Newcastle United vs Liverpool

EPL - August 23, 2026 10:30 AM

Liverpool have a 42.6% of winning.
Newcastle United have a 32.9% of winning.
A Draw has a 24.6% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

LiverpoolNewcastle United
42.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel12544.4%C

Liverpool
125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers12544.4%C

Liverpool
BetRivers125
Break Even44.4%
Probability42.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig12344.8%F

Liverpool
123
Break Even44.8%
Probability42.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 44.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag12344.8%F

Liverpool
Betonline.ag123
Break Even44.8%
Probability42.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 44.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings12045.5%F

Liverpool
DraftKings120
Break Even45.5%
Probability42.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers12045.5%F

Liverpool
Ceasers120
Break Even45.5%
Probability42.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM11047.6%F

Liverpool
BetMGM110
Break Even47.6%
Probability42.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
32.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig19234.2%C

Newcastle United
192
Break Even34.2%
Probability32.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 34.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag19234.2%C

Newcastle United
Betonline.ag192
Break Even34.2%
Probability32.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 34.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings19034.5%C

Newcastle United
DraftKings190
Break Even34.5%
Probability32.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 34.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers19034.5%C

Newcastle United
Ceasers190
Break Even34.5%
Probability32.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 34.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM18535.1%F

Newcastle United
BetMGM185
Break Even35.1%
Probability32.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 35.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel18035.7%F

Newcastle United
180
Break Even35.7%
Probability32.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 35.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers17536.4%F

Newcastle United
BetRivers175
Break Even36.4%
Probability32.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 36.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
24.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel30025.0%B

Draw
300
Break Even25.0%
Probability24.6%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Lowvig28526.0%C

Draw
285
Break Even26.0%
Probability24.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag28526.0%C

Draw
Betonline.ag285
Break Even26.0%
Probability24.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers28026.3%C

Draw
Ceasers280
Break Even26.3%
Probability24.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers28026.3%C

Draw
BetRivers280
Break Even26.3%
Probability24.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM28026.3%C

Draw
BetMGM280
Break Even26.3%
Probability24.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings27027.0%F

Draw
DraftKings270
Break Even27.0%
Probability24.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

43.5% chance that Liverpool win by 0.5 or more points.
56.5% chance that Newcastle United win or are within 0.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Liverpool (-0.5)Newcastle United (0.5)
43.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig12344.8%C

Liverpool (-0.5)
123
Break Even44.8%
Probability43.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 44.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag12344.8%C

Liverpool (-0.5)
Betonline.ag123
Break Even44.8%
Probability43.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 44.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
56.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-13958.2%C

Newcastle United (0.5)
-139
Break Even58.2%
Probability56.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 58.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-13958.2%C

Newcastle United (0.5)
Betonline.ag-139
Break Even58.2%
Probability56.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 58.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Totals:

46.1% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
53.9% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
46.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig11247.2%C

Over (3.5)
112
Break Even47.2%
Probability46.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag11247.2%C

Over (3.5)
Betonline.ag112
Break Even47.2%
Probability46.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers10249.5%F

Over (3.5)
BetRivers102
Break Even49.5%
Probability46.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-10250.5%F

Over (3.5)
BetMGM-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability46.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
53.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-12856.1%F

Under (3.5)
-128
Break Even56.1%
Probability53.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 56.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-12856.1%F

Under (3.5)
Betonline.ag-128
Break Even56.1%
Probability53.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 56.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-13457.3%F

Under (3.5)
BetRivers-134
Break Even57.3%
Probability53.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 57.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-13557.4%F

Under (3.5)
BetMGM-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability53.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.