Manchester City vs Bournemouth

EPL - August 23, 2026 8:00 AM

Bournemouth have a 16.3% of winning.
Manchester City have a 64.4% of winning.
A Draw has a 19.3% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

BournemouthManchester City
16.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers54015.6%A

Bournemouth
BetRivers540
Break Even15.6%
Probability16.3%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 15.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.3%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
Fanduel50016.7%B

Bournemouth
500
Break Even16.7%
Probability16.3%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
DraftKings50016.7%B

Bournemouth
DraftKings500
Break Even16.7%
Probability16.3%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.3%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
BetUS49516.8%C

Bournemouth
BetUS495
Break Even16.8%
Probability16.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 16.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig49016.9%C

Bournemouth
490
Break Even16.9%
Probability16.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 16.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag49016.9%C

Bournemouth
Betonline.ag490
Break Even16.9%
Probability16.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 16.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers47517.4%C

Bournemouth
Ceasers475
Break Even17.4%
Probability16.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 17.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 16.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
64.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-20166.8%F

Manchester City
-201
Break Even66.8%
Probability64.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 66.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-20166.8%F

Manchester City
Betonline.ag-201
Break Even66.8%
Probability64.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 66.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-20567.2%F

Manchester City
Bovada-205
Break Even67.2%
Probability64.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 67.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-20567.2%F

Manchester City
BetUS-205
Break Even67.2%
Probability64.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 67.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-21067.7%F

Manchester City
DraftKings-210
Break Even67.7%
Probability64.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 67.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-21067.7%F

Manchester City
Fanatics-210
Break Even67.7%
Probability64.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 67.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-21468.2%F

Manchester City
MyBookie-214
Break Even68.2%
Probability64.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 68.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 64.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
19.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig40519.8%C

Draw
405
Break Even19.8%
Probability19.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 19.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag40519.8%C

Draw
Betonline.ag405
Break Even19.8%
Probability19.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 19.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings40020.0%C

Draw
DraftKings400
Break Even20.0%
Probability19.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics40020.0%C

Draw
Fanatics400
Break Even20.0%
Probability19.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers39020.4%C

Draw
Ceasers390
Break Even20.4%
Probability19.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers39020.4%C

Draw
BetRivers390
Break Even20.4%
Probability19.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada39020.4%C

Draw
Bovada390
Break Even20.4%
Probability19.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

45.3% chance that Bournemouth win or are within 1 points of winning.
54.7% chance that Manchester City win by 1 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Bournemouth (1)Manchester City (-1)
45.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig11546.5%C

Bournemouth (1)
115
Break Even46.5%
Probability45.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (1) spread must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag11546.5%C

Bournemouth (1)
Betonline.ag115
Break Even46.5%
Probability45.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (1) spread must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS11047.6%F

Bournemouth (1)
BetUS110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (1) spread must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
54.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-13056.5%C

Manchester City (-1)
BetUS-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1) spread must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-13156.7%C

Manchester City (-1)
-131
Break Even56.7%
Probability54.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1) spread must be more likely than 56.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-13156.7%C

Manchester City (-1)
Betonline.ag-131
Break Even56.7%
Probability54.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1) spread must be more likely than 56.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

57.0% chance that Bournemouth win or are within 1.5 points of winning.
43.0% chance that Manchester City win by 1.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Bournemouth (1.5)Manchester City (-1.5)
57.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-16061.5%F

Bournemouth (1.5)
MyBookie-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability57.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (1.5) spread must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
43.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie11546.5%F

Manchester City (-1.5)
MyBookie115
Break Even46.5%
Probability43.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

45.6% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
54.4% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
45.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada11247.2%C

Over (3.5)
Bovada112
Break Even47.2%
Probability45.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig11247.2%C

Over (3.5)
112
Break Even47.2%
Probability45.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag11247.2%C

Over (3.5)
Betonline.ag112
Break Even47.2%
Probability45.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS11047.6%C

Over (3.5)
BetUS110
Break Even47.6%
Probability45.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM10548.8%F

Over (3.5)
BetMGM105
Break Even48.8%
Probability45.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie10449.0%F

Over (3.5)
MyBookie104
Break Even49.0%
Probability45.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 49.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers10249.5%F

Over (3.5)
BetRivers102
Break Even49.5%
Probability45.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 49.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
54.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-12856.1%C

Under (3.5)
-128
Break Even56.1%
Probability54.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 56.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-12856.1%C

Under (3.5)
Betonline.ag-128
Break Even56.1%
Probability54.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 56.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers-13056.5%F

Under (3.5)
BetRivers-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-13056.5%F

Under (3.5)
BetUS-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-13457.3%F

Under (3.5)
Bovada-134
Break Even57.3%
Probability54.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 57.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-14459.0%F

Under (3.5)
MyBookie-144
Break Even59.0%
Probability54.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 59.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-14559.2%F

Under (3.5)
BetMGM-145
Break Even59.2%
Probability54.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 59.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.