Brighton and Hove Albion vs Aston Villa

EPL - August 23, 2026 8:00 AM

Aston Villa have a 32.5% of winning.
Brighton and Hove Albion have a 41.9% of winning.
A Draw has a 25.6% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston VillaBrighton and Hove Albion
32.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Ceasers20033.3%C

Aston Villa
Ceasers200
Break Even33.3%
Probability32.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 33.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig19833.6%C

Aston Villa
198
Break Even33.6%
Probability32.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 33.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag19833.6%C

Aston Villa
Betonline.ag198
Break Even33.6%
Probability32.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 33.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings19533.9%C

Aston Villa
DraftKings195
Break Even33.9%
Probability32.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 33.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel18535.1%F

Aston Villa
185
Break Even35.1%
Probability32.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 35.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers18535.1%F

Aston Villa
BetRivers185
Break Even35.1%
Probability32.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 35.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM17037.0%F

Aston Villa
BetMGM170
Break Even37.0%
Probability32.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 32.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
41.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM13043.5%C

Brighton and Hove Albion
BetMGM130
Break Even43.5%
Probability41.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel12544.4%F

Brighton and Hove Albion
125
Break Even44.4%
Probability41.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers12544.4%F

Brighton and Hove Albion
Ceasers125
Break Even44.4%
Probability41.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig12544.4%F

Brighton and Hove Albion
125
Break Even44.4%
Probability41.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag12544.4%F

Brighton and Hove Albion
Betonline.ag125
Break Even44.4%
Probability41.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers12344.8%F

Brighton and Hove Albion
BetRivers123
Break Even44.8%
Probability41.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion must be more likely than 44.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings12045.5%F

Brighton and Hove Albion
DraftKings120
Break Even45.5%
Probability41.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
25.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel29025.6%A-

Draw
290
Break Even25.6%
Probability25.6%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.6%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Lowvig27027.0%C

Draw
270
Break Even27.0%
Probability25.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag27027.0%C

Draw
Betonline.ag270
Break Even27.0%
Probability25.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings26027.8%F

Draw
DraftKings260
Break Even27.8%
Probability25.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers26027.8%F

Draw
Ceasers260
Break Even27.8%
Probability25.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers26027.8%F

Draw
BetRivers260
Break Even27.8%
Probability25.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM26027.8%F

Draw
BetMGM260
Break Even27.8%
Probability25.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 25.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

56.9% chance that Aston Villa win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
43.1% chance that Brighton and Hove Albion win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa (0.5)Brighton and Hove Albion (-0.5)
56.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-14258.7%C

Aston Villa (0.5)
-142
Break Even58.7%
Probability56.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 58.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-14258.7%C

Aston Villa (0.5)
Betonline.ag-142
Break Even58.7%
Probability56.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 58.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
43.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig12544.4%C

Brighton and Hove Albion (-0.5)
125
Break Even44.4%
Probability43.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag12544.4%C

Brighton and Hove Albion (-0.5)
Betonline.ag125
Break Even44.4%
Probability43.1%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Totals:

58.9% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
41.1% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
58.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM-17563.6%F

Over (2.5)
BetMGM-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability58.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
41.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM12544.4%F

Under (2.5)
BetMGM125
Break Even44.4%
Probability41.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

49.6% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
50.4% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)Under (3)
49.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10651.5%C

Over (3)
-106
Break Even51.5%
Probability49.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10651.5%C

Over (3)
Betonline.ag-106
Break Even51.5%
Probability49.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 51.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
50.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-11052.4%C

Under (3)
-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11052.4%C

Under (3)
Betonline.ag-110
Break Even52.4%
Probability50.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

39.2% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
60.8% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
39.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers13842.0%F

Over (3.5)
BetRivers138
Break Even42.0%
Probability39.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 42.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 39.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
60.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-18665.0%F

Under (3.5)
BetRivers-186
Break Even65.0%
Probability60.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 65.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 60.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.