Aston Villa vs Liverpool

EPL - May 17, 2026 6:30 AM

Aston Villa have a 28.5% of winning.
Liverpool have a 48.2% of winning.
A Draw has a 23.3% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston VillaLiverpool
28.5%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel24029.4%C

Aston Villa
240
Break Even29.4%
Probability28.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 29.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers23529.9%C

Aston Villa
BetRivers235
Break Even29.9%
Probability28.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 29.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada23030.3%C

Aston Villa
Bovada230
Break Even30.3%
Probability28.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics23030.3%C

Aston Villa
Fanatics230
Break Even30.3%
Probability28.5%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 30.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.5%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings22530.8%F

Aston Villa
DraftKings225
Break Even30.8%
Probability28.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 30.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie21431.8%F

Aston Villa
MyBookie214
Break Even31.8%
Probability28.5%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 31.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.5%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
48.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
DraftKings10050.0%C

Liverpool
DraftKings100
Break Even50.0%
Probability48.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie10050.0%C

Liverpool
MyBookie100
Break Even50.0%
Probability48.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-10250.5%F

Liverpool
Bovada-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability48.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-10551.2%F

Liverpool
Fanatics-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-10952.2%F

Liverpool
BetRivers-109
Break Even52.2%
Probability48.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel-12054.5%F

Liverpool
-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability48.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
23.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers32023.8%C

Draw
BetRivers320
Break Even23.8%
Probability23.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 23.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanduel31024.4%C

Draw
310
Break Even24.4%
Probability23.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Fanatics31024.4%C

Draw
Fanatics310
Break Even24.4%
Probability23.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada30524.7%C

Draw
Bovada305
Break Even24.7%
Probability23.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings29525.3%F

Draw
DraftKings295
Break Even25.3%
Probability23.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie28026.3%F

Draw
MyBookie280
Break Even26.3%
Probability23.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 23.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

52.4% chance that Aston Villa win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
47.6% chance that Liverpool win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa (0.5)Liverpool (-0.5)
52.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-11854.1%C

Aston Villa (0.5)
Bovada-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability52.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie-13457.3%F

Aston Villa (0.5)
MyBookie-134
Break Even57.3%
Probability52.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0.5) spread must be more likely than 57.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
47.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-10250.5%F

Liverpool (-0.5)
Bovada-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-10350.7%F

Liverpool (-0.5)
MyBookie-103
Break Even50.7%
Probability47.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 50.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 47.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

53.2% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
46.8% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)Under (3)
53.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada-12555.6%F

Over (3)
Bovada-125
Break Even55.6%
Probability53.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
46.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Bovada10548.8%F

Under (3)
Bovada105
Break Even48.8%
Probability46.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

43.1% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
56.9% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
43.1%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie11845.9%F

Over (3.5)
MyBookie118
Break Even45.9%
Probability43.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 45.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers11646.3%F

Over (3.5)
BetRivers116
Break Even46.3%
Probability43.1%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 46.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
56.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-14859.7%F

Under (3.5)
BetRivers-148
Break Even59.7%
Probability56.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 59.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-16562.3%F

Under (3.5)
MyBookie-165
Break Even62.3%
Probability56.9%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 62.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 56.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.