Liverpool vs Chelsea

EPL - May 9, 2026 6:30 AM

Chelsea have a 24.8% of winning.
Liverpool have a 51.2% of winning.
A Draw has a 24.0% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

24.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Chelsea

	297
Break Even	25.2%
Probability	24.8%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 25.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.8%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Chelsea

Betonline.ag	297
Break Even	25.2%
Probability	24.8%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 25.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.8%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Chelsea

	290
Break Even	25.6%
Probability	24.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Chelsea

BetUS	290
Break Even	25.6%
Probability	24.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Chelsea

DraftKings	285
Break Even	26.0%
Probability	24.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Chelsea

BetRivers	285
Break Even	26.0%
Probability	24.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Chelsea

Bovada	285
Break Even	26.0%
Probability	24.8%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

51.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Liverpool

Ceasers	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	51.2%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Liverpool

DraftKings	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Liverpool

BetMGM	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Liverpool

	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Liverpool

Betonline.ag	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Liverpool

BetUS	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Liverpool

Fanatics	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Liverpool must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Draw

24.0%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Draw

BetRivers	310
Break Even	24.4%
Probability	24.0%
Grade	B

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.

Draw

	303
Break Even	24.8%
Probability	24.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

Betonline.ag	303
Break Even	24.8%
Probability	24.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 24.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

	300
Break Even	25.0%
Probability	24.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

DraftKings	300
Break Even	25.0%
Probability	24.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

Fanatics	300
Break Even	25.0%
Probability	24.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Draw

BetUS	295
Break Even	25.3%
Probability	24.0%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

48.6% chance that Chelsea win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
51.4% chance that Liverpool win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chelsea (0.5)

Liverpool (-0.5)

48.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Chelsea (0.5)

	-101
Break Even	50.2%
Probability	48.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (0.5) spread must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Chelsea (0.5)

Betonline.ag	-101
Break Even	50.2%
Probability	48.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (0.5) spread must be more likely than 50.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Chelsea (0.5)

Bovada	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	48.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (0.5) spread must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Chelsea (0.5)

BetUS	-105
Break Even	51.2%
Probability	48.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (0.5) spread must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Chelsea (0.5)

MyBookie	-110
Break Even	52.4%
Probability	48.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (0.5) spread must be more likely than 52.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

51.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Liverpool (-0.5)

	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Liverpool (-0.5)

Betonline.ag	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Liverpool (-0.5)

BetUS	-115
Break Even	53.5%
Probability	51.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Liverpool (-0.5)

Bovada	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	51.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Liverpool (-0.5)

MyBookie	-120
Break Even	54.5%
Probability	51.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Liverpool (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 54.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

57.6% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
42.4% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)

Under (3)

57.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (3)

	-146
Break Even	59.3%
Probability	57.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 59.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Over (3)

Betonline.ag	-146
Break Even	59.3%
Probability	57.6%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 59.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

42.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (3)

	129
Break Even	43.7%
Probability	42.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 43.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (3)

Betonline.ag	129
Break Even	43.7%
Probability	42.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 43.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

44.6% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
55.4% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)

Under (3.5)

44.6%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Over (3.5)

BetRivers	114
Break Even	46.7%
Probability	44.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 46.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (3.5)

BetUS	112
Break Even	47.2%
Probability	44.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 47.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (3.5)

BetMGM	110
Break Even	47.6%
Probability	44.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 47.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Over (3.5)

MyBookie	108
Break Even	48.1%
Probability	44.6%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 48.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 44.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

55.4%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Under (3.5)

BetUS	-132
Break Even	56.9%
Probability	55.4%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 56.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Under (3.5)

BetRivers	-143
Break Even	58.8%
Probability	55.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 58.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (3.5)

MyBookie	-144
Break Even	59.0%
Probability	55.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 59.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Under (3.5)

BetMGM	-155
Break Even	60.8%
Probability	55.4%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 60.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 55.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.