Mixed Martial Arts/UFC

Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook MMA betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Currently tracking 86 upcoming events. Click on an event to learn more.
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 12:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Liam Gittins21.7%375
Bovada		A
Taylor Lapilus78.3%-400
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 1:05 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kevin Jousset33.2%190
Betonline.ag		C
Patrick Habirora66.8%-225
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 1:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cris Cyborg88.1%-950
Fanduel		F
Sara Collins11.9%750
Betonline.ag		A-
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 1:55 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Renan Ferreira16.8%500
BetMGM		A-
Vadim Nemkov83.2%-590
Fanduel		F
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 2:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dennis Wosik15.6%500
Bovada		C
Petchpanomrung Kiatmoo984.4%-900
Bovada		F
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 6:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jamey-Lyn Horth38.7%158
BetUS		B
Tereza Bleda61.3%-167
BetRivers		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 6:35 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Allen Frye Jr.38.8%153
Bovada		C
Guilherme Pat61.2%-172
Fanduel		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 7:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Luana Santos55.2%-132
BetRivers		C
Melissa Croden44.8%118
Ceasers		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 7:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Sean Sharaf33.1%195
BetMGM		C
Steven Asplund66.9%-210
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 8:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Neil Magny22.1%350
Betonline.ag		B
Yaroslav Amosov77.9%-420
Fanduel		F
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 8:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Isaac Thomson32.6%200
Bovada		C
Joanderson Brito67.4%-225
Fanduel		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 8:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Amanda Lemos36.3%170
BetUS		C
Gillian Robertson63.7%-180
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 9:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
King Green63.2%-188
Fanduel		F
Lance Gibson Jr36.8%170
Ceasers		B
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 9:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kennedy Nzechukwu53.6%-125
Betonline.ag		C
Marcus Buchecha46.4%110
BetMGM		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 10:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Melquizael Costa55.1%-130
BetRivers		C
Morgan Charriere44.9%118
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 10:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cesar Almeida34.7%180
Betonline.ag		C
Cezary Oleksiejczuk65.3%-205
Ceasers		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 11:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Giga Chikadze26.1%280
BetRivers		B
Kevin Vallejos73.9%-300
Fanduel		C
MMA - Dec 13, 2025 11:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brandon Royval28.7%250
BetRivers		A-
Manel Kape71.3%-275
BetMGM		F
MMA - Dec 31, 2025 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Khamzat Chimaev91.3%-2000
Betonline.ag		F
Michael Page8.7%1000
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Dec 31, 2025 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Khamzat Chimaev80.9%-550
Betonline.ag		F
Nassourdine Imavov19.1%400
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 31, 2025 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Caio Borralho20.2%375
Betonline.ag		C
Khamzat Chimaev79.8%-500
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jan 24, 2026 8:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arnold Allen35.2%185
Betonline.ag		A-
Jean Silva64.8%-195
BetRivers		C
MMA - Jan 24, 2026 8:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Derrick Lewis30.2%260
Bovada		A+
Waldo Cortes-Acosta69.8%-230
Fanduel		A-
MMA - Jan 24, 2026 8:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Sean O'Malley62.1%-175
Betonline.ag		C
Song Yadong37.9%155
Bovada		C
MMA - Jan 24, 2026 8:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Amanda Nunes38.7%163
Bovada		A
Kayla Harrison61.3%-160
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Jan 24, 2026 11:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Justin Gaethje34.8%210
BetRivers		A+
Paddy Pimblett65.2%-195
Bovada		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Benoit Saint-Denis68.5%-250
DraftKings		F
Daniel Hooker31.5%205
DraftKings		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 11:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Volkanovski59.7%-165
Ceasers		F
Diego Lopes40.3%145
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Feb 21, 2026 11:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Anthony Hernandez65.7%-218
DraftKings		F
Sean Strickland34.3%180
DraftKings		C
MMA - Mar 7, 2026 10:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Charles Oliveira37.6%155
BetRivers		C
Max Holloway62.4%-188
Fanduel		F
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Charles Oliveira36.5%165
Betonline.ag		C
Max Holloway63.5%-190
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 1, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ilia Topuria32.3%199
Betonline.ag		C
Islam Makhachev67.7%-234
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira18.9%410
Betonline.ag		C
Jon Jones81.1%-525
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira62.8%-185
Betonline.ag		F
Carlos Ulberg37.2%160
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira72.4%-300
Betonline.ag		F
Jiri Prochazka27.6%250
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carlos Ulberg31.1%210
Betonline.ag		C
Magomed Ankalaev68.9%-250
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Natalia Silva39.2%146
Betonline.ag		C
Valentina Shevchenko60.8%-171
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Joshua Van37.9%155
Betonline.ag		C
Tatsuro Taira62.1%-180
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mackenzie Dern21.4%350
Betonline.ag		C
Weili Zhang78.6%-450
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Merab Dvalishvili38.6%150
Betonline.ag		C
Petr Yan61.4%-175
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Makhachev73.5%-315
Betonline.ag		F
Michael Morales26.5%265
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ciryl Gane35.1%175
Betonline.ag		C
Tom Aspinall64.9%-205
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alexandre Pantoja62.8%-185
Betonline.ag		F
Joshua Van37.2%160
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Aug 1, 2026 10:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arman Tsarukyan37.9%155
Betonline.ag		C
Ilia Topuria62.1%-180
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jul 1, 2027 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Makhachev74.0%-330
Betonline.ag		F
Kamaru Usman26.0%270
Betonline.ag		C

Past Events

MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
CJ Vergara✓60.8%
Vinicius Salvador39.2%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Derrick Lewis✓35.4%
Marcos Rogerio de Lima64.6%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Trevin Giles25.6%
Gabriel Bonfim✓74.4%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Tony Ferguson25.0%
Bobby Green✓75.0%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Matthew Semelsberger64.8%
Uros Medic✓35.2%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Kevin Holland✓57.0%
Michael Chiesa43.0%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Roman Kopylov✓65.4%
Claudio Ribeiro34.6%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Jan Blachowicz49.3%
Alex Pereira✓50.7%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 7:10 PM
ResultProbability
Darrius Flowers29.5%
Jake Matthews✓70.5%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 5:15 PM
ResultProbability
Priscila Cachoeira29.4%
Miranda Maverick✓70.6%