Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union

MLS - August 22, 2026 7:30 PM

Austin FC have a 29.9% of winning.
Philadelphia Union have a 44.6% of winning.
A Draw has a 25.5% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Philadelphia Union

29.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Austin FC

	224
Break Even	30.9%
Probability	29.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Austin FC must be more likely than 30.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Austin FC

Betonline.ag	224
Break Even	30.9%
Probability	29.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Austin FC must be more likely than 30.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Austin FC

BetUS	224
Break Even	30.9%
Probability	29.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Austin FC must be more likely than 30.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Austin FC

	220
Break Even	31.2%
Probability	29.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Austin FC must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Austin FC

Fanatics	220
Break Even	31.2%
Probability	29.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Austin FC must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Austin FC

Ceasers	215
Break Even	31.7%
Probability	29.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Austin FC must be more likely than 31.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Austin FC

Bovada	215
Break Even	31.7%
Probability	29.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Austin FC must be more likely than 31.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

44.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Philadelphia Union

BetRivers	123
Break Even	44.8%
Probability	44.6%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 44.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Philadelphia Union

Ceasers	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	44.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Philadelphia Union

	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	44.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Philadelphia Union

BetMGM	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	44.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Philadelphia Union

	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	44.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Philadelphia Union

Betonline.ag	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	44.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Philadelphia Union

BetUS	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	44.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Draw

25.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Draw

Fanatics	280
Break Even	26.3%
Probability	25.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

	278
Break Even	26.5%
Probability	25.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

Betonline.ag	278
Break Even	26.5%
Probability	25.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

BetUS	278
Break Even	26.5%
Probability	25.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

	270
Break Even	27.0%
Probability	25.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

Bovada	270
Break Even	27.0%
Probability	25.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

DraftKings	265
Break Even	27.4%
Probability	25.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

54.1% chance that Austin FC win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
45.9% chance that Philadelphia Union win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Austin FC (0.5)

Philadelphia Union (-0.5)

54.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Austin FC (0.5)

	-130
Break Even	56.5%
Probability	54.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Austin FC (0.5) spread must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Austin FC (0.5)

Betonline.ag	-130
Break Even	56.5%
Probability	54.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Austin FC (0.5) spread must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Austin FC (0.5)

BetUS	-130
Break Even	56.5%
Probability	54.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Austin FC (0.5) spread must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Austin FC (0.5)

MyBookie	-146
Break Even	59.3%
Probability	54.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Austin FC (0.5) spread must be more likely than 59.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

45.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Philadelphia Union (-0.5)

	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	45.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Philadelphia Union (-0.5)

Betonline.ag	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	45.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Philadelphia Union (-0.5)

MyBookie	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	45.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Philadelphia Union (-0.5)

BetUS	100
Break Even	50.0%
Probability	45.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

57.9% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
42.1% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

57.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (2.5)

BetMGM	-160
Break Even	61.5%
Probability	57.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

BetRivers	-165
Break Even	62.3%
Probability	57.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 62.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

MyBookie	-168
Break Even	62.7%
Probability	57.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 62.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

42.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (2.5)

BetRivers	128
Break Even	43.9%
Probability	42.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 43.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (2.5)

MyBookie	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	42.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

BetMGM	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	42.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

47.4% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
52.6% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)

Under (3)

47.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (3)

	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	47.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (3)

Betonline.ag	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	47.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (3)

Bovada	102
Break Even	49.5%
Probability	47.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (3)

BetUS	-108
Break Even	51.9%
Probability	47.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

52.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (3)

Bovada	-122
Break Even	55.0%
Probability	52.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (3)

BetUS	-122
Break Even	55.0%
Probability	52.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (3)

	-125
Break Even	55.6%
Probability	52.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (3)

Betonline.ag	-125
Break Even	55.6%
Probability	52.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.