Aj Dobson vs Tafon Nchukwi

MMA - August 12, 2023 6:40 PM

Aj Dobson have a 43.6% of winning.
Tafon Nchukwi have a 56.4% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aj DobsonTafon Nchukwi
43.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
WynnBET12544.4%C

Aj Dobson
WynnBET125
Break Even44.4%
Probability43.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Aj Dobson must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
SuperBook12544.4%C

Aj Dobson
SuperBook125
Break Even44.4%
Probability43.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Aj Dobson must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig12145.2%C

Aj Dobson
121
Break Even45.2%
Probability43.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Aj Dobson must be more likely than 45.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag12145.2%C

Aj Dobson
Betonline.ag121
Break Even45.2%
Probability43.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Aj Dobson must be more likely than 45.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel12045.5%C

Aj Dobson
120
Break Even45.5%
Probability43.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Aj Dobson must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings12045.5%C

Aj Dobson
DraftKings120
Break Even45.5%
Probability43.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Aj Dobson must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers12045.5%C

Aj Dobson
Ceasers120
Break Even45.5%
Probability43.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Aj Dobson must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
56.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-14058.3%C

Tafon Nchukwi
Ceasers-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability56.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, Tafon Nchukwi must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-14158.5%F

Tafon Nchukwi
-141
Break Even58.5%
Probability56.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Tafon Nchukwi must be more likely than 58.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-14158.5%F

Tafon Nchukwi
Betonline.ag-141
Break Even58.5%
Probability56.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Tafon Nchukwi must be more likely than 58.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-14258.7%F

Tafon Nchukwi
-142
Break Even58.7%
Probability56.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Tafon Nchukwi must be more likely than 58.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-14258.7%F

Tafon Nchukwi
DraftKings-142
Break Even58.7%
Probability56.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Tafon Nchukwi must be more likely than 58.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-14358.8%F

Tafon Nchukwi
BetRivers-143
Break Even58.8%
Probability56.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Tafon Nchukwi must be more likely than 58.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Twinspires-14358.8%F

Tafon Nchukwi
Twinspires-143
Break Even58.8%
Probability56.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Tafon Nchukwi must be more likely than 58.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

57.8% chance that Aj Dobson win or are within 3.5 points of winning.
42.2% chance that Tafon Nchukwi win by 3.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aj Dobson (3.5)Tafon Nchukwi (-3.5)
57.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-16562.3%F

Aj Dobson (3.5)
DraftKings-165
Break Even62.3%
Probability57.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Aj Dobson (3.5) spread must be more likely than 62.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
42.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings12045.5%F

Tafon Nchukwi (-3.5)
DraftKings120
Break Even45.5%
Probability42.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Tafon Nchukwi (-3.5) spread must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

47.4% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
52.6% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
47.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10150.2%F

Over (2.5)
-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability47.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-10150.2%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability47.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-10551.2%F

Over (2.5)
BetUS-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability47.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Over (2.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
52.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-12555.6%F

Under (2.5)
BetUS-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability52.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12856.1%F

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag-128
Break Even56.1%
Probability52.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 56.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-12956.3%F

Under (2.5)
-129
Break Even56.3%
Probability52.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, Under (2.5) must be more likely than 56.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.