Manchester City vs Brentford

EPL - May 9, 2026 11:30 AM

Brentford have a 12.7% of winning.
Manchester City have a 70.3% of winning.
A Draw has a 17.0% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

BrentfordManchester City
12.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers75011.8%A+

Brentford
BetRivers750
Break Even11.8%
Probability12.7%
GradeA+
For this to be profitable, the Brentford must be more likely than 11.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 12.7%, more likely, giving this bet a A+ grade.
Lowvig69512.6%A-

Brentford
695
Break Even12.6%
Probability12.7%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Brentford must be more likely than 12.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 12.7%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Betonline.ag69512.6%A-

Brentford
Betonline.ag695
Break Even12.6%
Probability12.7%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Brentford must be more likely than 12.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 12.7%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Fanduel65013.3%C

Brentford
650
Break Even13.3%
Probability12.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Brentford must be more likely than 13.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 12.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers65013.3%C

Brentford
Ceasers650
Break Even13.3%
Probability12.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Brentford must be more likely than 13.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 12.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada65013.3%C

Brentford
Bovada650
Break Even13.3%
Probability12.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Brentford must be more likely than 13.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 12.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS65013.3%C

Brentford
BetUS650
Break Even13.3%
Probability12.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Brentford must be more likely than 13.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 12.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
70.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM-27573.3%F

Manchester City
BetMGM-275
Break Even73.3%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 73.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-27573.3%F

Manchester City
Fanatics-275
Break Even73.3%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 73.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Ceasers-28073.7%F

Manchester City
Ceasers-280
Break Even73.7%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 73.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-28073.7%F

Manchester City
MyBookie-280
Break Even73.7%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 73.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-28574.0%F

Manchester City
DraftKings-285
Break Even74.0%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 74.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Lowvig-28974.3%F

Manchester City
-289
Break Even74.3%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 74.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-28974.3%F

Manchester City
Betonline.ag-289
Break Even74.3%
Probability70.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 74.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 70.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
17.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig49816.7%A

Draw
498
Break Even16.7%
Probability17.0%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.0%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
Betonline.ag49816.7%A

Draw
Betonline.ag498
Break Even16.7%
Probability17.0%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 16.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.0%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
Fanatics47517.4%B

Draw
Fanatics475
Break Even17.4%
Probability17.0%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 17.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Fanduel46017.9%C

Draw
460
Break Even17.9%
Probability17.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 17.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada46017.9%C

Draw
Bovada460
Break Even17.9%
Probability17.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 17.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS46017.9%C

Draw
BetUS460
Break Even17.9%
Probability17.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 17.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings45018.2%C

Draw
DraftKings450
Break Even18.2%
Probability17.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 18.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 17.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

52.0% chance that Brentford win or are within 1.5 points of winning.
48.0% chance that Manchester City win by 1.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Brentford (1.5)Manchester City (-1.5)
52.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-11753.9%C

Brentford (1.5)
-117
Break Even53.9%
Probability52.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Brentford (1.5) spread must be more likely than 53.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11753.9%C

Brentford (1.5)
Betonline.ag-117
Break Even53.9%
Probability52.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Brentford (1.5) spread must be more likely than 53.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-12054.5%F

Brentford (1.5)
Bovada-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Brentford (1.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-12054.5%F

Brentford (1.5)
BetUS-120
Break Even54.5%
Probability52.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Brentford (1.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-12755.9%F

Brentford (1.5)
MyBookie-127
Break Even55.9%
Probability52.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Brentford (1.5) spread must be more likely than 55.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 52.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
48.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig10149.8%C

Manchester City (-1.5)
101
Break Even49.8%
Probability48.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 49.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag10149.8%C

Manchester City (-1.5)
Betonline.ag101
Break Even49.8%
Probability48.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 49.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada10050.0%F

Manchester City (-1.5)
Bovada100
Break Even50.0%
Probability48.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS10050.0%F

Manchester City (-1.5)
BetUS100
Break Even50.0%
Probability48.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-10952.2%F

Manchester City (-1.5)
MyBookie-109
Break Even52.2%
Probability48.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 52.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

45.8% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
54.2% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)Under (3.5)
45.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers11546.5%C

Over (3.5)
BetRivers115
Break Even46.5%
Probability45.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig11247.2%C

Over (3.5)
112
Break Even47.2%
Probability45.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag11247.2%C

Over (3.5)
Betonline.ag112
Break Even47.2%
Probability45.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS10748.3%F

Over (3.5)
BetUS107
Break Even48.3%
Probability45.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 48.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-10250.5%F

Over (3.5)
BetMGM-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability45.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-10250.5%F

Over (3.5)
MyBookie-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability45.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 45.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
54.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-12755.9%C

Under (3.5)
BetUS-127
Break Even55.9%
Probability54.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 55.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-12856.1%C

Under (3.5)
-128
Break Even56.1%
Probability54.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 56.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-12856.1%C

Under (3.5)
Betonline.ag-128
Break Even56.1%
Probability54.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 56.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetMGM-13557.4%F

Under (3.5)
BetMGM-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-13557.4%F

Under (3.5)
MyBookie-135
Break Even57.4%
Probability54.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 57.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetRivers-14859.7%F

Under (3.5)
BetRivers-148
Break Even59.7%
Probability54.2%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 59.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 54.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.