Mixed Martial Arts/UFC

Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook MMA betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Currently tracking 60 upcoming events. Click on an event to learn more.
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Luana Carolina54.1%-132
BetRivers
F
Melissa Mullins45.9%107
BetRivers
F
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 12:35 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ravena Oliveira20.7%380
Ceasers
B
Shanelle Dyer79.3%-450
Fanduel
F
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 1:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady49.1%102
Betonline.ag
B
Shem Rock50.9%-104
BetRivers
B
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 1:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Felipe Franco13.7%650
BetRivers
A
Mario Pinto86.3%-900
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Antonio Trocoli15.1%550
Betonline.ag
B
Mantas Kondratavicius84.9%-750
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 2:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brando Pericic69.0%-250
DraftKings
F
Louie Sutherland31.0%215
Betonline.ag
C
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 2:20 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Losene Keita67.4%-230
Betonline.ag
F
Nathaniel Wood32.6%200
DraftKings
C
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 2:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Axel Sola43.3%130
Ceasers
B
Mason Jones56.7%-130
BetRivers
A-
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 3:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Danny Silva32.5%210
Betonline.ag
A-
Kurtis Campbell67.5%-230
Fanduel
F
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 3:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Christian Leroy Duncan79.2%-450
BetUS
F
Roman Dolidze20.8%385
Betonline.ag
A-
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 4:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Austen Lane17.6%500
Ceasers
A+
Iwo Baraniewski82.4%-590
Fanduel
F
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 4:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Michael Page62.5%-177
Bovada
C
Sam Patterson37.5%163
BetRivers
B
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 5:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Luke Riley63.7%-180
Betonline.ag
C
Michael Aswell36.3%172
Fanduel
C
MMA - Mar 21, 2026 5:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Lerone Murphy32.7%200
BetRivers
C
Movsar Evloev67.3%-225
Betonline.ag
C
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 3:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bruno Lopes22.6%345
Betonline.ag
A-
Navajo Stirling77.4%-415
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 3:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alexia Thainara79.3%-480
Ceasers
F
Bruna Brasil20.7%385
Betonline.ag
A-
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 3:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Adrian Yanez42.4%130
Betonline.ag
C
Ricky Simon57.6%-148
DraftKings
F
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 3:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Casey O'Neill50.0%-110
Betonline.ag
F
Gabriella Fernandes50.0%-110
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 3:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chase Hooper69.5%-260
Betonline.ag
F
Lance Gibson Jr30.5%220
Betonline.ag
C
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 3:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ignacio Bahamondes70.3%-265
Betonline.ag
F
Tofiq Musayev29.7%230
Ceasers
C
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 3:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Marcin Tybura48.1%100
Ceasers
C
Tyrell Fortune51.9%-118
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alexa Grasso42.7%125
Betonline.ag
C
Maycee Barber57.3%-145
Betonline.ag
C
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Julian Erosa28.3%246
Betonline.ag
C
Lerryan Douglas71.7%-285
BetUS
F
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kyle Nelson43.7%121
Betonline.ag
C
Terrance Mckinney56.3%-140
Ceasers
F
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mansur Abdul-Malik57.3%-145
Betonline.ag
C
Yousri Belgaroui42.7%125
Betonline.ag
C
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 10:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Israel Adesanya53.9%-125
Ceasers
C
Joseph Pyfer46.1%110
Betonline.ag
C
MMA - Apr 11, 2026 9:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Joshua Van39.3%150
Fanduel
C
Tatsuro Taira60.7%-165
BetMGM
