Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Shamil Gaziev

MMA - November 22, 2025 12:45 PM

Shamil Gaziev have a 43.4% of winning.
Waldo Cortes-Acosta have a 56.6% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Shamil Gaziev

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

43.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Fanduel

126

44.2%

Shamil Gaziev

	126
Break Even	44.2%
Probability	43.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Shamil Gaziev must be more likely than 44.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

125

44.4%

Shamil Gaziev

Betonline.ag	125
Break Even	44.4%
Probability	43.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Shamil Gaziev must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

120

45.5%

Shamil Gaziev

DraftKings	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	43.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shamil Gaziev must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetRivers

120

45.5%

Shamil Gaziev

BetRivers	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	43.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shamil Gaziev must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetMGM

120

45.5%

Shamil Gaziev

BetMGM	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	43.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shamil Gaziev must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Bovada

120

45.5%

Shamil Gaziev

Bovada	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	43.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shamil Gaziev must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Ceasers

118

45.9%

Shamil Gaziev

Ceasers	118
Break Even	45.9%
Probability	43.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shamil Gaziev must be more likely than 45.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

56.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Ceasers

-140

58.3%

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Ceasers	-140
Break Even	58.3%
Probability	56.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Waldo Cortes-Acosta must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bovada

-140

58.3%

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Bovada	-140
Break Even	58.3%
Probability	56.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Waldo Cortes-Acosta must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

-142

58.7%

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

DraftKings	-142
Break Even	58.7%
Probability	56.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Waldo Cortes-Acosta must be more likely than 58.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetMGM

-145

59.2%

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

BetMGM	-145
Break Even	59.2%
Probability	56.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Waldo Cortes-Acosta must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Betonline.ag

-145

59.2%

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Betonline.ag	-145
Break Even	59.2%
Probability	56.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Waldo Cortes-Acosta must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Fanduel

-148

59.7%

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

	-148
Break Even	59.7%
Probability	56.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Waldo Cortes-Acosta must be more likely than 59.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetRivers

-150

60.0%

Waldo Cortes-Acosta

BetRivers	-150
Break Even	60.0%
Probability	56.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Waldo Cortes-Acosta must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

57.4% chance that Shamil Gaziev win or are within 3.5 points of winning.
42.6% chance that Waldo Cortes-Acosta win by 3.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Shamil Gaziev (3.5)

Waldo Cortes-Acosta (-3.5)

57.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bovada

-155

60.8%

Shamil Gaziev (3.5)

Bovada	-155
Break Even	60.8%
Probability	57.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shamil Gaziev (3.5) spread must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

DraftKings

-160

61.5%

Shamil Gaziev (3.5)

DraftKings	-160
Break Even	61.5%
Probability	57.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shamil Gaziev (3.5) spread must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

42.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

120

45.5%

Waldo Cortes-Acosta (-3.5)

DraftKings	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	42.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Waldo Cortes-Acosta (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Bovada

120

45.5%

Waldo Cortes-Acosta (-3.5)

Bovada	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	42.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Waldo Cortes-Acosta (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

49.7% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
50.3% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

49.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bovada

-105

51.2%

Over (2.5)

Bovada	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	49.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

-115

53.5%

Over (2.5)

DraftKings	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	49.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Betonline.ag

-115

53.5%

Over (2.5)

Betonline.ag	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	49.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Betonline.ag

-105

51.2%

Under (2.5)

Betonline.ag	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	50.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

-115

53.5%

Under (2.5)

DraftKings	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	50.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Bovada

-125

55.6%

Under (2.5)

Bovada	-125
Break Even	55.6%
Probability	50.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.