Mixed Martial Arts/UFC

Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook MMA betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Currently tracking 60 upcoming events. Click on an event to learn more.
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 10:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Emilio Quissua72.3%-310
Bovada		F
Jorick Montagnac27.7%265
Betonline.ag		A
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 10:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ahmad Halimson59.4%-155
Betonline.ag		C
Jan Malach40.6%135
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 10:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Katharina Lehner22.0%350
Betonline.ag		B
Lucie Pudilova78.0%-450
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 10:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Josh Parisian23.1%340
Bovada		A
Lazar Todev76.9%-360
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brian Manning44.9%125
Betonline.ag		A
Daniel Schwindt55.1%-130
Bovada		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arijan Topallaj64.6%-210
Betonline.ag		F
Marco Elpidio35.4%180
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dastan Amangeldy72.5%-285
Betonline.ag		C
Wanderley Junior27.5%250
Bovada		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Harun Kurt57.2%-135
Betonline.ag		B
Nathan Haywood42.8%130
Bovada		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mochamed Machaev70.6%-300
Bovada		F
Niko Samsonidse29.4%220
Bovada		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 4:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Lawrence Lui29.6%240
Betonline.ag		A-
Sulangrangbo70.4%-255
Fanduel		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 5:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dom Mar Fan56.5%-135
DraftKings		C
Sang Uk Kim43.5%125
Ceasers		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 5:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Keiichiro Nakamura44.9%115
Bovada		C
Sebastian Szalay55.1%-130
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 5:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kaan Ofli33.8%200
Ceasers		A
Yi Zha66.2%-210
BetMGM		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 6:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jonathan Micallef54.3%-125
DraftKings		C
Oban Elliott45.7%116
Fanduel		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 6:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jacob Malkoun56.7%-139
BetRivers		C
Torrez Finney43.3%130
DraftKings		B
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 7:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cam Rowston75.4%-350
Fanduel		F
Cody Brundage24.6%300
BetMGM		B
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 7:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Billy Elekana69.4%-250
BetRivers		F
Junior Tafa30.6%230
Betonline.ag		A
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 8:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jamie Mullarkey12.9%660
Fanduel		B
Quillan Salkilld87.1%-910
BetRivers		F
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 8:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Tai Tuivasa26.7%275
BetMGM		A-
Tallison Teixeira73.3%-305
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 9:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mauricio Ruffy52.5%-115
Ceasers		C
Rafael Fiziev47.5%108
Fanduel		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 9:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Benoit Saint-Denis74.7%-320
Fanduel		C
Daniel Hooker25.3%295
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 10:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Volkanovski57.1%-142
Bovada		C
Diego Lopes42.9%130
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Feb 7, 2026 4:20 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jakub Wiklacz49.8%-103
Betonline.ag		C
Muin Gafurov50.2%-106
Fanduel		C
MMA - Feb 7, 2026 4:50 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Eduarda Moura32.4%220
Betonline.ag		A+
Wang Cong67.6%-225
Fanduel		C
MMA - Feb 7, 2026 5:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Klaudia Syguła54.3%-125
Betonline.ag		C
Priscila Cachoeira45.7%115
Ceasers		C
MMA - Feb 7, 2026 5:20 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Javid Basharat58.4%-150
Ceasers		C
Said Nurmagomedov41.6%140
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Feb 7, 2026 5:50 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bruna Brasil55.5%-136
Fanduel		F
Ketlen Souza44.5%120
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Feb 7, 2026 6:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Farid Basharat66.9%-210
Betonline.ag		C
Jean Matsumoto33.1%200
Bovada		B
MMA - Feb 7, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Marc-Andre Barriault29.1%240
Bovada		B
Michal Oleksiejczuk70.9%-270
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Feb 7, 2026 8:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jailton Almeida64.1%-195
Betonline.ag		F
Rizvan Kuniev35.9%170
