Marvin Vettori vs Brunno Ferreira

MMA - December 6, 2025 6:45 PM

Brunno Ferreira have a 48.8% of winning.
Marvin Vettori have a 51.2% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Brunno Ferreira

48.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Brunno Ferreira

Bovada	-103
Break Even	50.7%
Probability	48.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Brunno Ferreira must be more likely than 50.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Brunno Ferreira

DraftKings	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	48.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Brunno Ferreira must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Brunno Ferreira

Ceasers	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	48.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Brunno Ferreira must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Brunno Ferreira

BetMGM	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	48.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Brunno Ferreira must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Brunno Ferreira

Betonline.ag	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	48.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Brunno Ferreira must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Brunno Ferreira

	-106
Break Even	51.5%
Probability	48.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Brunno Ferreira must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Brunno Ferreira

BetRivers	-108
Break Even	51.9%
Probability	48.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Brunno Ferreira must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

51.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Marvin Vettori

DraftKings	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Marvin Vettori must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Marvin Vettori

Ceasers	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Marvin Vettori must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Marvin Vettori

BetRivers	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Marvin Vettori must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Marvin Vettori

BetMGM	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Marvin Vettori must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Marvin Vettori

Betonline.ag	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Marvin Vettori must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Marvin Vettori

Bovada	-117
Break Even	53.9%
Probability	51.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Marvin Vettori must be more likely than 53.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Marvin Vettori

	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	51.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Marvin Vettori must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

38.9% chance that Brunno Ferreira win by 3.5 or more points.
61.1% chance that Marvin Vettori win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Brunno Ferreira (-3.5)

Marvin Vettori (3.5)

38.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Brunno Ferreira (-3.5)

DraftKings	140
Break Even	41.7%
Probability	38.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Brunno Ferreira (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

61.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Marvin Vettori (3.5)

DraftKings	-190
Break Even	65.5%
Probability	61.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Marvin Vettori (3.5) spread must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 61.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

58.4% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
41.6% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

58.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (2.5)

Betonline.ag	-155
Break Even	60.8%
Probability	58.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

DraftKings	-160
Break Even	61.5%
Probability	58.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

Bovada	-165
Break Even	62.3%
Probability	58.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 62.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

41.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (2.5)

Betonline.ag	135
Break Even	42.6%
Probability	41.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (2.5)

Bovada	125
Break Even	44.4%
Probability	41.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

DraftKings	124
Break Even	44.6%
Probability	41.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.