Brighton and Hove Albion vs Aston Villa

EPL - August 23, 2026 8:00 AM

Aston Villa have a 30.6% of winning.
Brighton and Hove Albion have a 42.9% of winning.
A Draw has a 26.4% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Brighton and Hove Albion

30.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Aston Villa

	223
Break Even	31.0%
Probability	30.6%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 31.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Aston Villa

Betonline.ag	223
Break Even	31.0%
Probability	30.6%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 31.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Aston Villa

BetUS	215
Break Even	31.7%
Probability	30.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 31.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa

	210
Break Even	32.3%
Probability	30.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 32.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa

DraftKings	210
Break Even	32.3%
Probability	30.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 32.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa

BetRivers	210
Break Even	32.3%
Probability	30.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 32.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa

Bovada	210
Break Even	32.3%
Probability	30.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 32.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 30.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

42.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Brighton and Hove Albion

	122
Break Even	45.0%
Probability	42.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Brighton and Hove Albion

Betonline.ag	122
Break Even	45.0%
Probability	42.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Brighton and Hove Albion

	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	42.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Brighton and Hove Albion

DraftKings	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	42.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Brighton and Hove Albion

Ceasers	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	42.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Brighton and Hove Albion

BetRivers	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	42.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Brighton and Hove Albion

BetMGM	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	42.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Draw

26.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Draw

DraftKings	265
Break Even	27.4%
Probability	26.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

BetRivers	265
Break Even	27.4%
Probability	26.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

	264
Break Even	27.5%
Probability	26.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

Betonline.ag	264
Break Even	27.5%
Probability	26.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

	260
Break Even	27.8%
Probability	26.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

Bovada	260
Break Even	27.8%
Probability	26.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

BetUS	260
Break Even	27.8%
Probability	26.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 26.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

56.4% chance that Aston Villa win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
43.6% chance that Brighton and Hove Albion win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa (0.5)

Brighton and Hove Albion (-0.5)

56.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Aston Villa (0.5)

	-138
Break Even	58.0%
Probability	56.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 58.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa (0.5)

Betonline.ag	-138
Break Even	58.0%
Probability	56.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 58.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa (0.5)

BetUS	-140
Break Even	58.3%
Probability	56.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 58.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Aston Villa (0.5)

MyBookie	-159
Break Even	61.4%
Probability	56.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 61.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

43.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Brighton and Hove Albion (-0.5)

	122
Break Even	45.0%
Probability	43.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Brighton and Hove Albion (-0.5)

Betonline.ag	122
Break Even	45.0%
Probability	43.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 45.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Brighton and Hove Albion (-0.5)

BetUS	120
Break Even	45.5%
Probability	43.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Brighton and Hove Albion (-0.5)

MyBookie	114
Break Even	46.7%
Probability	43.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Brighton and Hove Albion (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

57.4% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
42.6% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)

Under (2.5)

57.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (2.5)

Bovada	-150
Break Even	60.0%
Probability	57.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 60.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

MyBookie	-159
Break Even	61.4%
Probability	57.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

BetMGM	-160
Break Even	61.5%
Probability	57.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (2.5)

BetRivers	-162
Break Even	61.8%
Probability	57.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 61.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

42.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (2.5)

BetRivers	128
Break Even	43.9%
Probability	42.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 43.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (2.5)

Bovada	125
Break Even	44.4%
Probability	42.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 44.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (2.5)

BetMGM	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	42.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (2.5)

MyBookie	115
Break Even	46.5%
Probability	42.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

45.7% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
54.3% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)

Under (3)

45.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (3)

	112
Break Even	47.2%
Probability	45.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (3)

Betonline.ag	112
Break Even	47.2%
Probability	45.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (3)

BetUS	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	45.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

54.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (3)

	-128
Break Even	56.1%
Probability	54.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 56.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (3)

Betonline.ag	-128
Break Even	56.1%
Probability	54.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 56.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (3)

BetUS	-130
Break Even	56.5%
Probability	54.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 56.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.