Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins

MLB - July 21, 2026 7:11 PM

Houston Astros have a 53.4% of winning.
Miami Marlins have a 46.6% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Houston AstrosMiami Marlins
53.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-12255.0%C

Houston Astros
-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability53.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Astros must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-12255.0%C

Houston Astros
Betonline.ag-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability53.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Astros must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie-12255.0%C

Houston Astros
MyBookie-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability53.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Astros must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-12255.0%C

Houston Astros
BetUS-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability53.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Astros must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-12555.6%F

Houston Astros
Ceasers-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability53.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Houston Astros must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-12555.6%F

Houston Astros
BetMGM-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability53.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Houston Astros must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-12555.6%F

Houston Astros
Fanatics-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability53.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Houston Astros must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
46.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig11147.4%C

Miami Marlins
111
Break Even47.4%
Probability46.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Marlins must be more likely than 47.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag11147.4%C

Miami Marlins
Betonline.ag111
Break Even47.4%
Probability46.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Marlins must be more likely than 47.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS11147.4%C

Miami Marlins
BetUS111
Break Even47.4%
Probability46.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Marlins must be more likely than 47.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel10848.1%C

Miami Marlins
108
Break Even48.1%
Probability46.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Marlins must be more likely than 48.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers10848.1%C

Miami Marlins
BetRivers108
Break Even48.1%
Probability46.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Marlins must be more likely than 48.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada10648.5%C

Miami Marlins
Bovada106
Break Even48.5%
Probability46.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Marlins must be more likely than 48.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers10548.8%F

Miami Marlins
Ceasers105
Break Even48.8%
Probability46.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Marlins must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

37.1% chance that Houston Astros win by 1.5 or more points.
62.9% chance that Miami Marlins win or are within 1.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Houston Astros (-1.5)Miami Marlins (1.5)
37.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel16437.9%C

Houston Astros (-1.5)
164
Break Even37.9%
Probability37.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Astros (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 37.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig16238.2%C

Houston Astros (-1.5)
162
Break Even38.2%
Probability37.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Astros (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 38.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag16138.3%C

Houston Astros (-1.5)
Betonline.ag161
Break Even38.3%
Probability37.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Astros (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 38.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers16038.5%C

Houston Astros (-1.5)
BetRivers160
Break Even38.5%
Probability37.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Astros (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 38.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada16038.5%C

Houston Astros (-1.5)
Bovada160
Break Even38.5%
Probability37.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Astros (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 38.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS16038.5%C

Houston Astros (-1.5)
BetUS160
Break Even38.5%
Probability37.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Astros (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 38.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings15838.8%C

Houston Astros (-1.5)
DraftKings158
Break Even38.8%
Probability37.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Houston Astros (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 38.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
62.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-18564.9%C

Miami Marlins (1.5)
Bovada-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability62.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Marlins (1.5) spread must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-18564.9%C

Miami Marlins (1.5)
-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability62.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Marlins (1.5) spread must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-18564.9%C

Miami Marlins (1.5)
Betonline.ag-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability62.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Marlins (1.5) spread must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-18564.9%C

Miami Marlins (1.5)
BetUS-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability62.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Miami Marlins (1.5) spread must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie-18765.2%F

Miami Marlins (1.5)
MyBookie-187
Break Even65.2%
Probability62.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Marlins (1.5) spread must be more likely than 65.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-19065.5%F

Miami Marlins (1.5)
Ceasers-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability62.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Marlins (1.5) spread must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-19065.5%F

Miami Marlins (1.5)
BetMGM-190
Break Even65.5%
Probability62.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Miami Marlins (1.5) spread must be more likely than 65.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 62.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

52.4% chance that the total final score will be over 9 points.
47.6% chance that the total final score will be under 9 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (9)Under (9)
52.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-11954.3%C

Over (9)
MyBookie-119
Break Even54.3%
Probability52.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (9) must be more likely than 54.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel-12054.5%F

Over (9)
-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (9) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-12054.5%F

Over (9)
DraftKings-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (9) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-12054.5%F

Over (9)
Ceasers-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (9) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-12054.5%F

Over (9)
BetRivers-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (9) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-12054.5%F

Over (9)
BetMGM-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (9) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-12154.8%F

Over (9)
-121
Break Even54.8%
Probability52.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (9) must be more likely than 54.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
47.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig10648.5%C

Under (9)
106
Break Even48.5%
Probability47.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (9) must be more likely than 48.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS10548.8%C

Under (9)
BetUS105
Break Even48.8%
Probability47.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (9) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag10349.3%C

Under (9)
Betonline.ag103
Break Even49.3%
Probability47.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (9) must be more likely than 49.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings10050.0%F

Under (9)
DraftKings100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (9) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers10050.0%F

Under (9)
Ceasers100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (9) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers10050.0%F

Under (9)
BetRivers100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (9) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM10050.0%F

Under (9)
BetMGM100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (9) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

47.8% chance that the total final score will be over 9.5 points.
52.2% chance that the total final score will be under 9.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (9.5)Under (9.5)
47.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada10050.0%F

Over (9.5)
Bovada100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (9.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics10050.0%F

Over (9.5)
Fanatics100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (9.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
52.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-12054.5%F

Under (9.5)
Bovada-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (9.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-12054.5%F

Under (9.5)
Fanatics-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (9.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.