Mixed Martial Arts/UFC

Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook MMA betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Currently tracking 86 upcoming events. Click on an event to learn more.
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 9:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Youssef44.2%120
Bovada		C
Nawras Abzakh55.8%-135
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 9:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Abbas Khan41.1%135
Bovada		C
Ahmed El Sisy58.9%-155
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 9:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mohammad Fahmi36.0%180
Betonline.ag		A
Salah Eddine Hamli64.0%-188
Fanduel		C
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 9:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Reda51.2%-110
Bovada		C
Yanis Ghemmouri48.8%102
Fanduel		C
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 9:55 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mahmoud Atef9.8%1000
Betonline.ag		A
Malik Basahel90.2%-1350
Fanduel		F
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 10:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Badreddine Diani14.7%650
Betonline.ag		A+
Mohammad Alaqraa85.3%-700
Bovada		F
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 5:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Lorenz Larkin78.6%-450
Betonline.ag		F
Vanilto Antunes21.4%350
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 5, 2025 5:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Robelis Despaigne88.7%-1200
Betonline.ag		F
Sam Alvey11.3%750
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Charles Joyner35.7%170
Betonline.ag		C
Norbert Pietrzak64.3%-200
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Daniel Konrad21.8%340
Betonline.ag		C
George Hardwick78.2%-440
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 5:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mairon Santos69.1%-245
Bovada		C
Muhammadjon Naimov30.9%215
BetRivers		C
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 5:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Antonio Trocoli11.0%875
Betonline.ag		A
Mansur Abdul-Malik89.0%-1250
BetRivers		F
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 6:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ibo Aslan36.6%170
Ceasers		B
Iwo Baraniewski63.4%-185
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 6:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Edson Barboza27.6%260
Betonline.ag		B
Jalin Turner72.4%-300
BetMGM		F
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 6:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brunno Ferreira48.8%-103
Bovada		C
Marvin Vettori51.2%-115
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 7:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Fares Ziam54.8%-128
Bovada		C
Nazim Sadykhov45.2%114
DraftKings		C
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 7:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Karine Silva36.7%165
Betonline.ag		C
Maycee Barber63.3%-190
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 8:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chris Duncan58.1%-141
Betonline.ag		B
Terrance Mckinney41.9%138
BetRivers		B
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 8:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Grant Dawson66.0%-218
DraftKings		F
Manuel Torres34.0%185
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 9:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bogdan Guskov45.7%110
Betonline.ag		C
Jan Blachowicz54.3%-125
DraftKings		C
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 9:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Henry Cejudo30.3%225
BetMGM		B
Payton Talbott69.7%-245
Bovada		C
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 10:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brandon Moreno46.9%105
Betonline.ag		C
Tatsuro Taira53.1%-120
Bovada		C
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 10:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alexandre Pantoja67.7%-223
Betonline.ag		C
Joshua Van32.3%205
Ceasers		B
MMA - Dec 6, 2025 11:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Merab Dvalishvili77.6%-410
DraftKings		F
Petr Yan22.4%340
Fanduel		B
MMA - Dec 31, 2025 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Khamzat Chimaev91.3%-2000
Betonline.ag		F
Michael Page8.7%1000
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Dec 31, 2025 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Khamzat Chimaev80.9%-550
Betonline.ag		F
Nassourdine Imavov19.1%400
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 31, 2025 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Caio Borralho20.2%375
Betonline.ag		C
Khamzat Chimaev79.8%-500
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jan 24, 2026 4:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Amanda Nunes38.8%170
Betonline.ag		A+
Kayla Harrison61.2%-170
Ceasers		C
MMA - Jan 24, 2026 8:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arnold Allen37.2%165
BetMGM		C
Jean Silva62.8%-180
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jan 24, 2026 8:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Derrick Lewis31.1%250
DraftKings		A+
Waldo Cortes-Acosta68.9%-230
Fanduel		C
MMA - Jan 24, 2026 8:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Sean O'Malley62.1%-175
Betonline.ag		C
Song Yadong37.9%154
DraftKings		C
MMA - Jan 24, 2026 11:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Justin Gaethje35.2%176
Fanduel		C
Paddy Pimblett64.8%-200
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jan 31, 2026 11:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Volkanovski59.5%-160
Betonline.ag		F
Diego Lopes40.5%140
DraftKings		C
MMA - Mar 28, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Charles Oliveira40.4%140
Betonline.ag		C
Max Holloway59.6%-160
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 1, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ilia Topuria32.3%199
Betonline.ag		C
Islam Makhachev67.7%-234
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira62.8%-185
Betonline.ag		F
Carlos Ulberg37.2%160
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carlos Ulberg31.1%210
Betonline.ag		C
Magomed Ankalaev68.9%-250
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira18.9%410
Betonline.ag		C
Jon Jones81.1%-525
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira72.4%-300
Betonline.ag		F
Jiri Prochazka27.6%250
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Natalia Silva39.2%146
Betonline.ag		C
Valentina Shevchenko60.8%-171
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Makhachev73.5%-315
Betonline.ag		F
Michael Morales26.5%265
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ciryl Gane35.1%175
Betonline.ag		C
Tom Aspinall64.9%-205
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mackenzie Dern21.4%350
Betonline.ag		C
Weili Zhang78.6%-450
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Aug 1, 2026 10:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arman Tsarukyan37.9%155
Betonline.ag		C
Ilia Topuria62.1%-180
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jul 1, 2027 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Makhachev74.0%-330
Betonline.ag		F
Kamaru Usman26.0%270
Betonline.ag		C

Past Events

MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
CJ Vergara✓60.8%
Vinicius Salvador39.2%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Derrick Lewis✓35.4%
Marcos Rogerio de Lima64.6%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Trevin Giles25.6%
Gabriel Bonfim✓74.4%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Tony Ferguson25.0%
Bobby Green✓75.0%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Matthew Semelsberger64.8%
Uros Medic✓35.2%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Kevin Holland✓57.0%
Michael Chiesa43.0%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Roman Kopylov✓65.4%
Claudio Ribeiro34.6%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 9:00 PM
ResultProbability
Jan Blachowicz49.3%
Alex Pereira✓50.7%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 7:10 PM
ResultProbability
Darrius Flowers29.5%
Jake Matthews✓70.5%
MMA - Jul 29, 2023 5:15 PM
ResultProbability
Priscila Cachoeira29.4%
Miranda Maverick✓70.6%