Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City

MLS - May 9, 2026 9:30 PM

Portland Timbers have a 62.1% of winning.
Sporting Kansas City have a 17.6% of winning.
A Draw has a 20.3% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Portland TimbersSporting Kansas City
62.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-19065.5%F

Portland Timbers
Ceasers-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability62.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Portland Timbers must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-19065.5%F

Portland Timbers
BetMGM-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability62.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Portland Timbers must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-19065.5%F

Portland Timbers
Bovada-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability62.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Portland Timbers must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-19065.5%F

Portland Timbers
BetUS-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability62.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Portland Timbers must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-19265.8%F

Portland Timbers
-192
Break Even65.8%
Probability62.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Portland Timbers must be more likely than 65.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-19265.8%F

Portland Timbers
Betonline.ag-192
Break Even65.8%
Probability62.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Portland Timbers must be more likely than 65.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-19666.2%F

Portland Timbers
MyBookie-196
Break Even66.2%
Probability62.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Portland Timbers must be more likely than 66.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
17.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel47017.5%A-

Sporting Kansas City
470
Break Even17.5%
Probability17.6%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Sporting Kansas City must be more likely than 17.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.6%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Ceasers45018.2%C

Sporting Kansas City
Ceasers450
Break Even18.2%
Probability17.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Sporting Kansas City must be more likely than 18.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers45018.2%C

Sporting Kansas City
BetRivers450
Break Even18.2%
Probability17.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Sporting Kansas City must be more likely than 18.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics45018.2%C

Sporting Kansas City
Fanatics450
Break Even18.2%
Probability17.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Sporting Kansas City must be more likely than 18.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig44418.4%C

Sporting Kansas City
444
Break Even18.4%
Probability17.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Sporting Kansas City must be more likely than 18.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag44418.4%C

Sporting Kansas City
Betonline.ag444
Break Even18.4%
Probability17.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Sporting Kansas City must be more likely than 18.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada42519.0%C

Sporting Kansas City
Bovada425
Break Even19.0%
Probability17.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Sporting Kansas City must be more likely than 19.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Draw
20.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig38020.8%C

Draw
380
Break Even20.8%
Probability20.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag38020.8%C

Draw
Betonline.ag380
Break Even20.8%
Probability20.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics37521.1%C

Draw
Fanatics375
Break Even21.1%
Probability20.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 21.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel36021.7%C

Draw
360
Break Even21.7%
Probability20.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 21.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers36021.7%C

Draw
BetRivers360
Break Even21.7%
Probability20.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 21.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM36021.7%C

Draw
BetMGM360
Break Even21.7%
Probability20.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 21.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada36021.7%C

Draw
Bovada360
Break Even21.7%
Probability20.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 21.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

51.8% chance that Portland Timbers win by 1 or more points.
48.2% chance that Sporting Kansas City win or are within 1 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Portland Timbers (-1)Sporting Kansas City (1)
51.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-11753.9%F

Portland Timbers (-1)
BetUS-117
Break Even53.9%
Probability51.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Portland Timbers (-1) spread must be more likely than 53.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11854.1%F

Portland Timbers (-1)
Bovada-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability51.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Portland Timbers (-1) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-12255.0%F

Portland Timbers (-1)
-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability51.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Portland Timbers (-1) spread must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12255.0%F

Portland Timbers (-1)
Betonline.ag-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability51.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Portland Timbers (-1) spread must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
48.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig10249.5%C

Sporting Kansas City (1)
102
Break Even49.5%
Probability48.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Sporting Kansas City (1) spread must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag10249.5%C

Sporting Kansas City (1)
Betonline.ag102
Break Even49.5%
Probability48.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Sporting Kansas City (1) spread must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-10250.5%F

Sporting Kansas City (1)
Bovada-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability48.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Sporting Kansas City (1) spread must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11353.1%F

Sporting Kansas City (1)
BetUS-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability48.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Sporting Kansas City (1) spread must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

41.8% chance that Portland Timbers win by 1.5 or more points.
58.2% chance that Sporting Kansas City win or are within 1.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Portland Timbers (-1.5)Sporting Kansas City (1.5)
41.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie12245.0%F

Portland Timbers (-1.5)
MyBookie122
Break Even45.0%
Probability41.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Portland Timbers (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
58.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-16962.8%F

Sporting Kansas City (1.5)
MyBookie-169
Break Even62.8%
Probability58.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Sporting Kansas City (1.5) spread must be more likely than 62.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

46.7% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
53.3% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
46.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig10648.5%C

Over (3.5)
106
Break Even48.5%
Probability46.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 48.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag10648.5%C

Over (3.5)
Betonline.ag106
Break Even48.5%
Probability46.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 48.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie10149.8%F

Over (3.5)
MyBookie101
Break Even49.8%
Probability46.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 49.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers10050.0%F

Over (3.5)
BetRivers100
Break Even50.0%
Probability46.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-10551.2%F

Over (3.5)
BetMGM-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability46.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
53.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-12655.8%F

Under (3.5)
-126
Break Even55.8%
Probability53.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 55.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12655.8%F

Under (3.5)
Betonline.ag-126
Break Even55.8%
Probability53.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 55.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-12956.3%F

Under (3.5)
BetRivers-129
Break Even56.3%
Probability53.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 56.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-13557.4%F

Under (3.5)
BetMGM-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability53.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-13958.2%F

Under (3.5)
MyBookie-139
Break Even58.2%
Probability53.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 58.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.