Mexico vs South Africa

FIFA World Cup - June 11, 2026 2:00 PM

Mexico have a 66.9% of winning.
South Africa have a 11.5% of winning.
A Draw has a 21.6% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

MexicoSouth Africa
66.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM-22569.2%F

Mexico
BetMGM-225
Break Even69.2%
Probability66.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mexico must be more likely than 69.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-23069.7%F

Mexico
DraftKings-230
Break Even69.7%
Probability66.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mexico must be more likely than 69.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-23069.7%F

Mexico
MyBookie-230
Break Even69.7%
Probability66.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mexico must be more likely than 69.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-23570.1%F

Mexico
Betonline.ag-235
Break Even70.1%
Probability66.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mexico must be more likely than 70.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-24070.6%F

Mexico
BetRivers-240
Break Even70.6%
Probability66.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mexico must be more likely than 70.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-25071.4%F

Mexico
Bovada-250
Break Even71.4%
Probability66.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mexico must be more likely than 71.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-26072.2%F

Mexico
-260
Break Even72.2%
Probability66.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mexico must be more likely than 72.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
11.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel80011.1%A

South Africa
800
Break Even11.1%
Probability11.5%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the South Africa must be more likely than 11.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 11.5%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
BetRivers80011.1%A

South Africa
BetRivers800
Break Even11.1%
Probability11.5%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the South Africa must be more likely than 11.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 11.5%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
Betonline.ag74011.9%B

South Africa
Betonline.ag740
Break Even11.9%
Probability11.5%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the South Africa must be more likely than 11.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 11.5%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Bovada72512.1%C

South Africa
Bovada725
Break Even12.1%
Probability11.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the South Africa must be more likely than 12.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 11.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings70012.5%C

South Africa
DraftKings700
Break Even12.5%
Probability11.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the South Africa must be more likely than 12.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 11.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM70012.5%C

South Africa
BetMGM700
Break Even12.5%
Probability11.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the South Africa must be more likely than 12.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 11.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie63013.7%F

South Africa
MyBookie630
Break Even13.7%
Probability11.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the South Africa must be more likely than 13.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 11.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
21.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag36521.5%A-

Draw
Betonline.ag365
Break Even21.5%
Probability21.6%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 21.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.6%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Fanduel36021.7%B

Draw
360
Break Even21.7%
Probability21.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 21.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings35022.2%C

Draw
DraftKings350
Break Even22.2%
Probability21.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada35022.2%C

Draw
Bovada350
Break Even22.2%
Probability21.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers33023.3%C

Draw
BetRivers330
Break Even23.3%
Probability21.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 23.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM32023.8%F

Draw
BetMGM320
Break Even23.8%
Probability21.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 23.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie31024.4%F

Draw
MyBookie310
Break Even24.4%
Probability21.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

55.0% chance that Mexico win by 1 or more points.
45.0% chance that South Africa win or are within 1 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Mexico (-1)South Africa (1)
55.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-13858.0%F

Mexico (-1)
MyBookie-138
Break Even58.0%
Probability55.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mexico (-1) spread must be more likely than 58.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-14058.3%F

Mexico (-1)
Betonline.ag-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Mexico (-1) spread must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
45.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag12045.5%B

South Africa (1)
Betonline.ag120
Break Even45.5%
Probability45.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the South Africa (1) spread must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
MyBookie10050.0%F

South Africa (1)
MyBookie100
Break Even50.0%
Probability45.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the South Africa (1) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

45.0% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
55.0% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
45.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Betonline.ag11646.3%C

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag116
Break Even46.3%
Probability45.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 46.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM11047.6%F

Over (2.5)
BetMGM110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers10548.8%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie10548.8%F

Over (2.5)
MyBookie105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
55.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM-13557.4%F

Under (2.5)
BetMGM-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability55.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-13657.6%F

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag-136
Break Even57.6%
Probability55.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 57.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-14659.3%F

Under (2.5)
MyBookie-146
Break Even59.3%
Probability55.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 59.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-14859.7%F

Under (2.5)
BetRivers-148
Break Even59.7%
Probability55.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 59.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.