Newcastle United vs Bournemouth

EPL - September 5, 2026 6:30 AM

Bournemouth have a 29.5% of winning.
Newcastle United have a 44.4% of winning.
A Draw has a 26.1% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

BournemouthNewcastle United
29.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel23030.3%C

Bournemouth
230
Break Even30.3%
Probability29.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers23030.3%C

Bournemouth
BetRivers230
Break Even30.3%
Probability29.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics23030.3%C

Bournemouth
Fanatics230
Break Even30.3%
Probability29.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada22530.8%C

Bournemouth
Bovada225
Break Even30.8%
Probability29.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 30.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig22530.8%C

Bournemouth
225
Break Even30.8%
Probability29.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 30.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag22530.8%C

Bournemouth
Betonline.ag225
Break Even30.8%
Probability29.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 30.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS22530.8%C

Bournemouth
BetUS225
Break Even30.8%
Probability29.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 30.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 29.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
44.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig11845.9%C

Newcastle United
118
Break Even45.9%
Probability44.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 45.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag11845.9%C

Newcastle United
Betonline.ag118
Break Even45.9%
Probability44.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 45.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie11646.3%C

Newcastle United
MyBookie116
Break Even46.3%
Probability44.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 46.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings11546.5%F

Newcastle United
DraftKings115
Break Even46.5%
Probability44.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS11546.5%F

Newcastle United
BetUS115
Break Even46.5%
Probability44.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers11446.7%F

Newcastle United
Ceasers114
Break Even46.7%
Probability44.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel11047.6%F

Newcastle United
110
Break Even47.6%
Probability44.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
26.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings27027.0%C

Draw
DraftKings270
Break Even27.0%
Probability26.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada27027.0%C

Draw
Bovada270
Break Even27.0%
Probability26.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers26527.4%C

Draw
Ceasers265
Break Even27.4%
Probability26.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers26527.4%C

Draw
BetRivers265
Break Even27.4%
Probability26.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS26527.4%C

Draw
BetUS265
Break Even27.4%
Probability26.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel26027.8%C

Draw
260
Break Even27.8%
Probability26.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie26027.8%C

Draw
MyBookie260
Break Even27.8%
Probability26.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

55.3% chance that Bournemouth win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
44.7% chance that Newcastle United win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Bournemouth (0.5)Newcastle United (-0.5)
55.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-13256.9%C

Bournemouth (0.5)
BetUS-132
Break Even56.9%
Probability55.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (0.5) spread must be more likely than 56.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-13958.2%F

Bournemouth (0.5)
-139
Break Even58.2%
Probability55.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (0.5) spread must be more likely than 58.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-13958.2%F

Bournemouth (0.5)
Betonline.ag-139
Break Even58.2%
Probability55.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (0.5) spread must be more likely than 58.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-14859.7%F

Bournemouth (0.5)
MyBookie-148
Break Even59.7%
Probability55.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (0.5) spread must be more likely than 59.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
44.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig11446.7%F

Newcastle United (-0.5)
114
Break Even46.7%
Probability44.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag11446.7%F

Newcastle United (-0.5)
Betonline.ag114
Break Even46.7%
Probability44.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS11247.2%F

Newcastle United (-0.5)
BetUS112
Break Even47.2%
Probability44.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie11147.4%F

Newcastle United (-0.5)
MyBookie111
Break Even47.4%
Probability44.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 47.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

59.0% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
41.0% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
59.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-16261.8%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers-162
Break Even61.8%
Probability59.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-18564.9%F

Over (2.5)
BetMGM-185
Break Even64.9%
Probability59.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 64.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
41.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM13043.5%F

Under (2.5)
BetMGM130
Break Even43.5%
Probability41.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers12544.4%F

Under (2.5)
BetRivers125
Break Even44.4%
Probability41.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.3% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
49.7% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)Under (3)
50.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-10551.2%C

Over (3)
Bovada-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability50.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-11453.3%F

Over (3)
-114
Break Even53.3%
Probability50.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11453.3%F

Over (3)
Betonline.ag-114
Break Even53.3%
Probability50.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11553.5%F

Over (3)
MyBookie-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11553.5%F

Over (3)
BetUS-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-10551.2%C

Under (3)
BetUS-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-10751.7%C

Under (3)
-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability49.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10751.7%C

Under (3)
Betonline.ag-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability49.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-11553.5%F

Under (3)
Bovada-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability49.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11553.5%F

Under (3)
MyBookie-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability49.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.