Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC

MLS - May 2, 2026 6:30 PM

Nashville SC have a 33.1% of winning.
Philadelphia Union have a 38.5% of winning.
A Draw has a 28.5% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Nashville SC

Philadelphia Union

33.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Ceasers

200

33.3%

Nashville SC

Ceasers	200
Break Even	33.3%
Probability	33.1%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Nashville SC must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Fanatics

190

34.5%

Nashville SC

Fanatics	190
Break Even	34.5%
Probability	33.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Nashville SC must be more likely than 34.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetRivers

188

34.7%

Nashville SC

BetRivers	188
Break Even	34.7%
Probability	33.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Nashville SC must be more likely than 34.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Lowvig

185

35.1%

Nashville SC

	185
Break Even	35.1%
Probability	33.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Nashville SC must be more likely than 35.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Betonline.ag

185

35.1%

Nashville SC

Betonline.ag	185
Break Even	35.1%
Probability	33.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Nashville SC must be more likely than 35.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

MyBookie

181

35.6%

Nashville SC

MyBookie	181
Break Even	35.6%
Probability	33.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Nashville SC must be more likely than 35.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Fanduel

180

35.7%

Nashville SC

	180
Break Even	35.7%
Probability	33.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Nashville SC must be more likely than 35.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 33.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

38.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Lowvig

151

39.8%

Philadelphia Union

	151
Break Even	39.8%
Probability	38.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 39.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

151

39.8%

Philadelphia Union

Betonline.ag	151
Break Even	39.8%
Probability	38.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 39.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bovada

148

40.3%

Philadelphia Union

Bovada	148
Break Even	40.3%
Probability	38.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 40.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetUS

148

40.3%

Philadelphia Union

BetUS	148
Break Even	40.3%
Probability	38.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 40.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Ceasers

145

40.8%

Philadelphia Union

Ceasers	145
Break Even	40.8%
Probability	38.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 40.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Fanatics

145

40.8%

Philadelphia Union

Fanatics	145
Break Even	40.8%
Probability	38.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 40.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

MyBookie

143

41.2%

Philadelphia Union

MyBookie	143
Break Even	41.2%
Probability	38.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 41.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 38.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Draw

28.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

BetRivers

245

29.0%

Draw

BetRivers	245
Break Even	29.0%
Probability	28.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Fanduel

240

29.4%

Draw

	240
Break Even	29.4%
Probability	28.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Lowvig

233

30.0%

Draw

	233
Break Even	30.0%
Probability	28.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 30.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

233

30.0%

Draw

Betonline.ag	233
Break Even	30.0%
Probability	28.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 30.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetMGM

230

30.3%

Draw

BetMGM	230
Break Even	30.3%
Probability	28.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

MyBookie

230

30.3%

Draw

MyBookie	230
Break Even	30.3%
Probability	28.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Fanatics

230

30.3%

Draw

Fanatics	230
Break Even	30.3%
Probability	28.5%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

47.1% chance that Nashville SC win by 0 or more points.
52.9% chance that Philadelphia Union win by 0 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Nashville SC (0)

Philadelphia Union (0)

47.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bovada

105

48.8%

Nashville SC (0)

Bovada	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	47.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Nashville SC (0) spread must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Lowvig

105

48.8%

Nashville SC (0)

	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	47.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Nashville SC (0) spread must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

105

48.8%

Nashville SC (0)

Betonline.ag	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	47.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Nashville SC (0) spread must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetUS

-105

51.2%

Nashville SC (0)

BetUS	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	47.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Nashville SC (0) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

52.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bovada

-125

55.6%

Philadelphia Union (0)

Bovada	-125
Break Even	55.6%
Probability	52.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (0) spread must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Lowvig

-125

55.6%

Philadelphia Union (0)

	-125
Break Even	55.6%
Probability	52.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (0) spread must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Betonline.ag

-125

55.6%

Philadelphia Union (0)

Betonline.ag	-125
Break Even	55.6%
Probability	52.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (0) spread must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetUS

-125

55.6%

Philadelphia Union (0)

BetUS	-125
Break Even	55.6%
Probability	52.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (0) spread must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

60.5% chance that Nashville SC win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
39.5% chance that Philadelphia Union win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Nashville SC (0.5)

Philadelphia Union (-0.5)

60.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

MyBookie

-189

65.4%

Nashville SC (0.5)

MyBookie	-189
Break Even	65.4%
Probability	60.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Nashville SC (0.5) spread must be more likely than 65.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

39.5%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

MyBookie

134

42.7%

Philadelphia Union (-0.5)

MyBookie	134
Break Even	42.7%
Probability	39.5%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 42.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

48.7% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
51.3% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

48.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bovada

-102

50.5%

Over (2.5)

Bovada	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	48.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Lowvig

-102

50.5%

Over (2.5)

	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	48.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

-102

50.5%

Over (2.5)

Betonline.ag	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	48.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetMGM

-110

52.4%

Over (2.5)

BetMGM	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	48.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

MyBookie

-110

52.4%

Over (2.5)

MyBookie	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	48.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetUS

-110

52.4%

Over (2.5)

BetUS	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	48.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetRivers

-118

54.1%

Over (2.5)

BetRivers	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	48.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

51.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

BetRivers

-110

52.4%

Under (2.5)

BetRivers	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	51.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bovada

-118

54.1%

Under (2.5)

Bovada	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	51.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Lowvig

-118

54.1%

Under (2.5)

	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	51.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Betonline.ag

-118

54.1%

Under (2.5)

Betonline.ag	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	51.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetUS

-120

54.5%

Under (2.5)

BetUS	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	51.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

MyBookie

-125

55.6%

Under (2.5)

MyBookie	-125
Break Even	55.6%
Probability	51.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetMGM

-130

56.5%

Under (2.5)

BetMGM	-130
Break Even	56.5%
Probability	51.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.