Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls

MLS - May 9, 2026 1:30 PM

Chicago Fire have a 60.3% of winning.
New York Red Bulls have a 19.0% of winning.
A Draw has a 20.6% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chicago FireNew York Red Bulls
60.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers-17063.0%F

Chicago Fire
Ceasers-170
Break Even63.0%
Probability60.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire must be more likely than 63.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-17463.5%F

Chicago Fire
-174
Break Even63.5%
Probability60.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire must be more likely than 63.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-17463.5%F

Chicago Fire
Betonline.ag-174
Break Even63.5%
Probability60.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire must be more likely than 63.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-17563.6%F

Chicago Fire
BetMGM-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability60.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-17663.8%F

Chicago Fire
MyBookie-176
Break Even63.8%
Probability60.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire must be more likely than 63.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-18064.3%F

Chicago Fire
Fanatics-180
Break Even64.3%
Probability60.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire must be more likely than 64.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-18164.4%F

Chicago Fire
Bovada-181
Break Even64.4%
Probability60.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire must be more likely than 64.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
19.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanatics42519.0%B

New York Red Bulls
Fanatics425
Break Even19.0%
Probability19.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the New York Red Bulls must be more likely than 19.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanduel41019.6%C

New York Red Bulls
410
Break Even19.6%
Probability19.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York Red Bulls must be more likely than 19.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers40020.0%C

New York Red Bulls
Ceasers400
Break Even20.0%
Probability19.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York Red Bulls must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers40020.0%C

New York Red Bulls
BetRivers400
Break Even20.0%
Probability19.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York Red Bulls must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada39520.2%C

New York Red Bulls
Bovada395
Break Even20.2%
Probability19.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York Red Bulls must be more likely than 20.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS39520.2%C

New York Red Bulls
BetUS395
Break Even20.2%
Probability19.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York Red Bulls must be more likely than 20.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig39220.3%C

New York Red Bulls
392
Break Even20.3%
Probability19.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York Red Bulls must be more likely than 20.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Draw
20.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanatics37521.1%B

Draw
Fanatics375
Break Even21.1%
Probability20.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 21.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Lowvig37021.3%C

Draw
370
Break Even21.3%
Probability20.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 21.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag37021.3%C

Draw
Betonline.ag370
Break Even21.3%
Probability20.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 21.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada36021.7%C

Draw
Bovada360
Break Even21.7%
Probability20.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 21.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS36021.7%C

Draw
BetUS360
Break Even21.7%
Probability20.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 21.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel35022.2%C

Draw
350
Break Even22.2%
Probability20.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers35022.2%C

Draw
BetRivers350
Break Even22.2%
Probability20.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 20.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

59.7% chance that Chicago Fire win by 0.5 or more points.
40.3% chance that New York Red Bulls win or are within 0.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chicago Fire (-0.5)New York Red Bulls (0.5)
59.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-18264.5%F

Chicago Fire (-0.5)
MyBookie-182
Break Even64.5%
Probability59.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 64.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
40.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie13043.5%F

New York Red Bulls (0.5)
MyBookie130
Break Even43.5%
Probability40.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New York Red Bulls (0.5) spread must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

49.8% chance that Chicago Fire win by 1 or more points.
50.2% chance that New York Red Bulls win or are within 1 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chicago Fire (-1)New York Red Bulls (1)
49.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10851.9%F

Chicago Fire (-1)
-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire (-1) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-10851.9%F

Chicago Fire (-1)
Betonline.ag-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire (-1) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11252.8%F

Chicago Fire (-1)
Bovada-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire (-1) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11252.8%F

Chicago Fire (-1)
BetUS-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire (-1) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-10851.9%C

New York Red Bulls (1)
Bovada-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability50.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York Red Bulls (1) spread must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-11252.8%F

New York Red Bulls (1)
-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New York Red Bulls (1) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11252.8%F

New York Red Bulls (1)
Betonline.ag-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New York Red Bulls (1) spread must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11553.5%F

New York Red Bulls (1)
BetUS-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New York Red Bulls (1) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

45.7% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
54.3% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
45.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig11346.9%C

Over (3.5)
113
Break Even46.9%
Probability45.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 46.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag11346.9%C

Over (3.5)
Betonline.ag113
Break Even46.9%
Probability45.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 46.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie10449.0%F

Over (3.5)
MyBookie104
Break Even49.0%
Probability45.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 49.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers10050.0%F

Over (3.5)
BetRivers100
Break Even50.0%
Probability45.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM10050.0%F

Over (3.5)
BetMGM100
Break Even50.0%
Probability45.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
54.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-13056.5%F

Under (3.5)
BetRivers-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-13357.1%F

Under (3.5)
-133
Break Even57.1%
Probability54.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 57.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-13357.1%F

Under (3.5)
Betonline.ag-133
Break Even57.1%
Probability54.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 57.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-14358.8%F

Under (3.5)
MyBookie-143
Break Even58.8%
Probability54.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 58.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-14559.2%F

Under (3.5)
BetMGM-145
Break Even59.2%
Probability54.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.