Newcastle United vs Liverpool

EPL - August 23, 2026 10:30 AM

Liverpool have a 49.7% of winning.
Newcastle United have a 25.8% of winning.
A Draw has a 24.5% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

LiverpoolNewcastle United
49.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings-10551.2%C

Liverpool
DraftKings-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics-10551.2%C

Liverpool
Fanatics-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-10751.7%C

Liverpool
-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability49.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10751.7%C

Liverpool
Betonline.ag-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability49.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers-10952.2%F

Liverpool
BetRivers-109
Break Even52.2%
Probability49.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-11052.4%F

Liverpool
Ceasers-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11052.4%F

Liverpool
Bovada-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
25.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS30025.0%A+

Newcastle United
BetUS300
Break Even25.0%
Probability25.8%
GradeA+
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.8%, more likely, giving this bet a A+ grade.
BetRivers28526.0%B

Newcastle United
BetRivers285
Break Even26.0%
Probability25.8%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.8%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanduel28026.3%C

Newcastle United
280
Break Even26.3%
Probability25.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig27426.7%C

Newcastle United
274
Break Even26.7%
Probability25.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag27426.7%C

Newcastle United
Betonline.ag274
Break Even26.7%
Probability25.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 26.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada26527.4%C

Newcastle United
Bovada265
Break Even27.4%
Probability25.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings26027.8%F

Newcastle United
DraftKings260
Break Even27.8%
Probability25.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
24.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanatics30025.0%B

Draw
Fanatics300
Break Even25.0%
Probability24.5%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.5%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Lowvig29925.1%C

Draw
299
Break Even25.1%
Probability24.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag29925.1%C

Draw
Betonline.ag299
Break Even25.1%
Probability24.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings29525.3%C

Draw
DraftKings295
Break Even25.3%
Probability24.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada29025.6%C

Draw
Bovada290
Break Even25.6%
Probability24.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel28026.3%C

Draw
280
Break Even26.3%
Probability24.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers28026.3%C

Draw
Ceasers280
Break Even26.3%
Probability24.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

50.2% chance that Liverpool win by 0.5 or more points.
49.8% chance that Newcastle United win or are within 0.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Liverpool (-0.5)Newcastle United (0.5)
50.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10751.7%C

Liverpool (-0.5)
-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability50.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10751.7%C

Liverpool (-0.5)
Betonline.ag-107
Break Even51.7%
Probability50.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 51.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Liverpool (-0.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11553.5%F

Liverpool (-0.5)
Bovada-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11854.1%F

Liverpool (-0.5)
MyBookie-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability50.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
49.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-10551.2%C

Newcastle United (0.5)
Bovada-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-10952.2%F

Newcastle United (0.5)
-109
Break Even52.2%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-10952.2%F

Newcastle United (0.5)
Betonline.ag-109
Break Even52.2%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-11052.4%F

Newcastle United (0.5)
BetUS-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-11653.7%F

Newcastle United (0.5)
MyBookie-116
Break Even53.7%
Probability49.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Newcastle United (0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

54.7% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
45.3% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)Under (3)
54.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-13056.5%C

Over (3)
BetUS-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-13156.7%C

Over (3)
-131
Break Even56.7%
Probability54.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 56.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-13156.7%C

Over (3)
Betonline.ag-131
Break Even56.7%
Probability54.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 56.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
45.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig11546.5%C

Under (3)
115
Break Even46.5%
Probability45.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag11546.5%C

Under (3)
Betonline.ag115
Break Even46.5%
Probability45.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS11047.6%F

Under (3)
BetUS110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

43.2% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
56.8% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
43.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers12544.4%C

Over (3.5)
BetRivers125
Break Even44.4%
Probability43.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada12045.5%F

Over (3.5)
Bovada120
Break Even45.5%
Probability43.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie11446.7%F

Over (3.5)
MyBookie114
Break Even46.7%
Probability43.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM11047.6%F

Over (3.5)
BetMGM110
Break Even47.6%
Probability43.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
56.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-14559.2%F

Under (3.5)
Bovada-145
Break Even59.2%
Probability56.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-15560.8%F

Under (3.5)
BetMGM-155
Break Even60.8%
Probability56.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-15861.2%F

Under (3.5)
MyBookie-158
Break Even61.2%
Probability56.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 61.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-15961.4%F

Under (3.5)
BetRivers-159
Break Even61.4%
Probability56.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 61.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.