Grant Dawson vs Manuel Torres

MMA - December 6, 2025 8:45 PM

Grant Dawson have a 66.0% of winning.
Manuel Torres have a 34.0% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Grant DawsonManuel Torres
66.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-21868.6%F

Grant Dawson
DraftKings-218
Break Even68.6%
Probability66.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Grant Dawson must be more likely than 68.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-22068.8%F

Grant Dawson
BetMGM-220
Break Even68.8%
Probability66.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Grant Dawson must be more likely than 68.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-22068.8%F

Grant Dawson
Bovada-220
Break Even68.8%
Probability66.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Grant Dawson must be more likely than 68.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-22068.8%F

Grant Dawson
Betonline.ag-220
Break Even68.8%
Probability66.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Grant Dawson must be more likely than 68.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-22569.2%F

Grant Dawson
Ceasers-225
Break Even69.2%
Probability66.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Grant Dawson must be more likely than 69.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-22569.2%F

Grant Dawson
BetRivers-225
Break Even69.2%
Probability66.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Grant Dawson must be more likely than 69.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-23570.1%F

Grant Dawson
-235
Break Even70.1%
Probability66.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Grant Dawson must be more likely than 70.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
34.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers18535.1%C

Manuel Torres
Ceasers185
Break Even35.1%
Probability34.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Manuel Torres must be more likely than 35.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag18535.1%C

Manuel Torres
Betonline.ag185
Break Even35.1%
Probability34.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Manuel Torres must be more likely than 35.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel18035.7%C

Manuel Torres
180
Break Even35.7%
Probability34.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Manuel Torres must be more likely than 35.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings18035.7%C

Manuel Torres
DraftKings180
Break Even35.7%
Probability34.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Manuel Torres must be more likely than 35.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM18035.7%C

Manuel Torres
BetMGM180
Break Even35.7%
Probability34.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Manuel Torres must be more likely than 35.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada18035.7%C

Manuel Torres
Bovada180
Break Even35.7%
Probability34.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Manuel Torres must be more likely than 35.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers17536.4%F

Manuel Torres
BetRivers175
Break Even36.4%
Probability34.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Manuel Torres must be more likely than 36.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

53.5% chance that Grant Dawson win by 7.5 or more points.
46.5% chance that Manuel Torres win or are within 7.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Grant Dawson (-7.5)Manuel Torres (7.5)
53.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-13557.4%F

Grant Dawson (-7.5)
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability53.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Grant Dawson (-7.5) spread must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
46.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings10050.0%F

Manuel Torres (7.5)
DraftKings100
Break Even50.0%
Probability46.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Manuel Torres (7.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

46.2% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
53.8% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)Under (1.5)
46.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings10548.8%F

Over (1.5)
DraftKings105
Break Even48.8%
Probability46.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada10548.8%F

Over (1.5)
Bovada105
Break Even48.8%
Probability46.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag10548.8%F

Over (1.5)
Betonline.ag105
Break Even48.8%
Probability46.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
53.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-12555.6%C

Under (1.5)
Betonline.ag-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability53.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-13557.4%F

Under (1.5)
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability53.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-13557.4%F

Under (1.5)
Bovada-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability53.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.