Modestas Bukauskas vs Raffael Cerqueira

MMA - February 22, 2025 5:15 PM

Modestas Bukauskas have a 70.3% of winning.
Raffael Cerqueira have a 29.7% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Modestas BukauskasRaffael Cerqueira
70.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-26072.2%C

Modestas Bukauskas
Betonline.ag-260
Break Even72.2%
Probability70.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Modestas Bukauskas must be more likely than 72.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-26572.6%F

Modestas Bukauskas
BetUS-265
Break Even72.6%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Modestas Bukauskas must be more likely than 72.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-27073.0%F

Modestas Bukauskas
DraftKings-270
Break Even73.0%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Modestas Bukauskas must be more likely than 73.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-27073.0%F

Modestas Bukauskas
Bovada-270
Break Even73.0%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Modestas Bukauskas must be more likely than 73.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-28073.7%F

Modestas Bukauskas
Ceasers-280
Break Even73.7%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Modestas Bukauskas must be more likely than 73.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-28674.1%F

Modestas Bukauskas
BetRivers-286
Break Even74.1%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Modestas Bukauskas must be more likely than 74.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-29074.4%F

Modestas Bukauskas
-290
Break Even74.4%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Modestas Bukauskas must be more likely than 74.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
29.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel23529.9%B

Raffael Cerqueira
235
Break Even29.9%
Probability29.7%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Raffael Cerqueira must be more likely than 29.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.7%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Ceasers23030.3%C

Raffael Cerqueira
Ceasers230
Break Even30.3%
Probability29.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Raffael Cerqueira must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings22031.2%C

Raffael Cerqueira
DraftKings220
Break Even31.2%
Probability29.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Raffael Cerqueira must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers22031.2%C

Raffael Cerqueira
BetRivers220
Break Even31.2%
Probability29.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Raffael Cerqueira must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada22031.2%C

Raffael Cerqueira
Bovada220
Break Even31.2%
Probability29.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Raffael Cerqueira must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag22031.2%C

Raffael Cerqueira
Betonline.ag220
Break Even31.2%
Probability29.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Raffael Cerqueira must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS21531.7%F

Raffael Cerqueira
BetUS215
Break Even31.7%
Probability29.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Raffael Cerqueira must be more likely than 31.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

60.8% chance that Modestas Bukauskas win by 3.5 or more points.
39.2% chance that Raffael Cerqueira win or are within 3.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Modestas Bukauskas (-3.5)Raffael Cerqueira (3.5)
60.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-18564.9%F

Modestas Bukauskas (-3.5)
Bovada-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability60.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Modestas Bukauskas (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-19065.5%F

Modestas Bukauskas (-3.5)
DraftKings-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability60.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Modestas Bukauskas (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
39.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada14041.7%F

Raffael Cerqueira (3.5)
Bovada140
Break Even41.7%
Probability39.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Raffael Cerqueira (3.5) spread must be more likely than 41.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings13542.6%F

Raffael Cerqueira (3.5)
DraftKings135
Break Even42.6%
Probability39.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Raffael Cerqueira (3.5) spread must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

54.1% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
45.9% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)Under (1.5)
54.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-13056.5%F

Over (1.5)
BetUS-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-13557.4%F

Over (1.5)
DraftKings-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-14058.3%F

Over (1.5)
Betonline.ag-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability54.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
45.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag11047.6%C

Under (1.5)
Betonline.ag110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings10548.8%F

Under (1.5)
DraftKings105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS10050.0%F

Under (1.5)
BetUS100
Break Even50.0%
Probability45.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.