Jailton Almeida vs Sergey Spivak

MMA - January 18, 2025 9:30 PM

Jailton Almeida have a 80.4% of winning.
Sergey Spivak have a 19.6% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Jailton AlmeidaSergey Spivak
80.4%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-49083.1%F

Jailton Almeida
-490
Break Even83.1%
Probability80.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jailton Almeida must be more likely than 83.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-50083.3%F

Jailton Almeida
BetRivers-500
Break Even83.3%
Probability80.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jailton Almeida must be more likely than 83.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-51083.6%F

Jailton Almeida
Bovada-510
Break Even83.6%
Probability80.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jailton Almeida must be more likely than 83.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-53584.3%F

Jailton Almeida
DraftKings-535
Break Even84.3%
Probability80.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jailton Almeida must be more likely than 84.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-55084.6%F

Jailton Almeida
Betonline.ag-550
Break Even84.6%
Probability80.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jailton Almeida must be more likely than 84.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-60085.7%F

Jailton Almeida
Ceasers-600
Break Even85.7%
Probability80.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jailton Almeida must be more likely than 85.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 80.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
19.6%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Ceasers43018.9%A

Sergey Spivak
Ceasers430
Break Even18.9%
Probability19.6%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, Sergey Spivak must be more likely than 18.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.6%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
DraftKings40020.0%B

Sergey Spivak
DraftKings400
Break Even20.0%
Probability19.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Sergey Spivak must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Betonline.ag40020.0%B

Sergey Spivak
Betonline.ag400
Break Even20.0%
Probability19.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, Sergey Spivak must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanduel38020.8%C

Sergey Spivak
380
Break Even20.8%
Probability19.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Sergey Spivak must be more likely than 20.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada37021.3%C

Sergey Spivak
Bovada370
Break Even21.3%
Probability19.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Sergey Spivak must be more likely than 21.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers36021.7%F

Sergey Spivak
BetRivers360
Break Even21.7%
Probability19.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Sergey Spivak must be more likely than 21.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

65.1% chance that Jailton Almeida win by 5.5 or more points.
34.9% chance that Sergey Spivak win or are within 5.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Jailton Almeida (-5.5)Sergey Spivak (5.5)
65.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada-22569.2%F

Jailton Almeida (-5.5)
Bovada-225
Break Even69.2%
Probability65.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jailton Almeida (-5.5) spread must be more likely than 69.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 65.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
34.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Bovada17037.0%F

Sergey Spivak (5.5)
Bovada170
Break Even37.0%
Probability34.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Sergey Spivak (5.5) spread must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

66.7% chance that Jailton Almeida win by 7.5 or more points.
33.3% chance that Sergey Spivak win or are within 7.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Jailton Almeida (-7.5)Sergey Spivak (7.5)
66.7%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-25071.4%F

Jailton Almeida (-7.5)
DraftKings-250
Break Even71.4%
Probability66.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Jailton Almeida (-7.5) spread must be more likely than 71.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
33.3%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings18035.7%F

Sergey Spivak (7.5)
DraftKings180
Break Even35.7%
Probability33.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Sergey Spivak (7.5) spread must be more likely than 35.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

46.9% chance that the total final score will be over 1.5 points.
53.1% chance that the total final score will be under 1.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (1.5)Under (1.5)
46.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings10050.0%F

Over (1.5)
DraftKings100
Break Even50.0%
Probability46.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag10050.0%F

Over (1.5)
Betonline.ag100
Break Even50.0%
Probability46.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (1.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
53.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
DraftKings-13056.5%F

Under (1.5)
DraftKings-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability53.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-13056.5%F

Under (1.5)
Betonline.ag-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability53.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (1.5) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.