Mixed Martial Arts/UFC

Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook MMA betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Currently tracking 66 upcoming events. Click on an event to learn more.
MMA - Apr 12, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mitch Raposo35.2%170
BetRivers		C
Sumudaerji Sumudaerji64.8%-215
BetRivers		F
MMA - Apr 12, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chase Hooper84.9%-700
BetMGM		F
Jim Miller15.1%575
Betonline.ag		A
MMA - Apr 12, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Virna Jandiroba57.2%-140
Ceasers		C
Yan Xiaonan42.8%130
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Apr 12, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Michal Oleksiejczuk63.8%-190
Betonline.ag		C
Sedriques Dumas36.2%170
Ceasers		C
MMA - Apr 12, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Marco Tulio Silva73.9%-330
Betonline.ag		F
Tresean Gore26.1%280
DraftKings		B
MMA - Apr 12, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Hailey Cowan39.4%145
Betonline.ag		C
Nora Cornolle60.6%-165
BetMGM		C
MMA - Apr 12, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Darren Elkins24.9%300
Ceasers		B
Julian Erosa75.1%-350
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Apr 12, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dan Ige40.1%145
Betonline.ag		C
Sean Woodson59.9%-160
Fanduel		C
MMA - Apr 12, 2025 11:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mitch Raposo36.4%168
Fanduel		C
Su Mudaerji63.6%-185
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Apr 13, 2025 2:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dominick Reyes37.0%165
Betonline.ag		C
Nikita Krylov63.0%-180
DraftKings		C
MMA - Apr 13, 2025 2:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Patricio Freire37.0%164
DraftKings		C
Yair Rodriguez63.0%-185
BetMGM		C
MMA - Apr 13, 2025 2:15 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Volkanovski54.1%-123
Betonline.ag		C
Diego Lopes45.9%115
BetMGM		C
MMA - Apr 13, 2025 2:45 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Patricio Pitbull35.3%180
Betonline.ag		B
Yair Rodriguez64.7%-205
Fanduel		F
MMA - Apr 13, 2025 3:15 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bryce Mitchell30.0%225
DraftKings		C
Jean Silva70.0%-251
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Apr 13, 2025 3:45 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Michael Chandler41.7%138
Betonline.ag		B
Paddy Pimblett58.3%-148
DraftKings		C
MMA - Apr 27, 2025 3:45 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carlos Prates47.2%105
Betonline.ag		C
Ian Garry52.8%-125
Fanduel		F
MMA - May 4, 2025 3:15 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bo Nickal65.5%-218
DraftKings		F
Reinier de Ridder34.5%180
DraftKings		C
MMA - May 11, 2025 2:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Gilbert Burns23.5%310
BetRivers		C
Michael Morales76.5%-400
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - May 11, 2025 2:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alexa Grasso36.9%170
Betonline.ag		B
Natalia Silva63.1%-186
BetRivers		C
MMA - May 11, 2025 3:15 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Manon Fiorot51.2%-112
BetRivers		C
Valentina Shevchenko48.8%102
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - May 11, 2025 4:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Belal Muhammad68.2%-245
DraftKings		F
Jack Della Maddalena31.8%210
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Jun 8, 2025 2:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Julianna Pena18.4%450
Betonline.ag		A-
Kayla Harrison81.6%-590
BetRivers		F
MMA - Jun 8, 2025 3:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Merab Dvalishvili70.1%-265
Fanduel		F
Sean O'Malley29.9%235
Betonline.ag		A-
MMA - Dec 31, 2025 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Conor McGregor56.3%-142
DraftKings		F
Daniel Hooker43.7%120
DraftKings		C
MMA - Jan 1, 2026 5:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jon Jones45.7%110
DraftKings		C
Tom Aspinall54.3%-130
DraftKings		F

Past Events

MMA - Jul 30, 2023 2:00 AM
ResultProbability
CJ Vergara✓60.8%
Vinicius Salvador39.2%
MMA - Jul 30, 2023 2:00 AM
ResultProbability
Derrick Lewis✓35.4%
Marcos Rogerio de Lima64.6%
MMA - Jul 30, 2023 2:00 AM
ResultProbability
Trevin Giles25.6%
Gabriel Bonfim✓74.4%
MMA - Jul 30, 2023 2:00 AM
ResultProbability
Tony Ferguson25.0%
Bobby Green✓75.0%
MMA - Jul 30, 2023 2:00 AM
ResultProbability
Matthew Semelsberger64.8%
Uros Medic✓35.2%
MMA - Jul 30, 2023 2:00 AM
ResultProbability
Kevin Holland✓57.0%
Michael Chiesa43.0%
MMA - Jul 30, 2023 2:00 AM
ResultProbability
Roman Kopylov✓65.4%
Claudio Ribeiro34.6%
MMA - Jul 30, 2023 2:00 AM
ResultProbability
Jan Blachowicz49.3%
Alex Pereira✓50.7%
MMA - Jul 30, 2023 12:10 AM
ResultProbability
Darrius Flowers29.5%
Jake Matthews✓70.5%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 10:15 PM
ResultProbability
Priscila Cachoeira29.4%
Miranda Maverick✓70.6%