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Feb 7, 2026 8:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Amir Albazi26.4%275
Betonline.ag		B
Kyoji Horiguchi73.6%-320
Bovada		F
MMA - Feb 7, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mario Bautista63.3%-184
Fanduel		C
Vinicius Oliveira36.7%170
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Feb 21, 2026 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Anthony Hernandez68.7%-245
Fanduel		F
Sean Strickland31.3%215
BetRivers		B
MMA - Mar 7, 2026 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Caio Borralho66.3%-225
DraftKings		F
Reinier de Ridder33.7%185
DraftKings		C
MMA - Mar 7, 2026 10:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Charles Oliveira37.7%155
BetRivers		C
Max Holloway62.3%-172
Bovada		C
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Charles Oliveira37.9%155
Betonline.ag		C
Max Holloway62.1%-180
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Israel Adesanya46.2%110
DraftKings		C
Joseph Pyfer53.8%-125
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 1, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ilia Topuria32.3%199
Betonline.ag		C
Islam Makhachev67.7%-234
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carlos Ulberg31.1%210
Betonline.ag		C
Magomed Ankalaev68.9%-250
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira62.8%-185
Betonline.ag		F
Carlos Ulberg37.2%160
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira72.4%-300
Betonline.ag		F
Jiri Prochazka27.6%250
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Natalia Silva28.5%240
Betonline.ag		C
Valentina Shevchenko71.5%-280
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alexandre Pantoja64.9%-205
Betonline.ag		F
Joshua Van35.1%175
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ciryl Gane35.1%175
Betonline.ag		C
Tom Aspinall64.9%-205
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Makhachev73.5%-315
Betonline.ag		F
Michael Morales26.5%265
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Joshua Van35.7%170
Betonline.ag		C
Tatsuro Taira64.3%-200
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mackenzie Dern21.4%350
Betonline.ag		C
Weili Zhang78.6%-450
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Merab Dvalishvili35.7%170
Betonline.ag		C
Petr Yan64.3%-200
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Aug 1, 2026 10:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arman Tsarukyan36.5%165
Betonline.ag		C
Ilia Topuria63.5%-190
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Conor McGregor57.1%-145
Betonline.ag		F
Jorge Masvidal42.9%125
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 1:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Conor McGregor47.8%100
DraftKings		F
Michael Chandler52.2%-120
DraftKings		F
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 1:05 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Joshua Van36.9%160
DraftKings		C
Tatsuro Taira63.1%-192
DraftKings		F
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 1:25 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Makhachev72.6%-310
DraftKings		F
Kamaru Usman27.4%250
DraftKings		C
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 1:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Anthony Hernandez21.3%350
DraftKings		C
Khamzat Chimaev78.7%-455
DraftKings		F
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 1:35 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Khamzat Chimaev80.0%-500
DraftKings		F
Nassourdine Imavov20.0%380
DraftKings		C
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 1:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira63.1%-192
DraftKings		F
Carlos Ulberg36.9%160
DraftKings		C
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ciryl Gane36.9%160
DraftKings		C
Tom Aspinall63.1%-192
DraftKings		F
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ilia Topuria79.9%-455
DraftKings		F
Justin Gaethje20.1%400
Betonline.ag		A-
MMA - Jul 1, 2027 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Makhachev74.0%-330
Betonline.ag		F
Kamaru Usman26.0%270
Betonline.ag		C

Past Events

MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
CJ Vergara✓60.8%
Vinicius Salvador39.2%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Derrick Lewis✓35.4%
Marcos Rogerio de Lima64.6%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Trevin Giles25.6%
Gabriel Bonfim✓74.4%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Tony Ferguson25.0%
Bobby Green✓75.0%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Matthew Semelsberger64.8%
Uros Medic✓35.2%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Kevin Holland✓57.0%
Michael Chiesa43.0%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Roman Kopylov✓65.4%
Claudio Ribeiro34.6%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Jan Blachowicz49.3%
Alex Pereira✓50.7%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 7:10 PM
ResultProbability
Darrius Flowers29.5%
Jake Matthews✓70.5%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 5:15 PM
ResultProbability
Priscila Cachoeira29.4%
Miranda Maverick✓70.6%