Mixed Martial Arts/UFC

Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook MMA betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Currently tracking 77 upcoming events. Click on an event to learn more.
MMA - Jan 11, 2025 3:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Thiago Moises60.5%-165
Betonline.ag		C
Trey Ogden39.5%147
Bovada		C
MMA - Jan 11, 2025 3:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ernesta Kareckaite68.3%-215
BetRivers		A-
Nicolle Caliari31.7%220
Ceasers		A
MMA - Jan 11, 2025 5:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bruno Lopes38.8%154
DraftKings		C
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov61.2%-170
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jan 11, 2025 5:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Fatima Kline84.9%-770
BetRivers		F
Viktoriya Dudakova15.1%550
DraftKings		B
MMA - Jan 11, 2025 5:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Felipe Bunes34.2%185
DraftKings		C
Jose Johnson65.8%-210
BetUS		C
MMA - Jan 11, 2025 5:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ihor Potieria21.6%350
DraftKings		C
Marco Tulio Silva78.4%-450
BetUS		F
MMA - Jan 11, 2025 5:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nurullo Aliev77.7%-400
BetUS		F
Yanal Ashmoz22.3%350
DraftKings		A-
MMA - Jan 11, 2025 5:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Punahele Soriano35.9%175
Bovada		C
Uros Medic64.1%-190
BetUS		C
MMA - Jan 11, 2025 5:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Andreas Gustafsson Berg64.0%-186
BetRivers		C
Preston Parsons36.0%170
DraftKings		C
MMA - Jan 11, 2025 6:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carlston Harris52.8%-117
Bovada		C
Santiago Ponzinibbio47.2%105
BetMGM		C
MMA - Jan 11, 2025 6:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Amanda Ribas62.7%-180
Fanduel		C
Mackenzie Dern37.3%163
Bovada		C
MMA - Jan 11, 2025 6:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chris Curtis31.3%220
Ceasers		A-
Roman Kopylov68.7%-240
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jan 11, 2025 6:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Austin Bashi66.0%-205
DraftKings		C
Christian Rodriguez34.0%190
Ceasers		B
MMA - Jan 11, 2025 10:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Abdul Razak Alhassan29.1%240
BetMGM		B
Cesar Almeida70.9%-270
DraftKings		F
MMA - Jan 18, 2025 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carlos Diego Ferreira25.8%275
DraftKings		C
Grant Dawson74.2%-345
DraftKings		F
MMA - Jan 18, 2025 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jailton Almeida72.3%-310
DraftKings		F
Sergey Spivak27.7%250
DraftKings		C
MMA - Jan 18, 2025 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Muin Gafurov23.9%310
DraftKings		B
Rinya Nakamura76.1%-395
DraftKings		F
MMA - Jan 18, 2025 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Sedriques Dumas34.1%180
DraftKings		C
Zachary Reese65.9%-218
DraftKings		F
MMA - Jan 18, 2025 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kevin Holland58.3%-155
DraftKings		F
Reinier de Ridder41.7%130
DraftKings		C
MMA - Jan 18, 2025 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ailin Perez40.2%138
BetRivers		C
Karol Rosa59.8%-162
DraftKings		C
MMA - Jan 18, 2025 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Benardo Sopaj71.6%-295
BetRivers		F
Ricky Turcios28.4%240
DraftKings		C
MMA - Jan 18, 2025 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bogdan Guskov52.5%-120
DraftKings		F
Johnny Walker47.5%102
BetRivers		F
MMA - Jan 18, 2025 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Payton Talbott87.6%-1000
BetRivers		F
Raoni Barcelos12.4%700
DraftKings		B
MMA - Jan 18, 2025 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Clayton Carpenter30.6%230
Fanduel		A
Tagir Ulanbekov69.4%-240
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jan 18, 2025 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jamahal Hill44.9%120
Betonline.ag		C
Jiri Prochazka55.1%-130
Ceasers		C
MMA - Jan 18, 2025 9:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Beneil Dariush35.2%188
BetRivers		A
Renato Moicano64.8%-190
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jan 18, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Merab Dvalishvili29.2%250
Ceasers		A
Umar Nurmagomedov70.8%-265
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jan 18, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arman Tsarukyan25.1%300
DraftKings		A-
Islam Makhachev74.9%-340
Fanduel		F
MMA - Feb 1, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Andre Muniz31.5%205
DraftKings		C
Ikram Aliskerov68.5%-250
DraftKings		F
MMA - Feb 1, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kaan Ofli35.5%170
DraftKings		C
Muhammadjon Naimov64.5%-205
DraftKings		F
MMA - Feb 1, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Shamil Gaziev72.6%-310
DraftKings		F
Thomas Petersen27.4%250
DraftKings		C
MMA - Feb 1, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Said Nurmagomedov70.5%-278
DraftKings		F
Vinicius Oliveira29.5%225
DraftKings		C
MMA - Feb 1, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jasmine Jasudavicius64.5%-205
DraftKings		F
Mayra Bueno Silva35.5%170
DraftKings		C
MMA - Feb 1, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jairzinho Rozenstruik33.1%190
DraftKings		C
Sergey Pavlovich66.9%-230
DraftKings		F
MMA - Feb 1, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Damir Hadzovic20.0%380
DraftKings		C
Terrance Mckinney80.0%-500
DraftKings		F
MMA - Feb 1, 2025 11:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Michael Page42.6%126
Fanduel		C
Shara Magomedov57.4%-142
Bovada		C
MMA - Feb 2, 2025 12:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Israel Adesanya62.8%-185
DraftKings		F
Nassourdine Imavov37.2%173
Bovada		A
MMA - Feb 8, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Tatiana Suarez39.2%148
BetRivers		C
Weili Zhang60.8%-170
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Feb 8, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dricus Du Plessis60.5%-160
Fanduel		C
Sean Strickland39.5%150
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Mar 1, 2025 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brandon Royval36.3%164
DraftKings		C
Manel Kape63.7%-198
DraftKings		F
MMA - Mar 22, 2025 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carlos Ulberg64.5%-205
DraftKings		F
Jan Blachowicz35.5%170
DraftKings		C
MMA - Dec 31, 2025 4:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Conor McGregor56.3%-142
DraftKings		F
Daniel Hooker43.7%120
DraftKings		C
MMA - Dec 31, 2025 4:59 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jon Jones50.0%-109
Bovada		F
Tom Aspinall50.0%-109
Bovada		F

Past Events

MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
CJ Vergara✓60.8%
Vinicius Salvador39.2%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Derrick Lewis✓35.4%
Marcos Rogerio de Lima64.6%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Trevin Giles25.6%
Gabriel Bonfim✓74.4%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Tony Ferguson25.0%
Bobby Green✓75.0%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Matthew Semelsberger64.8%
Uros Medic✓35.2%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Kevin Holland✓57.0%
Michael Chiesa43.0%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Roman Kopylov✓65.4%
Claudio Ribeiro34.6%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Jan Blachowicz49.3%
Alex Pereira✓50.7%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 7:10 PM
ResultProbability
Darrius Flowers29.5%
Jake Matthews✓70.5%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 5:15 PM
ResultProbability
Priscila Cachoeira29.4%
Miranda Maverick✓70.6%