Everton vs Manchester City

EPL - May 4, 2026 2:00 PM

Everton have a 14.9% of winning.
Manchester City have a 65.8% of winning.
A Draw has a 19.3% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

EvertonManchester City
14.9%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig59014.5%A

Everton
590
Break Even14.5%
Probability14.9%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the Everton must be more likely than 14.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 14.9%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
Betonline.ag59014.5%A

Everton
Betonline.ag590
Break Even14.5%
Probability14.9%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the Everton must be more likely than 14.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 14.9%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
BetRivers57514.8%A-

Everton
BetRivers575
Break Even14.8%
Probability14.9%
GradeA-
For this to be profitable, the Everton must be more likely than 14.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 14.9%, more likely, giving this bet a A- grade.
Fanduel55015.4%B

Everton
550
Break Even15.4%
Probability14.9%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Everton must be more likely than 15.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 14.9%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Ceasers52516.0%C

Everton
Ceasers525
Break Even16.0%
Probability14.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Everton must be more likely than 16.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 14.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada52516.0%C

Everton
Bovada525
Break Even16.0%
Probability14.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Everton must be more likely than 16.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 14.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS52516.0%C

Everton
BetUS525
Break Even16.0%
Probability14.9%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Everton must be more likely than 16.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 14.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
65.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetMGM-21067.7%C

Manchester City
BetMGM-210
Break Even67.7%
Probability65.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 67.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 65.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Ceasers-22068.8%F

Manchester City
Ceasers-220
Break Even68.8%
Probability65.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 68.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 65.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-22268.9%F

Manchester City
Bovada-222
Break Even68.9%
Probability65.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 68.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 65.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-22268.9%F

Manchester City
BetUS-222
Break Even68.9%
Probability65.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 68.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 65.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
DraftKings-22569.2%F

Manchester City
DraftKings-225
Break Even69.2%
Probability65.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 69.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 65.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanatics-22569.2%F

Manchester City
Fanatics-225
Break Even69.2%
Probability65.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 69.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 65.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-22869.5%F

Manchester City
MyBookie-228
Break Even69.5%
Probability65.8%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 69.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 65.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
19.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig42818.9%A

Draw
428
Break Even18.9%
Probability19.3%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 18.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.3%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
Betonline.ag42818.9%A

Draw
Betonline.ag428
Break Even18.9%
Probability19.3%
GradeA
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 18.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.3%, more likely, giving this bet a A grade.
Fanatics40020.0%C

Draw
Fanatics400
Break Even20.0%
Probability19.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings39020.4%C

Draw
DraftKings390
Break Even20.4%
Probability19.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetRivers39020.4%C

Draw
BetRivers390
Break Even20.4%
Probability19.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada39020.4%C

Draw
Bovada390
Break Even20.4%
Probability19.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS39020.4%C

Draw
BetUS390
Break Even20.4%
Probability19.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 20.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 19.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Spreads:

42.7% chance that Everton win or are within 1 points of winning.
57.3% chance that Manchester City win by 1 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Everton (1)Manchester City (-1)
42.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig12744.1%C

Everton (1)
127
Break Even44.1%
Probability42.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Everton (1) spread must be more likely than 44.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag12744.1%C

Everton (1)
Betonline.ag127
Break Even44.1%
Probability42.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Everton (1) spread must be more likely than 44.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS12744.1%C

Everton (1)
BetUS127
Break Even44.1%
Probability42.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Everton (1) spread must be more likely than 44.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 42.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
57.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-14459.0%C

Manchester City (-1)
-144
Break Even59.0%
Probability57.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1) spread must be more likely than 59.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-14459.0%C

Manchester City (-1)
Betonline.ag-144
Break Even59.0%
Probability57.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1) spread must be more likely than 59.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
BetUS-14759.5%F

Manchester City (-1)
BetUS-147
Break Even59.5%
Probability57.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1) spread must be more likely than 59.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

57.0% chance that Everton win or are within 1.5 points of winning.
43.0% chance that Manchester City win by 1.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Everton (1.5)Manchester City (-1.5)
57.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie-16061.5%F

Everton (1.5)
MyBookie-160
Break Even61.5%
Probability57.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Everton (1.5) spread must be more likely than 61.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 57.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
43.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
MyBookie11546.5%F

Manchester City (-1.5)
MyBookie115
Break Even46.5%
Probability43.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-1.5) spread must be more likely than 46.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 43.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

58.7% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
41.3% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
58.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers-16762.5%F

Over (2.5)
BetRivers-167
Break Even62.5%
Probability58.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 62.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
MyBookie-17263.2%F

Over (2.5)
MyBookie-172
Break Even63.2%
Probability58.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 63.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM-17563.6%F

Over (2.5)
BetMGM-175
Break Even63.6%
Probability58.7%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 63.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 58.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
41.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetRivers13342.9%C

Under (2.5)
BetRivers133
Break Even42.9%
Probability41.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 42.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
MyBookie12344.8%F

Under (2.5)
MyBookie123
Break Even44.8%
Probability41.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 44.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetMGM12045.5%F

Under (2.5)
BetMGM120
Break Even45.5%
Probability41.3%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 45.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 41.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

48.4% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
51.6% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)Under (3)
48.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig10050.0%C

Over (3)
100
Break Even50.0%
Probability48.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag10050.0%C

Over (3)
Betonline.ag100
Break Even50.0%
Probability48.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Bovada-10250.5%F

Over (3)
Bovada-102
Break Even50.5%
Probability48.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
BetUS-10551.2%F

Over (3)
BetUS-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability48.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
51.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
BetUS-11553.5%C

Under (3)
BetUS-115
Break Even53.5%
Probability51.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 53.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Lowvig-11653.7%F

Under (3)
-116
Break Even53.7%
Probability51.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 53.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Betonline.ag-11653.7%F

Under (3)
Betonline.ag-116
Break Even53.7%
Probability51.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 53.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Bovada-11854.1%F

Under (3)
Bovada-118
Break Even54.1%
Probability51.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.