Aston Villa vs Manchester City

EPL - October 24, 2026 6:30 AM

Aston Villa have a 21.4% of winning.
Manchester City have a 55.6% of winning.
A Draw has a 22.9% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston VillaManchester City
21.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig35022.2%C

Aston Villa
350
Break Even22.2%
Probability21.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS35022.2%C

Aston Villa
BetUS350
Break Even22.2%
Probability21.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag35022.2%C

Aston Villa
Betonline.ag350
Break Even22.2%
Probability21.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics35022.2%C

Aston Villa
Fanatics350
Break Even22.2%
Probability21.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 22.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel34022.7%C

Aston Villa
340
Break Even22.7%
Probability21.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 22.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings34022.7%C

Aston Villa
DraftKings340
Break Even22.7%
Probability21.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 22.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers34022.7%C

Aston Villa
BetRivers340
Break Even22.7%
Probability21.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 22.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 21.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
55.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-13657.6%F

Manchester City
Bovada-136
Break Even57.6%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 57.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-13858.0%F

Manchester City
-138
Break Even58.0%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 58.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-13858.0%F

Manchester City
Betonline.ag-138
Break Even58.0%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 58.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-14058.3%F

Manchester City
DraftKings-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-14058.3%F

Manchester City
BetMGM-140
Break Even58.3%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-14358.8%F

Manchester City
BetUS-143
Break Even58.8%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 58.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-14559.2%F

Manchester City
Fanatics-145
Break Even59.2%
Probability55.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
22.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel33023.3%B

Draw
330
Break Even23.3%
Probability22.9%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 23.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.9%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetRivers33023.3%B

Draw
BetRivers330
Break Even23.3%
Probability22.9%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 23.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.9%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Lowvig33023.3%B

Draw
330
Break Even23.3%
Probability22.9%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 23.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.9%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Betonline.ag33023.3%B

Draw
Betonline.ag330
Break Even23.3%
Probability22.9%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 23.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.9%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings31024.4%C

Draw
DraftKings310
Break Even24.4%
Probability22.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM31024.4%C

Draw
BetMGM310
Break Even24.4%
Probability22.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada31024.4%C

Draw
Bovada310
Break Even24.4%
Probability22.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 22.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

44.5% chance that Aston Villa win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
55.5% chance that Manchester City win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa (0.5)Manchester City (-0.5)
44.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie10848.1%F

Aston Villa (0.5)
MyBookie108
Break Even48.1%
Probability44.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 48.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
55.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-15060.0%F

Manchester City (-0.5)
MyBookie-150
Break Even60.0%
Probability55.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

56.0% chance that Aston Villa win or are within 1 points of winning.
44.0% chance that Manchester City win by 1 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa (1)Manchester City (-1)
56.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-14258.7%F

Aston Villa (1)
-142
Break Even58.7%
Probability56.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (1) spread must be more likely than 58.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-14258.7%F

Aston Villa (1)
Betonline.ag-142
Break Even58.7%
Probability56.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (1) spread must be more likely than 58.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
44.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig11746.1%F

Manchester City (-1)
117
Break Even46.1%
Probability44.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1) spread must be more likely than 46.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag11746.1%F

Manchester City (-1)
Betonline.ag117
Break Even46.1%
Probability44.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1) spread must be more likely than 46.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

51.5% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
48.5% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)Under (3)
51.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-11252.8%C

Over (3)
Bovada-112
Break Even52.8%
Probability51.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-11653.7%F

Over (3)
BetUS-116
Break Even53.7%
Probability51.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 53.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-12154.8%F

Over (3)
-121
Break Even54.8%
Probability51.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 54.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12154.8%F

Over (3)
Betonline.ag-121
Break Even54.8%
Probability51.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 54.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
48.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10150.2%C

Under (3)
-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability48.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10150.2%C

Under (3)
Betonline.ag-101
Break Even50.2%
Probability48.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-10451.0%F

Under (3)
BetUS-104
Break Even51.0%
Probability48.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 51.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-10851.9%F

Under (3)
Bovada-108
Break Even51.9%
Probability48.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

40.8% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
59.2% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
40.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers13542.6%C

Over (3.5)
BetRivers135
Break Even42.6%
Probability40.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM12544.4%F

Over (3.5)
BetMGM125
Break Even44.4%
Probability40.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie12444.6%F

Over (3.5)
MyBookie124
Break Even44.6%
Probability40.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 44.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
59.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-17363.4%F

Under (3.5)
MyBookie-173
Break Even63.4%
Probability59.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 63.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-17563.6%F

Under (3.5)
BetRivers-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability59.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-17563.6%F

Under (3.5)
BetMGM-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability59.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.