New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates

MLB - March 26, 2026 12:15 PM

New York Mets have a 53.5% of winning.
Pittsburgh Pirates have a 46.5% of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

New York MetsPittsburgh Pirates
53.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
Fanduel-11653.7%B

New York Mets
-116
Break Even53.7%
Probability53.5%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the New York Mets must be more likely than 53.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.5%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanatics-12054.5%C

New York Mets
Fanatics-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability53.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York Mets must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings-12856.1%F

New York Mets
DraftKings-128
Break Even56.1%
Probability53.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New York Mets must be more likely than 56.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-13557.4%F

New York Mets
BetMGM-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability53.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New York Mets must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-13657.6%F

New York Mets
Bovada-136
Break Even57.6%
Probability53.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the New York Mets must be more likely than 57.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
46.5%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetMGM11546.5%B

Pittsburgh Pirates
BetMGM115
Break Even46.5%
Probability46.5%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Pittsburgh Pirates must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.5%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Bovada11446.7%B

Pittsburgh Pirates
Bovada114
Break Even46.7%
Probability46.5%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Pittsburgh Pirates must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.5%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings10548.8%F

Pittsburgh Pirates
DraftKings105
Break Even48.8%
Probability46.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Pittsburgh Pirates must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics10050.0%F

Pittsburgh Pirates
Fanatics100
Break Even50.0%
Probability46.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Pittsburgh Pirates must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-10250.5%F

Pittsburgh Pirates
-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability46.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Pittsburgh Pirates must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

36.1% chance that New York Mets win by 1.5 or more points.
63.9% chance that Pittsburgh Pirates win or are within 1.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

New York Mets (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates (1.5)
36.1%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetMGM16537.7%C

New York Mets (-1.5)
BetMGM165
Break Even37.7%
Probability36.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the New York Mets (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 37.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 36.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
63.9%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetMGM-20066.7%F

Pittsburgh Pirates (1.5)
BetMGM-200
Break Even66.7%
Probability63.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Pittsburgh Pirates (1.5) spread must be more likely than 66.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 63.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

52.2% chance that the total final score will be over 6.5 points.
47.8% chance that the total final score will be under 6.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (6.5)Under (6.5)
52.2%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetMGM-12054.5%F

Over (6.5)
BetMGM-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (6.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
47.8%
LineBreak
Even
Grade
BetMGM10050.0%F

Under (6.5)
BetMGM100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (6.5) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.