Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov

MMA - December 6, 2025 9:15 PM

Bogdan Guskov have a 45.7% of winning.
Jan Blachowicz have a 54.3% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

45.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bogdan Guskov

Ceasers	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	45.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Bogdan Guskov must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bogdan Guskov

BetRivers	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	45.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Bogdan Guskov must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bogdan Guskov

BetMGM	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	45.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Bogdan Guskov must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bogdan Guskov

Bovada	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	45.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Bogdan Guskov must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bogdan Guskov

Betonline.ag	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	45.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Bogdan Guskov must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bogdan Guskov

	108
Break Even	48.1%
Probability	45.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Bogdan Guskov must be more likely than 48.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Bogdan Guskov

DraftKings	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	45.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Bogdan Guskov must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

54.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Jan Blachowicz

DraftKings	-125
Break Even	55.6%
Probability	54.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Jan Blachowicz must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Jan Blachowicz

Ceasers	-130
Break Even	56.5%
Probability	54.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Jan Blachowicz must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Jan Blachowicz

Bovada	-130
Break Even	56.5%
Probability	54.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Jan Blachowicz must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Jan Blachowicz

Betonline.ag	-130
Break Even	56.5%
Probability	54.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Jan Blachowicz must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Jan Blachowicz

BetMGM	-135
Break Even	57.4%
Probability	54.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Jan Blachowicz must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Jan Blachowicz

BetRivers	-137
Break Even	57.8%
Probability	54.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Jan Blachowicz must be more likely than 57.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Jan Blachowicz

	-138
Break Even	58.0%
Probability	54.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Jan Blachowicz must be more likely than 58.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

59.4% chance that Bogdan Guskov win or are within 3.5 points of winning.
40.6% chance that Jan Blachowicz win by 3.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Bogdan Guskov (3.5)

Jan Blachowicz (-3.5)

59.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bogdan Guskov (3.5)

DraftKings	-175
Break Even	63.6%
Probability	59.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Bogdan Guskov (3.5) spread must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

40.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Jan Blachowicz (-3.5)

DraftKings	130
Break Even	43.5%
Probability	40.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Jan Blachowicz (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

43.4% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
56.6% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

43.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (2.5)

Betonline.ag	128
Break Even	43.9%
Probability	43.4%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 43.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Over (2.5)

Bovada	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	43.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

DraftKings	114
Break Even	46.7%
Probability	43.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

56.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (2.5)

DraftKings	-145
Break Even	59.2%
Probability	56.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

Betonline.ag	-148
Break Even	59.7%
Probability	56.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 59.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

Bovada	-150
Break Even	60.0%
Probability	56.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.