C

Brandon Royval
Ceasers230
Break Even30.3%
Probability28.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Brandon Royval must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM22031.2%F

Brandon Royval
BetMGM220
Break Even31.2%
Probability28.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Brandon Royval must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
71.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM-27573.3%F

Manel Kape
BetMGM-275
Break Even73.3%
Probability71.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Manel Kape must be more likely than 73.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 71.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-28073.7%F

Manel Kape
Betonline.ag-280
Break Even73.7%
Probability71.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Manel Kape must be more likely than 73.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 71.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-28574.0%F

Manel Kape
DraftKings-285
Break Even74.0%
Probability71.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Manel Kape must be more likely than 74.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 71.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-28574.0%F

Manel Kape
Ceasers-285
Break Even74.0%
Probability71.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Manel Kape must be more likely than 74.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 71.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-28574.0%F

Manel Kape
Bovada-285
Break Even74.0%
Probability71.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Manel Kape must be more likely than 74.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 71.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-29074.4%F

Manel Kape
-290
Break Even74.4%
Probability71.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Manel Kape must be more likely than 74.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 71.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-29074.4%F

Manel Kape
BetUS-290
Break Even74.4%
Probability71.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Manel Kape must be more likely than 74.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 71.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-33577.0%F

Manel Kape
BetRivers-335
Break Even77.0%
Probability71.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Manel Kape must be more likely than 77.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 71.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

46.8% chance that Brandon Royval win or are within 9.5 points of winning.
53.2% chance that Manel Kape win by 9.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Brandon Royval (9.5)Manel Kape (-9.5)
46.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings10548.8%F

Brandon Royval (9.5)
DraftKings105
Break Even48.8%
Probability46.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Brandon Royval (9.5) spread must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-10551.2%F

Brandon Royval (9.5)
Bovada-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability46.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Brandon Royval (9.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
53.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-12555.6%F

Manel Kape (-9.5)
Bovada-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability53.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Manel Kape (-9.5) spread must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-14058.3%F

Manel Kape (-9.5)
DraftKings-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability53.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Manel Kape (-9.5) spread must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

54.6% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
45.4% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
54.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-13557.4%F

Over (3.5)
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (3.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-13557.4%F

Over (3.5)
Bovada-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (3.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-13557.4%F

Over (3.5)
Betonline.ag-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (3.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-13557.4%F

Over (3.5)
BetUS-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (3.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
45.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag11546.5%C

Under (3.5)
Betonline.ag115
Break Even46.5%
Probability45.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (3.5) must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS11446.7%C

Under (3.5)
BetUS114
Break Even46.7%
Probability45.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (3.5) must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings10548.8%F

Under (3.5)
DraftKings105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (3.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada10548.8%F

Under (3.5)
Bovada105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (3.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.