Sergey Spivak vs Shamil Gaziev

MMA - November 22, 2025 12:45 PM

Sergey Spivak have a 43.4% of winning.
Shamil Gaziev have a 56.6% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Sergey Spivak

Shamil Gaziev

43.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Fanduel

124

44.6%

Sergey Spivak

	124
Break Even	44.6%
Probability	43.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Sergey Spivak must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetRivers

123

44.8%

Sergey Spivak

BetRivers	123
Break Even	44.8%
Probability	43.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, Sergey Spivak must be more likely than 44.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bovada

112

47.2%

Sergey Spivak

Bovada	112
Break Even	47.2%
Probability	43.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Sergey Spivak must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

56.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bovada

-133

57.1%

Shamil Gaziev

Bovada	-133
Break Even	57.1%
Probability	56.6%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, Shamil Gaziev must be more likely than 57.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

BetRivers

-152

60.3%

Shamil Gaziev

BetRivers	-152
Break Even	60.3%
Probability	56.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shamil Gaziev must be more likely than 60.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Fanduel

-158

61.2%

Shamil Gaziev

	-158
Break Even	61.2%
Probability	56.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shamil Gaziev must be more likely than 61.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

49.5% chance that Sergey Spivak win or are within 3.5 points of winning.
50.5% chance that Shamil Gaziev win by 3.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Sergey Spivak (3.5)

Shamil Gaziev (-3.5)

49.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

-115

53.5%

Sergey Spivak (3.5)

DraftKings	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	49.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Sergey Spivak (3.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

-120

54.5%

Shamil Gaziev (-3.5)

DraftKings	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	50.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Shamil Gaziev (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

54.1% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
45.9% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)

Under (1.5)

54.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bovada

-135

57.4%

Over (1.5)

Bovada	-135
Break Even	57.4%
Probability	54.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

45.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bovada

105

48.8%

Under (1.5)

Bovada	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	45.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.