D.C. United vs Philadelphia Union

MLS - February 21, 2026 6:30 PM

D.C. United have a 24.1% of winning.
Philadelphia Union have a 49.9% of winning.
A Draw has a 26.0% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

D.C. UnitedPhiladelphia Union
24.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel30025.0%C

D.C. United
300
Break Even25.0%
Probability24.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the D.C. United must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig28825.8%C

D.C. United
288
Break Even25.8%
Probability24.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the D.C. United must be more likely than 25.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag28825.8%C

D.C. United
Betonline.ag288
Break Even25.8%
Probability24.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the D.C. United must be more likely than 25.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada28526.0%C

D.C. United
Bovada285
Break Even26.0%
Probability24.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the D.C. United must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings27526.7%F

D.C. United
DraftKings275
Break Even26.7%
Probability24.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the D.C. United must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-11152.6%F

Philadelphia Union
-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11152.6%F

Philadelphia Union
Betonline.ag-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11252.8%F

Philadelphia Union
Bovada-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-12054.5%F

Philadelphia Union
-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-12054.5%F

Philadelphia Union
DraftKings-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
26.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig26427.5%C

Draw
264
Break Even27.5%
Probability26.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag26427.5%C

Draw
Betonline.ag264
Break Even27.5%
Probability26.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel26027.8%C

Draw
260
Break Even27.8%
Probability26.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada26027.8%C

Draw
Bovada260
Break Even27.8%
Probability26.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings24529.0%F

Draw
DraftKings245
Break Even29.0%
Probability26.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

49.9% chance that D.C. United win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
50.1% chance that Philadelphia Union win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

D.C. United (0.5)Philadelphia Union (-0.5)
49.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10952.2%F

D.C. United (0.5)
-109
Break Even52.2%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the D.C. United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-10952.2%F

D.C. United (0.5)
Betonline.ag-109
Break Even52.2%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the D.C. United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

D.C. United (0.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the D.C. United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
50.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-11052.4%F

Philadelphia Union (-0.5)
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-11152.6%F

Philadelphia Union (-0.5)
-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11152.6%F

Philadelphia Union (-0.5)
Betonline.ag-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability50.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Philadelphia Union (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

52.3% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
47.7% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
52.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-12054.5%F

Over (2.5)
Bovada-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-12154.8%F

Over (2.5)
-121
Break Even54.8%
Probability52.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 54.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12154.8%F

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-121
Break Even54.8%
Probability52.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 54.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
47.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig10149.8%F

Under (2.5)
101
Break Even49.8%
Probability47.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 49.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag10149.8%F

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag101
Break Even49.8%
Probability47.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 49.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada10050.0%F

Under (2.5)
Bovada100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.