Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Van

MMA - December 6, 2025 10:45 PM

Alexandre Pantoja have a 67.7% of winning.
Joshua Van have a 32.3% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Alexandre PantojaJoshua Van
67.7%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag-22369.0%C

Alexandre Pantoja
Betonline.ag-223
Break Even69.0%
Probability67.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Alexandre Pantoja must be more likely than 69.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-23570.1%F

Alexandre Pantoja
BetMGM-235
Break Even70.1%
Probability67.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alexandre Pantoja must be more likely than 70.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-23870.4%F

Alexandre Pantoja
DraftKings-238
Break Even70.4%
Probability67.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alexandre Pantoja must be more likely than 70.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-24070.6%F

Alexandre Pantoja
Bovada-240
Break Even70.6%
Probability67.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alexandre Pantoja must be more likely than 70.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-25071.4%F

Alexandre Pantoja
Ceasers-250
Break Even71.4%
Probability67.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alexandre Pantoja must be more likely than 71.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-25071.4%F

Alexandre Pantoja
BetRivers-250
Break Even71.4%
Probability67.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alexandre Pantoja must be more likely than 71.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-26572.6%F

Alexandre Pantoja
-265
Break Even72.6%
Probability67.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alexandre Pantoja must be more likely than 72.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 67.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
32.3%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers20532.8%B

Joshua Van
Ceasers205
Break Even32.8%
Probability32.3%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Joshua Van must be more likely than 32.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanduel20033.3%C

Joshua Van
200
Break Even33.3%
Probability32.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Joshua Van must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada20033.3%C

Joshua Van
Bovada200
Break Even33.3%
Probability32.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Joshua Van must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings19533.9%C

Joshua Van
DraftKings195
Break Even33.9%
Probability32.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Joshua Van must be more likely than 33.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers19533.9%C

Joshua Van
BetRivers195
Break Even33.9%
Probability32.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Joshua Van must be more likely than 33.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM19034.5%F

Joshua Van
BetMGM190
Break Even34.5%
Probability32.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Joshua Van must be more likely than 34.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag18834.7%F

Joshua Van
Betonline.ag188
Break Even34.7%
Probability32.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Joshua Van must be more likely than 34.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

55.8% chance that Alexandre Pantoja win by 5.5 or more points.
44.2% chance that Joshua Van win or are within 5.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Alexandre Pantoja (-5.5)Joshua Van (5.5)
55.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-15060.0%F

Alexandre Pantoja (-5.5)
DraftKings-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability55.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Alexandre Pantoja (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
44.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings11047.6%F

Joshua Van (5.5)
DraftKings110
Break Even47.6%
Probability44.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Joshua Van (5.5) spread must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

66.3% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
33.7% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
66.3%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag-22068.8%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-220
Break Even68.8%
Probability66.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 68.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-23870.4%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-238
Break Even70.4%
Probability66.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 70.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
33.7%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag18635.0%C

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag186
Break Even35.0%
Probability33.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 35.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings18035.7%F

Under (2.5)
DraftKings180
Break Even35.7%
Probability33.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 35.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

44.6% chance that the total final score will be over 4.5 points.
55.4% chance that the total final score will be under 4.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (4.5)Under (4.5)
44.6%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada11047.6%F

Over (4.5)
Bovada110
Break Even47.6%
Probability44.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (4.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
55.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-14559.2%F

Under (4.5)
Bovada-145
Break Even59.2%
Probability55.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (4.5) must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.