Chris Gutierrez vs John Castaneda

MMA - March 8, 2025 6:15 PM

Chris Gutierrez have a 50.5% of winning.
John Castaneda have a 49.5% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chris GutierrezJohn Castaneda
50.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-10851.9%C

Chris Gutierrez
-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Chris Gutierrez must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-10851.9%C

Chris Gutierrez
Bovada-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Chris Gutierrez must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11052.4%C

Chris Gutierrez
Betonline.ag-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Chris Gutierrez must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-11252.8%F

Chris Gutierrez
DraftKings-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Chris Gutierrez must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11553.5%F

Chris Gutierrez
Ceasers-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Chris Gutierrez must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11553.5%F

Chris Gutierrez
BetMGM-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Chris Gutierrez must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-11753.9%F

Chris Gutierrez
BetRivers-117
Break Even53.9%
Probability50.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Chris Gutierrez must be more likely than 53.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers-10551.2%C

John Castaneda
Ceasers-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, John Castaneda must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-10551.2%C

John Castaneda
BetMGM-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, John Castaneda must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers-10751.7%F

John Castaneda
BetRivers-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, John Castaneda must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-10851.9%F

John Castaneda
-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, John Castaneda must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-10851.9%F

John Castaneda
DraftKings-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, John Castaneda must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11052.4%F

John Castaneda
Betonline.ag-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, John Castaneda must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11252.8%F

John Castaneda
Bovada-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability49.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, John Castaneda must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

34.1% chance that Chris Gutierrez win by 3.5 or more points.
65.9% chance that John Castaneda win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chris Gutierrez (-3.5)John Castaneda (3.5)
34.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings17536.4%F

Chris Gutierrez (-3.5)
DraftKings175
Break Even36.4%
Probability34.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Chris Gutierrez (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 36.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada17536.4%F

Chris Gutierrez (-3.5)
Bovada175
Break Even36.4%
Probability34.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Chris Gutierrez (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 36.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
65.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-23069.7%F

John Castaneda (3.5)
Bovada-230
Break Even69.7%
Probability65.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, John Castaneda (3.5) spread must be more likely than 69.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 65.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-24070.6%F

John Castaneda (3.5)
DraftKings-240
Break Even70.6%
Probability65.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, John Castaneda (3.5) spread must be more likely than 70.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 65.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

70.8% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
29.2% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
70.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Betonline.ag-27073.0%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-270
Break Even73.0%
Probability70.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 73.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-33076.7%F

Over (2.5)
DraftKings-330
Break Even76.7%
Probability70.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 76.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
29.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings24029.4%B

Under (2.5)
DraftKings240
Break Even29.4%
Probability29.2%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.2%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Betonline.ag21032.3%F

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag210
Break Even32.3%
Probability29.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 32.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.