Chelsea vs Manchester City

EPL - April 12, 2026 10:30 AM

Chelsea have a 35.1% of winning.
Manchester City have a 40.1% of winning.
A Draw has a 24.9% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chelsea

Manchester City

35.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Fanatics

175

36.4%

Chelsea

Fanatics	175
Break Even	36.4%
Probability	35.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 36.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Lowvig

173

36.6%

Chelsea

	173
Break Even	36.6%
Probability	35.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 36.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

173

36.6%

Chelsea

Betonline.ag	173
Break Even	36.6%
Probability	35.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 36.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Fanduel

170

37.0%

Chelsea

	170
Break Even	37.0%
Probability	35.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

170

37.0%

Chelsea

DraftKings	170
Break Even	37.0%
Probability	35.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bovada

168

37.3%

Chelsea

Bovada	168
Break Even	37.3%
Probability	35.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 37.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

MyBookie

167

37.5%

Chelsea

MyBookie	167
Break Even	37.5%
Probability	35.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 37.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

BetRivers

165

37.7%

Chelsea

BetRivers	165
Break Even	37.7%
Probability	35.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea must be more likely than 37.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 35.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

40.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Lowvig

142

41.3%

Manchester City

	142
Break Even	41.3%
Probability	40.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 41.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

142

41.3%

Manchester City

Betonline.ag	142
Break Even	41.3%
Probability	40.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 41.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetRivers

138

42.0%

Manchester City

BetRivers	138
Break Even	42.0%
Probability	40.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 42.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bovada

137

42.2%

Manchester City

Bovada	137
Break Even	42.2%
Probability	40.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 42.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Fanduel

135

42.6%

Manchester City

	135
Break Even	42.6%
Probability	40.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Fanatics

135

42.6%

Manchester City

Fanatics	135
Break Even	42.6%
Probability	40.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 42.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

MyBookie

132

43.1%

Manchester City

MyBookie	132
Break Even	43.1%
Probability	40.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 43.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

DraftKings

130

43.5%

Manchester City

DraftKings	130
Break Even	43.5%
Probability	40.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City must be more likely than 43.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Draw

24.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Fanduel

290

25.6%

Draw

	290
Break Even	25.6%
Probability	24.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Lowvig

290

25.6%

Draw

	290
Break Even	25.6%
Probability	24.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

290

25.6%

Draw

Betonline.ag	290
Break Even	25.6%
Probability	24.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 25.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bovada

285

26.0%

Draw

Bovada	285
Break Even	26.0%
Probability	24.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

BetRivers

280

26.3%

Draw

BetRivers	280
Break Even	26.3%
Probability	24.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Fanatics

280

26.3%

Draw

Fanatics	280
Break Even	26.3%
Probability	24.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 26.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

DraftKings

270

27.0%

Draw

DraftKings	270
Break Even	27.0%
Probability	24.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

MyBookie

265

27.4%

Draw

MyBookie	265
Break Even	27.4%
Probability	24.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 27.4% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 24.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

46.7% chance that Chelsea win by 0 or more points.
53.3% chance that Manchester City win by 0 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chelsea (0)

Manchester City (0)

46.7%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Lowvig

107

48.3%

Chelsea (0)

	107
Break Even	48.3%
Probability	46.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (0) spread must be more likely than 48.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

107

48.3%

Chelsea (0)

Betonline.ag	107
Break Even	48.3%
Probability	46.7%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (0) spread must be more likely than 48.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bovada

105

48.8%

Chelsea (0)

Bovada	105
Break Even	48.8%
Probability	46.7%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (0) spread must be more likely than 48.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 46.7%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

53.3%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Lowvig

-123

55.2%

Manchester City (0)

	-123
Break Even	55.2%
Probability	53.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (0) spread must be more likely than 55.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

-123

55.2%

Manchester City (0)

Betonline.ag	-123
Break Even	55.2%
Probability	53.3%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (0) spread must be more likely than 55.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bovada

-125

55.6%

Manchester City (0)

Bovada	-125
Break Even	55.6%
Probability	53.3%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (0) spread must be more likely than 55.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 53.3%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

59.2% chance that Chelsea win or are within 0.5 points of winning.
40.8% chance that Manchester City win by 0.5 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Chelsea (0.5)

Manchester City (-0.5)

59.2%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

MyBookie

-177

63.9%

Chelsea (0.5)

MyBookie	-177
Break Even	63.9%
Probability	59.2%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Chelsea (0.5) spread must be more likely than 63.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.2%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

40.8%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

MyBookie

127

44.1%

Manchester City (-0.5)

MyBookie	127
Break Even	44.1%
Probability	40.8%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Manchester City (-0.5) spread must be more likely than 44.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.8%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Totals:

51.9% chance that the total final score will be over 3 points.
48.1% chance that the total final score will be under 3 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3)

Under (3)

51.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Lowvig

-117

53.9%

Over (3)

	-117
Break Even	53.9%
Probability	51.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 53.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

-117

53.9%

Over (3)

Betonline.ag	-117
Break Even	53.9%
Probability	51.9%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 53.9% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.9%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bovada

-118

54.1%

Over (3)

Bovada	-118
Break Even	54.1%
Probability	51.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3) must be more likely than 54.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

48.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

Lowvig

101

49.8%

Under (3)

	101
Break Even	49.8%
Probability	48.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 49.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Betonline.ag

101

49.8%

Under (3)

Betonline.ag	101
Break Even	49.8%
Probability	48.1%
Grade	C

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 49.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.1%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Bovada

-102

50.5%

Under (3)

Bovada	-102
Break Even	50.5%
Probability	48.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3) must be more likely than 50.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

40.9% chance that the total final score will be over 3.5 points.
59.1% chance that the total final score will be under 3.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (3.5)

Under (3.5)

40.9%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

BetRivers

132

43.1%

Over (3.5)

BetRivers	132
Break Even	43.1%
Probability	40.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 43.1% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

MyBookie

126

44.2%

Over (3.5)

MyBookie	126
Break Even	44.2%
Probability	40.9%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Over (3.5) must be more likely than 44.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 40.9%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

59.1%

Line

Break
Even

Grade

BetRivers

-167

62.5%

Under (3.5)

BetRivers	-167
Break Even	62.5%
Probability	59.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 62.5% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

MyBookie

-176

63.8%

Under (3.5)

MyBookie	-176
Break Even	63.8%
Probability	59.1%
Grade	F

For this to be profitable, the Under (3.5) must be more likely than 63.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 59.1%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.