Manchester City vs Bournemouth

EPL - August 23, 2026 8:00 AM

Bournemouth have a 15.4% of winning.
Manchester City have a 66.1% of winning.
A Draw has a 18.5% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

BournemouthManchester City
15.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel55015.4%B

Bournemouth
550
Break Even15.4%
Probability15.4%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.4%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Ceasers52516.0%C

Bournemouth
Ceasers525
Break Even16.0%
Probability15.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 16.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers52516.0%C

Bournemouth
BetRivers525
Break Even16.0%
Probability15.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 16.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM52516.0%C

Bournemouth
BetMGM525
Break Even16.0%
Probability15.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 16.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig50016.7%C

Bournemouth
500
Break Even16.7%
Probability15.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag50016.7%C

Bournemouth
Betonline.ag500
Break Even16.7%
Probability15.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings47517.4%F

Bournemouth
DraftKings475
Break Even17.4%
Probability15.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth must be more likely than 17.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 15.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
66.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-22068.8%F

Manchester City
-220
Break Even68.8%
Probability66.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 68.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-22068.8%F

Manchester City
Betonline.ag-220
Break Even68.8%
Probability66.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 68.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-23069.7%F

Manchester City
DraftKings-230
Break Even69.7%
Probability66.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 69.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-23069.7%F

Manchester City
Ceasers-230
Break Even69.7%
Probability66.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 69.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-25071.4%F

Manchester City
-250
Break Even71.4%
Probability66.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 71.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-25071.4%F

Manchester City
BetRivers-250
Break Even71.4%
Probability66.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 71.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-25071.4%F

Manchester City
BetMGM-250
Break Even71.4%
Probability66.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 71.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 66.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
18.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel44018.5%A-

Draw
440
Break Even18.5%
Probability18.5%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 18.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.5%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Lowvig41219.5%C

Draw
412
Break Even19.5%
Probability18.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 19.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag41219.5%C

Draw
Betonline.ag412
Break Even19.5%
Probability18.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 19.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings40020.0%C

Draw
DraftKings400
Break Even20.0%
Probability18.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers40020.0%C

Draw
Ceasers400
Break Even20.0%
Probability18.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers40020.0%C

Draw
BetRivers400
Break Even20.0%
Probability18.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM40020.0%C

Draw
BetMGM400
Break Even20.0%
Probability18.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 18.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

54.7% chance that Bournemouth win or are within 1.5 points of winning.
45.3% chance that Manchester City win by 1.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Bournemouth (1.5)Manchester City (-1.5)
54.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-13056.5%C

Bournemouth (1.5)
-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (1.5) spread must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-13056.5%C

Bournemouth (1.5)
Betonline.ag-130
Break Even56.5%
Probability54.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Bournemouth (1.5) spread must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
45.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig11446.7%C

Manchester City (-1.5)
114
Break Even46.7%
Probability45.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag11446.7%C

Manchester City (-1.5)
Betonline.ag114
Break Even46.7%
Probability45.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Totals:

49.0% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
51.0% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
49.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10350.7%C

Over (3.5)
-103
Break Even50.7%
Probability49.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 50.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10350.7%C

Over (3.5)
Betonline.ag-103
Break Even50.7%
Probability49.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 50.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers-10952.2%F

Over (3.5)
BetRivers-109
Break Even52.2%
Probability49.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-11553.5%F

Over (3.5)
BetMGM-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability49.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
51.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-11353.1%F

Under (3.5)
-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability51.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11353.1%F

Under (3.5)
Betonline.ag-113
Break Even53.1%
Probability51.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 53.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-12054.5%F

Under (3.5)
BetMGM-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability51.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-12255.0%F

Under (3.5)
BetRivers-122
Break Even55.0%
Probability51.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 55.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.