C
MMA - Apr 11, 2026 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carlos Ulberg45.2%115
BetMGM
C
Jiri Prochazka54.8%-128
Betonline.ag
C
MMA - May 2, 2026 8:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carlos Prates49.2%-102
Fanduel
C
Jack Della Maddalena50.8%-110
Betonline.ag
C
MMA - May 9, 2026 8:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Khamzat Chimaev78.6%-440
Fanduel
F
Sean Strickland21.4%390
BetRivers
A+
MMA - May 9, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Joaquin Buckley35.6%170
Betonline.ag
C
Sean Brady64.4%-200
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - May 9, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bogdan Guskov59.4%-155
Betonline.ag
C
Jan Blachowicz40.6%136
DraftKings
C
MMA - May 9, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alexander Volkov57.7%-148
DraftKings
F
Waldo Cortes-Acosta42.3%130
Betonline.ag
C
MMA - May 9, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jeremy Stephens29.0%235
Betonline.ag
C
King Green71.0%-275
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - May 16, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Gina Carano20.2%375
Betonline.ag
C
Ronda Rousey79.8%-500
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - May 16, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Francis Ngannou89.3%-1200
Betonline.ag
F
Philipe Lins10.7%800
Betonline.ag
B
MMA - May 16, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mike Perry63.4%-200
Betonline.ag
F
Nate Diaz36.6%160
Betonline.ag
C
MMA - Jun 1, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ilia Topuria32.3%199
Betonline.ag
C
Islam Makhachev67.7%-234
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira62.8%-185
Betonline.ag
F
Carlos Ulberg37.2%160
Betonline.ag
C
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira72.4%-300
Betonline.ag
F
Jiri Prochazka27.6%250
Betonline.ag
C
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira31.1%210
Betonline.ag
C
Jon Jones68.9%-250
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carlos Ulberg31.1%210
Betonline.ag
C
Magomed Ankalaev68.9%-250
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - Jun 14, 2026 7:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Diego Lopes62.6%-185
Betonline.ag
F
Steve Garcia Jr.37.4%160
DraftKings
C
MMA - Jun 14, 2026 8:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bo Nickal73.1%-298
DraftKings
C
Kyle Daukaus26.9%275
Betonline.ag
A
MMA - Jun 14, 2026 8:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mauricio Ruffy80.8%-480
Fanduel
C
Michael Chandler19.2%450
Betonline.ag
A+
MMA - Jun 14, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Aiemann Zahabi25.2%285
Betonline.ag
C
Sean O'Malley74.8%-345
DraftKings
F
MMA - Jun 14, 2026 9:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira50.9%-110
Betonline.ag
C
Ciryl Gane49.1%-105
DraftKings
F
MMA - Jun 14, 2026 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ilia Topuria82.0%-520
Fanduel
C
Justin Gaethje18.0%525
BetRivers
A+
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Natalia Silva31.1%210
Betonline.ag
C
Valentina Shevchenko68.9%-250
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alexandre Pantoja64.9%-205
Betonline.ag
F
Joshua Van35.1%175
Betonline.ag
C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ciryl Gane32.2%200
Betonline.ag
C
Tom Aspinall67.8%-235
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Merab Dvalishvili38.6%150
Betonline.ag
C
Petr Yan61.4%-175
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mackenzie Dern21.4%350
Betonline.ag
C
Weili Zhang78.6%-450
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Makhachev73.5%-315
Betonline.ag
F
Michael Morales26.5%265
Betonline.ag
C
MMA - Aug 1, 2026 10:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arman Tsarukyan36.5%165
Betonline.ag
C
Ilia Topuria63.5%-190
Betonline.ag
F
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Conor McGregor57.1%-145
Betonline.ag
F
Jorge Masvidal42.9%125
Betonline.ag
C
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 1:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Conor McGregor47.8%100
DraftKings
F
Michael Chandler52.2%-120
DraftKings
F
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 1:25 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Makhachev72.6%-310
DraftKings
F
Kamaru Usman27.4%250
DraftKings
C
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ciryl Gane36.9%160
DraftKings
C
Tom Aspinall63.1%-192
DraftKings
F
MMA - Jul 1, 2027 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Makhachev74.0%-330
Betonline.ag
F
Kamaru Usman26.0%270
Betonline.ag
C