Su Mudaerji vs Mitch Raposo

MMA - April 12, 2025 6:10 PM

Mitch Raposo have a 42.7% of winning.
Su Mudaerji have a 57.3% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Mitch RaposoSu Mudaerji
42.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM13043.5%C

Mitch Raposo
BetMGM130
Break Even43.5%
Probability42.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Mitch Raposo must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers12544.4%C

Mitch Raposo
Ceasers125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Mitch Raposo must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel12444.6%C

Mitch Raposo
124
Break Even44.6%
Probability42.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Mitch Raposo must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings12444.6%C

Mitch Raposo
DraftKings124
Break Even44.6%
Probability42.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Mitch Raposo must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag12245.0%F

Mitch Raposo
Betonline.ag122
Break Even45.0%
Probability42.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mitch Raposo must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
57.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-14258.7%C

Su Mudaerji
Betonline.ag-142
Break Even58.7%
Probability57.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Su Mudaerji must be more likely than 58.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel-14659.3%F

Su Mudaerji
-146
Break Even59.3%
Probability57.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Su Mudaerji must be more likely than 59.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-14859.7%F

Su Mudaerji
DraftKings-148
Break Even59.7%
Probability57.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Su Mudaerji must be more likely than 59.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-15060.0%F

Su Mudaerji
Ceasers-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability57.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Su Mudaerji must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-15560.8%F

Su Mudaerji
BetMGM-155
Break Even60.8%
Probability57.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Su Mudaerji must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

55.8% chance that Mitch Raposo win or are within 3.5 points of winning.
44.2% chance that Su Mudaerji win by 3.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Mitch Raposo (3.5)Su Mudaerji (-3.5)
55.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-15060.0%F

Mitch Raposo (3.5)
DraftKings-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability55.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Mitch Raposo (3.5) spread must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
44.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings11047.6%F

Su Mudaerji (-3.5)
DraftKings110
Break Even47.6%
Probability44.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Su Mudaerji (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

59.6% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
40.4% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
59.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-16061.5%C

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability59.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-18064.3%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-180
Break Even64.3%
Probability59.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
40.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings14041.7%C

Under (2.5)
DraftKings140
Break Even41.7%
Probability40.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag13043.5%F

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag130
Break Even43.5%
Probability40.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.