USA vs Paraguay

FIFA World Cup - June 12, 2026 8:00 PM

Paraguay have a 24.1% of winning.
USA have a 47.9% of winning.
A Draw has a 28.0% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

ParaguayUSA
24.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers31024.4%B

Paraguay
BetRivers310
Break Even24.4%
Probability24.1%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Paraguay must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.1%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanduel30025.0%C

Paraguay
300
Break Even25.0%
Probability24.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Paraguay must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag29725.2%C

Paraguay
Betonline.ag297
Break Even25.2%
Probability24.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Paraguay must be more likely than 25.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings29525.3%C

Paraguay
DraftKings295
Break Even25.3%
Probability24.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Paraguay must be more likely than 25.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM29025.6%C

Paraguay
BetMGM290
Break Even25.6%
Probability24.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Paraguay must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada29025.6%C

Paraguay
Bovada290
Break Even25.6%
Probability24.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Paraguay must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie27027.0%F

Paraguay
MyBookie270
Break Even27.0%
Probability24.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Paraguay must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
47.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag10050.0%F

USA
Betonline.ag100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the USA must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie10050.0%F

USA
MyBookie100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the USA must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-10250.5%F

USA
BetMGM-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the USA must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-10250.5%F

USA
Bovada-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the USA must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-10551.2%F

USA
-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the USA must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-10551.2%F

USA
DraftKings-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the USA must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-10651.5%F

USA
BetRivers-106
Break Even51.5%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the USA must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
28.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag25328.3%B

Draw
Betonline.ag253
Break Even28.3%
Probability28.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings24529.0%C

Draw
DraftKings245
Break Even29.0%
Probability28.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers24029.4%C

Draw
BetRivers240
Break Even29.4%
Probability28.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada24029.4%C

Draw
Bovada240
Break Even29.4%
Probability28.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel23030.3%F

Draw
230
Break Even30.3%
Probability28.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM23030.3%F

Draw
BetMGM230
Break Even30.3%
Probability28.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie22231.1%F

Draw
MyBookie222
Break Even31.1%
Probability28.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 31.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

52.1% chance that Paraguay win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
47.9% chance that USA win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Paraguay (0.5)USA (-0.5)
52.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-11553.5%C

Paraguay (0.5)
Bovada-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability52.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Paraguay (0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-12054.5%F

Paraguay (0.5)
Betonline.ag-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Paraguay (0.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-13457.3%F

Paraguay (0.5)
MyBookie-134
Break Even57.3%
Probability52.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Paraguay (0.5) spread must be more likely than 57.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
47.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag10050.0%F

USA (-0.5)
Betonline.ag100
Break Even50.0%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the USA (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-10350.7%F

USA (-0.5)
MyBookie-103
Break Even50.7%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the USA (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 50.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-10551.2%F

USA (-0.5)
Bovada-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability47.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the USA (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

55.5% chance that the total final score will be over 2 points.
44.5% chance that the total final score will be under 2 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2)Under (2)
55.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag-13858.0%F

Over (2)
Betonline.ag-138
Break Even58.0%
Probability55.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2) must be more likely than 58.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-14859.7%F

Over (2)
MyBookie-148
Break Even59.7%
Probability55.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2) must be more likely than 59.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
44.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag11845.9%C

Under (2)
Betonline.ag118
Break Even45.9%
Probability44.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (2) must be more likely than 45.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie10748.3%F

Under (2)
MyBookie107
Break Even48.3%
Probability44.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2) must be more likely than 48.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

42.8% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
57.2% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
42.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM13043.5%C

Over (2.5)
BetMGM130
Break Even43.5%
Probability42.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers11247.2%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers112
Break Even47.2%
Probability42.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
57.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM-15060.0%F

Under (2.5)
BetMGM-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability57.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-15761.1%F

Under (2.5)
BetRivers-157
Break Even61.1%
Probability57.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 61.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.