Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa

EPL - April 11, 2026 9:00 AM

Aston Villa have a 34.6% of winning.
Nottingham Forest have a 37.0% of winning.
A Draw has a 28.4% probability.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston VillaNottingham Forest
34.6%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig18335.3%C

Aston Villa
183
Break Even35.3%
Probability34.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 35.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag18335.3%C

Aston Villa
Betonline.ag183
Break Even35.3%
Probability34.6%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 35.3% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.6%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings17037.0%F

Aston Villa
DraftKings170
Break Even37.0%
Probability34.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 37.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel16537.7%F

Aston Villa
165
Break Even37.7%
Probability34.6%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa must be more likely than 37.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 34.6%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
37.0%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig16238.2%C

Nottingham Forest
162
Break Even38.2%
Probability37.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Nottingham Forest must be more likely than 38.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag16238.2%C

Nottingham Forest
Betonline.ag162
Break Even38.2%
Probability37.0%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Nottingham Forest must be more likely than 38.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.0%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings15539.2%F

Nottingham Forest
DraftKings155
Break Even39.2%
Probability37.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Nottingham Forest must be more likely than 39.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Fanduel15040.0%F

Nottingham Forest
150
Break Even40.0%
Probability37.0%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Nottingham Forest must be more likely than 40.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 37.0%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.
Draw
28.4%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Fanduel25028.6%B

Draw
250
Break Even28.6%
Probability28.4%
GradeB
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 28.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.4%, less likely, giving this bet a B grade.
Lowvig23330.0%C

Draw
233
Break Even30.0%
Probability28.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 30.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag23330.0%C

Draw
Betonline.ag233
Break Even30.0%
Probability28.4%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 30.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.4%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
DraftKings22530.8%F

Draw
DraftKings225
Break Even30.8%
Probability28.4%
GradeF
For this to be profitable, the Draw must be more likely than 30.8% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 28.4%, less likely, giving this bet a F grade.

Spreads:

48.2% chance that Aston Villa win by 0 or more points.
51.8% chance that Nottingham Forest win by 0 or more points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Aston Villa (0)Nottingham Forest (0)
48.2%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig10050.0%C

Aston Villa (0)
100
Break Even50.0%
Probability48.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag10050.0%C

Aston Villa (0)
Betonline.ag100
Break Even50.0%
Probability48.2%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Aston Villa (0) spread must be more likely than 50.0% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 48.2%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
51.8%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-11653.7%C

Nottingham Forest (0)
-116
Break Even53.7%
Probability51.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Nottingham Forest (0) spread must be more likely than 53.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11653.7%C

Nottingham Forest (0)
Betonline.ag-116
Break Even53.7%
Probability51.8%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Nottingham Forest (0) spread must be more likely than 53.7% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 51.8%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.

Totals:

50.7% chance that the total final score will be over 2.5 points.
49.3% chance that the total final score will be under 2.5 points.

Click on a line grade to learn more.

Over (2.5)Under (2.5)
50.7%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-11152.6%C

Over (2.5)
-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability50.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-11152.6%C

Over (2.5)
Betonline.ag-111
Break Even52.6%
Probability50.7%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Over (2.5) must be more likely than 52.6% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 50.7%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
49.3%
LineBreak
Even		Grade
Lowvig-10551.2%C

Under (2.5)
-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.
Betonline.ag-10551.2%C

Under (2.5)
Betonline.ag-105
Break Even51.2%
Probability49.3%
GradeC
For this to be profitable, the Under (2.5) must be more likely than 51.2% to win.
However, the calculated probability is 49.3%, less likely, giving this bet a C grade.