Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire

MLS - March 21, 2026 3:30 PM

Chicago Fire have a 28.6% of winning.
Philadelphia Union have a 42.1% of winning.
A Draw has a 29.3% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chicago FirePhiladelphia Union
28.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig24329.2%C

Chicago Fire
243
Break Even29.2%
Probability28.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire must be more likely than 29.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag24329.2%C

Chicago Fire
Betonline.ag243
Break Even29.2%
Probability28.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire must be more likely than 29.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada24029.4%C

Chicago Fire
Bovada240
Break Even29.4%
Probability28.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS24029.4%C

Chicago Fire
BetUS240
Break Even29.4%
Probability28.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers23529.9%C

Chicago Fire
BetRivers235
Break Even29.9%
Probability28.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire must be more likely than 29.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers23030.3%C

Chicago Fire
Ceasers230
Break Even30.3%
Probability28.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie22231.1%F

Chicago Fire
MyBookie222
Break Even31.1%
Probability28.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire must be more likely than 31.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
42.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig13043.5%C

Philadelphia Union
130
Break Even43.5%
Probability42.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag13043.5%C

Philadelphia Union
Betonline.ag130
Break Even43.5%
Probability42.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel12544.4%F

Philadelphia Union
125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers12544.4%F

Philadelphia Union
Ceasers125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics12544.4%F

Philadelphia Union
Fanatics125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie12444.6%F

Philadelphia Union
MyBookie124
Break Even44.6%
Probability42.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada12245.0%F

Philadelphia Union
Bovada122
Break Even45.0%
Probability42.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
29.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel24029.4%B

Draw
240
Break Even29.4%
Probability29.3%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanatics24029.4%B

Draw
Fanatics240
Break Even29.4%
Probability29.3%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
MyBookie23030.3%C

Draw
MyBookie230
Break Even30.3%
Probability29.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers22530.8%C

Draw
BetRivers225
Break Even30.8%
Probability29.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 30.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers22031.2%C

Draw
Ceasers220
Break Even31.2%
Probability29.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 31.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings21531.7%F

Draw
DraftKings215
Break Even31.7%
Probability29.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 31.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada21232.1%F

Draw
Bovada212
Break Even32.1%
Probability29.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 32.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

57.1% chance that Chicago Fire win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
42.9% chance that Philadelphia Union win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chicago Fire (0.5)Philadelphia Union (-0.5)
57.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-15660.9%F

Chicago Fire (0.5)
MyBookie-156
Break Even60.9%
Probability57.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Chicago Fire (0.5) spread must be more likely than 60.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
42.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie11845.9%F

Philadelphia Union (-0.5)
MyBookie118
Break Even45.9%
Probability42.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 45.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

52.6% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
47.4% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
52.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-12255.0%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability52.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-13557.4%F

Over (2.5)
MyBookie-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability52.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
47.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie10249.5%F

Under (2.5)
MyBookie102
Break Even49.5%
Probability47.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-10751.7%F

Under (2.5)
BetRivers-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability47.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.