Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan

MMA - December 6, 2025 11:30 PM

Merab Dvalishvili have a 77.6% of winning.
Petr Yan have a 22.4% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Merab DvalishviliPetr Yan
77.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-41080.4%F

Merab Dvalishvili
DraftKings-410
Break Even80.4%
Probability77.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Merab Dvalishvili must be more likely than 80.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 77.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-41080.4%F

Merab Dvalishvili
Bovada-410
Break Even80.4%
Probability77.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Merab Dvalishvili must be more likely than 80.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 77.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-41580.6%F

Merab Dvalishvili
Betonline.ag-415
Break Even80.6%
Probability77.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Merab Dvalishvili must be more likely than 80.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 77.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-42581.0%F

Merab Dvalishvili
BetMGM-425
Break Even81.0%
Probability77.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Merab Dvalishvili must be more likely than 81.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 77.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-44081.5%F

Merab Dvalishvili
Ceasers-440
Break Even81.5%
Probability77.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Merab Dvalishvili must be more likely than 81.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 77.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-45582.0%F

Merab Dvalishvili
BetRivers-455
Break Even82.0%
Probability77.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Merab Dvalishvili must be more likely than 82.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 77.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-50083.3%F

Merab Dvalishvili
-500
Break Even83.3%
Probability77.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Merab Dvalishvili must be more likely than 83.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 77.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
22.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel34022.7%B

Petr Yan
340
Break Even22.7%
Probability22.4%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Petr Yan must be more likely than 22.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.4%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Ceasers34022.7%B

Petr Yan
Ceasers340
Break Even22.7%
Probability22.4%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Petr Yan must be more likely than 22.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.4%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetRivers34022.7%B

Petr Yan
BetRivers340
Break Even22.7%
Probability22.4%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Petr Yan must be more likely than 22.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.4%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings32023.8%C

Petr Yan
DraftKings320
Break Even23.8%
Probability22.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Petr Yan must be more likely than 23.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM32023.8%C

Petr Yan
BetMGM320
Break Even23.8%
Probability22.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Petr Yan must be more likely than 23.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag31524.1%C

Petr Yan
Betonline.ag315
Break Even24.1%
Probability22.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Petr Yan must be more likely than 24.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada30524.7%F

Petr Yan
Bovada305
Break Even24.7%
Probability22.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Petr Yan must be more likely than 24.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

57.5% chance that Merab Dvalishvili win by 5.5 or more points.
42.5% chance that Petr Yan win or are within 5.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Merab Dvalishvili (-5.5)Petr Yan (5.5)
57.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-16061.5%F

Merab Dvalishvili (-5.5)
DraftKings-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability57.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Merab Dvalishvili (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
42.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings12045.5%F

Petr Yan (5.5)
DraftKings120
Break Even45.5%
Probability42.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Petr Yan (5.5) spread must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

76.0% chance that the total final score will be over 4.5 points.
24.0% chance that the total final score will be under 4.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (4.5)Under (4.5)
76.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-39579.8%F

Over (4.5)
DraftKings-395
Break Even79.8%
Probability76.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (4.5) must be more likely than 79.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-40080.0%F

Over (4.5)
Betonline.ag-400
Break Even80.0%
Probability76.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (4.5) must be more likely than 80.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-43581.3%F

Over (4.5)
Bovada-435
Break Even81.3%
Probability76.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (4.5) must be more likely than 81.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 76.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
24.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag31624.0%B

Under (4.5)
Betonline.ag316
Break Even24.0%
Probability24.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Under (4.5) must be more likely than 24.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Bovada29025.6%C

Under (4.5)
Bovada290
Break Even25.6%
Probability24.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (4.5) must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings28026.3%F

Under (4.5)
DraftKings280
Break Even26.3%
Probability24.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (4.5) must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.