Mixed Martial Arts/UFC

Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook MMA betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Currently tracking 45 upcoming events. Click on an event to learn more.
MMA - May 9, 2026 5:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Marco Tulio Silva63.6%-190
Betonline.ag		C
Roman Kopylov36.4%170
Ceasers		C
MMA - May 9, 2026 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Pat Sabatini65.4%-205
DraftKings		C
William Gomis34.6%190
Betonline.ag		A-
MMA - May 9, 2026 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ateba Gautier88.6%-1000
BetRivers		F
Ozzy Diaz11.4%900
Betonline.ag		A+
MMA - May 9, 2026 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Baysangur Susurkaev84.0%-670
Fanduel		F
Djorden Santos16.0%550
Ceasers		A
MMA - May 9, 2026 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Clayton Carpenter37.8%165
BetMGM		A-
Jose Ochoa62.2%-175
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - May 9, 2026 6:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jared Gordon72.7%-300
Betonline.ag		F
Jim Miller27.3%260
DraftKings		B
MMA - May 9, 2026 6:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Grant Dawson61.0%-170
Betonline.ag		C
Mateusz Rebecki39.0%150
BetMGM		C
MMA - May 9, 2026 7:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Joel Alvarez38.2%155
Betonline.ag		C
Yaroslav Amosov61.8%-175
Ceasers		C
MMA - May 9, 2026 8:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jeremy Stephens26.9%275
Betonline.ag		A-
King Green73.1%-300
BetMGM		C
MMA - May 9, 2026 8:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Joaquin Buckley40.0%150
Betonline.ag		B
Sean Brady60.0%-160
Ceasers		C
MMA - May 9, 2026 9:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alexander Volkov61.4%-175
Betonline.ag		F
Waldo Cortes-Acosta38.6%158
Bovada		B
MMA - May 9, 2026 9:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Joshua Van39.0%155
Betonline.ag		B
Tatsuro Taira61.0%-165
BetMGM		C
MMA - May 9, 2026 10:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Khamzat Chimaev81.5%-550
DraftKings		F
Sean Strickland18.5%430
Ceasers		B
MMA - May 16, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Gina Carano19.1%400
Betonline.ag		C
Ronda Rousey80.9%-550
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - May 16, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mike Perry64.3%-200
Betonline.ag		F
Nate Diaz35.7%170
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - May 16, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Kenneth Cross10.6%800
Betonline.ag		B
Salahdine Parnasse89.4%-1400
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - May 16, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Junior dos Santos20.2%375
Betonline.ag		C
Robelis Despaigne79.8%-500
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - May 16, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Francis Ngannou89.9%-1500
Betonline.ag		F
Philipe Lins10.1%850
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Jun 1, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ilia Topuria32.3%199
Betonline.ag		C
Islam Makhachev67.7%-234
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira61.4%-175
Betonline.ag		F
Carlos Ulberg38.6%150
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carlos Ulberg31.1%210
Betonline.ag		C
Magomed Ankalaev68.9%-250
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira31.1%210
Betonline.ag		C
Jon Jones68.9%-250
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 13, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira72.4%-300
Betonline.ag		F
Jiri Prochazka27.6%250
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 14, 2026 2:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ilia Topuria84.4%-700
DraftKings		F
Justin Gaethje15.6%550
Betonline.ag		A-
MMA - Jun 14, 2026 2:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alex Pereira50.0%-105
Betonline.ag		C
Ciryl Gane50.0%-105
DraftKings		C
MMA - Jun 14, 2026 2:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Aiemann Zahabi23.3%330
Betonline.ag		A-
Sean O'Malley76.7%-375
DraftKings		F
MMA - Jun 14, 2026 2:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mauricio Ruffy81.4%-480
Fanduel		C
Michael Chandler18.6%455
DraftKings		A
MMA - Jun 14, 2026 5:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Derrick Lewis27.9%260
Betonline.ag		A-
Josh Hokit72.1%-300
Ceasers		F
MMA - Jun 14, 2026 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bo Nickal72.4%-280
Betonline.ag		C
Kyle Daukaus27.6%260
BetMGM		B
MMA - Jun 14, 2026 7:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Diego Lopes62.5%-185
DraftKings		F
Steve Garcia Jr.37.5%160
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Natalia Silva31.1%210
Betonline.ag		C
Valentina Shevchenko68.9%-250
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mackenzie Dern21.4%350
Betonline.ag		C
Weili Zhang78.6%-450
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Merab Dvalishvili38.6%150
Betonline.ag		C
Petr Yan61.4%-175
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Makhachev74.3%-335
Betonline.ag		F
Michael Morales25.7%275
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ciryl Gane35.1%175
Betonline.ag		C
Tom Aspinall64.9%-205
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alexandre Pantoja62.1%-180
Betonline.ag		F
Joshua Van37.9%155
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jul 11, 2026 10:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Benoit Saint-Denis60.4%-170
DraftKings		F
Paddy Pimblett39.6%142
DraftKings		C
MMA - Aug 1, 2026 10:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arman Tsarukyan36.5%165
Betonline.ag		C
Ilia Topuria63.5%-190
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Dec 26, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Benoit Saint-Denis63.5%-190
Betonline.ag		F
Paddy Pimblett36.5%165
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 26, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Conor McGregor26.0%270
Betonline.ag		C
Max Holloway74.0%-330
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Conor McGregor57.1%-145
Betonline.ag		F
Jorge Masvidal42.9%125
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 1:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Conor McGregor47.8%100
DraftKings		F
Michael Chandler52.2%-120
DraftKings		F
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 1:25 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Makhachev72.6%-310
DraftKings		F
Kamaru Usman27.4%250
DraftKings		C
MMA - Dec 31, 2026 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ciryl Gane36.9%160
DraftKings		C
Tom Aspinall63.1%-192
DraftKings		F
MMA - Jul 1, 2027 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Makhachev74.0%-330
Betonline.ag		F
Kamaru Usman26.0%270
Betonline.ag		C