Julia Polastri vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz

MMA - October 11, 2025 3:35 PM

Julia Polastri have a 81.4% of winning.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz have a 18.6% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Julia PolastriKarolina Kowalkiewicz
81.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-55084.6%F

Julia Polastri
DraftKings-550
Break Even84.6%
Probability81.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Julia Polastri must be more likely than 84.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-55084.6%F

Julia Polastri
Ceasers-550
Break Even84.6%
Probability81.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Julia Polastri must be more likely than 84.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-55084.6%F

Julia Polastri
BetMGM-550
Break Even84.6%
Probability81.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Julia Polastri must be more likely than 84.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-56084.8%F

Julia Polastri
BetRivers-560
Break Even84.8%
Probability81.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Julia Polastri must be more likely than 84.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-57585.2%F

Julia Polastri
Bovada-575
Break Even85.2%
Probability81.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Julia Polastri must be more likely than 85.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-59085.5%F

Julia Polastri
-590
Break Even85.5%
Probability81.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Julia Polastri must be more likely than 85.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-60085.7%F

Julia Polastri
Betonline.ag-600
Break Even85.7%
Probability81.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Julia Polastri must be more likely than 85.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-60085.7%F

Julia Polastri
BetUS-600
Break Even85.7%
Probability81.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Julia Polastri must be more likely than 85.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 81.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
18.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag45018.2%A

Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Betonline.ag450
Break Even18.2%
Probability18.6%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, Karolina Kowalkiewicz must be more likely than 18.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.6%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
Fanduel43018.9%B

Karolina Kowalkiewicz
430
Break Even18.9%
Probability18.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Karolina Kowalkiewicz must be more likely than 18.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetUS42519.0%B

Karolina Kowalkiewicz
BetUS425
Break Even19.0%
Probability18.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Karolina Kowalkiewicz must be more likely than 19.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings41019.6%C

Karolina Kowalkiewicz
DraftKings410
Break Even19.6%
Probability18.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Karolina Kowalkiewicz must be more likely than 19.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers41019.6%C

Karolina Kowalkiewicz
BetRivers410
Break Even19.6%
Probability18.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Karolina Kowalkiewicz must be more likely than 19.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers40020.0%C

Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Ceasers400
Break Even20.0%
Probability18.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Karolina Kowalkiewicz must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM40020.0%C

Karolina Kowalkiewicz
BetMGM400
Break Even20.0%
Probability18.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Karolina Kowalkiewicz must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada40020.0%C

Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Bovada400
Break Even20.0%
Probability18.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Karolina Kowalkiewicz must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

53.3% chance that Julia Polastri win by 3.5 or more points.
46.7% chance that Karolina Kowalkiewicz win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Julia Polastri (-3.5)Karolina Kowalkiewicz (3.5)
53.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-13056.5%F

Julia Polastri (-3.5)
Bovada-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability53.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Julia Polastri (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-13557.4%F

Julia Polastri (-3.5)
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability53.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Julia Polastri (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
46.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings10050.0%F

Karolina Kowalkiewicz (3.5)
DraftKings100
Break Even50.0%
Probability46.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Karolina Kowalkiewicz (3.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada10050.0%F

Karolina Kowalkiewicz (3.5)
Bovada100
Break Even50.0%
Probability46.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Karolina Kowalkiewicz (3.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

75.8% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
24.2% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
75.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-36078.3%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-360
Break Even78.3%
Probability75.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 78.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 75.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-36078.3%F

Over (2.5)
BetUS-360
Break Even78.3%
Probability75.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 78.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 75.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-42581.0%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-425
Break Even81.0%
Probability75.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 81.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 75.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-45081.8%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada-450
Break Even81.8%
Probability75.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 81.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 75.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
24.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings30025.0%C

Under (2.5)
DraftKings300
Break Even25.0%
Probability24.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada30025.0%C

Under (2.5)
Bovada300
Break Even25.0%
Probability24.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag28925.7%C

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag289
Break Even25.7%
Probability24.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 25.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS28526.0%C

Under (2.5)
BetUS285
Break Even26.0%
Probability24.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.