Arsenal vs Burnley

EPL - May 18, 2026 2:00 PM

Arsenal have a 85.8% of winning.
Burnley have a 4.6% of winning.
A Draw has a 9.6% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Arsenal

Burnley

85.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

DraftKings

-1000

90.9%

Arsenal

DraftKings	-1000
Break Even	90.9%
Probability	85.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Arsenal must be more likely than 90.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 85.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Bovada

-1000

90.9%

Arsenal

Bovada	-1000
Break Even	90.9%
Probability	85.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Arsenal must be more likely than 90.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 85.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Fanatics

-1000

90.9%

Arsenal

Fanatics	-1000
Break Even	90.9%
Probability	85.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Arsenal must be more likely than 90.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 85.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

MyBookie

-1099

91.7%

Arsenal

MyBookie	-1099
Break Even	91.7%
Probability	85.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Arsenal must be more likely than 91.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 85.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Fanduel

-1100

91.7%

Arsenal

	-1100
Break Even	91.7%
Probability	85.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Arsenal must be more likely than 91.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 85.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetRivers

-1250

92.6%

Arsenal

BetRivers	-1250
Break Even	92.6%
Probability	85.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Arsenal must be more likely than 92.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 85.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

4.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

BetRivers

2400

4.0%

Burnley

BetRivers	2400
Break Even	4.0%
Probability	4.6%
Grade	A

For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 4.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 4.6%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.

Fanatics

2000

4.8%

Burnley

Fanatics	2000
Break Even	4.8%
Probability	4.6%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 4.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 4.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Fanduel

1900

5.0%

Burnley

	1900
Break Even	5.0%
Probability	4.6%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 5.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 4.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Bovada

1900

5.0%

Burnley

Bovada	1900
Break Even	5.0%
Probability	4.6%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 5.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 4.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

MyBookie

1900

5.0%

Burnley

MyBookie	1900
Break Even	5.0%
Probability	4.6%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 5.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 4.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

DraftKings

1700

5.6%

Burnley

DraftKings	1700
Break Even	5.6%
Probability	4.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Burnley must be more likely than 5.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 4.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

9.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Fanatics

1000

9.1%

Draw

Fanatics	1000
Break Even	9.1%
Probability	9.6%
Grade	A

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 9.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 9.6%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.

Bovada

975

9.3%

Draw

Bovada	975
Break Even	9.3%
Probability	9.6%
Grade	A

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 9.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 9.6%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.

Draw

BetRivers	950
Break Even	9.5%
Probability	9.6%
Grade	A-

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 9.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 9.6%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.

DraftKings

900

10.0%

Draw

DraftKings	900
Break Even	10.0%
Probability	9.6%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 10.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 9.6%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

MyBookie

760

11.6%

Draw

MyBookie	760
Break Even	11.6%
Probability	9.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 11.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 9.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Fanduel

750

11.8%

Draw

	750
Break Even	11.8%
Probability	9.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 11.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 9.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

49.2% chance that Arsenal win by 2.5 or more points.
50.8% chance that Burnley win or are within 2.5 points of winning.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Arsenal (-2.5)

Burnley (2.5)

49.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bovada

-102

50.5%

Arsenal (-2.5)

Bovada	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	49.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Arsenal (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

MyBookie

-118

54.1%

Arsenal (-2.5)

MyBookie	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	49.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Arsenal (-2.5) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

MyBookie

-117

53.9%

Burnley (2.5)

MyBookie	-117
Break Even	53.9%
Probability	50.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Burnley (2.5) spread must be more likely than 53.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Bovada

-118

54.1%

Burnley (2.5)

Bovada	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	50.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Burnley (2.5) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

49.9% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
50.1% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)

Under (3.5)

49.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bovada

-108

51.9%

Over (3.5)

Bovada	-108
Break Even	51.9%
Probability	49.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 51.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetRivers

-110

52.4%

Over (3.5)

BetRivers	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	49.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

MyBookie

-121

54.8%

Over (3.5)

MyBookie	-121
Break Even	54.8%
Probability	49.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 54.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

50.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Bovada

-112

52.8%

Under (3.5)

Bovada	-112
Break Even	52.8%
Probability	50.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 52.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

MyBookie

-114

53.3%

Under (3.5)

MyBookie	-114
Break Even	53.3%
Probability	50.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 53.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetRivers

-115

53.5%

Under (3.5)

BetRivers	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	50.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.