Leon Edwards vs Carlos Prates

MMA - November 15, 2025 9:45 PM

Carlos Prates have a 60.9% of winning.
Leon Edwards have a 39.1% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Carlos PratesLeon Edwards
60.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag-16161.7%C

Carlos Prates
Betonline.ag-161
Break Even61.7%
Probability60.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Carlos Prates must be more likely than 61.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-16662.4%C

Carlos Prates
DraftKings-166
Break Even62.4%
Probability60.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Carlos Prates must be more likely than 62.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-17263.2%F

Carlos Prates
Bovada-172
Break Even63.2%
Probability60.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Carlos Prates must be more likely than 63.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-17563.6%F

Carlos Prates
Ceasers-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability60.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Carlos Prates must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-18064.3%F

Carlos Prates
-180
Break Even64.3%
Probability60.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Carlos Prates must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-18064.3%F

Carlos Prates
BetRivers-180
Break Even64.3%
Probability60.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Carlos Prates must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-18564.9%F

Carlos Prates
BetMGM-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability60.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Carlos Prates must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
39.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel15239.7%C

Leon Edwards
152
Break Even39.7%
Probability39.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Leon Edwards must be more likely than 39.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM15040.0%C

Leon Edwards
BetMGM150
Break Even40.0%
Probability39.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Leon Edwards must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada14740.5%C

Leon Edwards
Bovada147
Break Even40.5%
Probability39.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Leon Edwards must be more likely than 40.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers14540.8%C

Leon Edwards
Ceasers145
Break Even40.8%
Probability39.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Leon Edwards must be more likely than 40.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers14540.8%C

Leon Edwards
BetRivers145
Break Even40.8%
Probability39.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Leon Edwards must be more likely than 40.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag14141.5%F

Leon Edwards
Betonline.ag141
Break Even41.5%
Probability39.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Leon Edwards must be more likely than 41.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings14041.7%F

Leon Edwards
DraftKings140
Break Even41.7%
Probability39.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Leon Edwards must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

47.8% chance that Carlos Prates win by 3.5 or more points.
52.2% chance that Leon Edwards win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Carlos Prates (-3.5)Leon Edwards (3.5)
47.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings10050.0%F

Carlos Prates (-3.5)
DraftKings100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Carlos Prates (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

Carlos Prates (-3.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability47.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Carlos Prates (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
52.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-12054.5%F

Leon Edwards (3.5)
Bovada-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Leon Edwards (3.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-13557.4%F

Leon Edwards (3.5)
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability52.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Leon Edwards (3.5) spread must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

55.6% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
44.4% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
55.6%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-14058.3%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-14058.3%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-14559.2%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada-145
Break Even59.2%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
44.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag12045.5%C

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag120
Break Even45.5%
Probability44.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings11047.6%F

Under (2.5)
DraftKings110
Break Even47.6%
Probability44.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada11047.6%F

Under (2.5)
Bovada110
Break Even47.6%
Probability44.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.